2011 Gubernatorial Elections Watch

There are four gubernatorial elections occurring in 2011, this thread is for monitoring the polling data, news on the candidates, along with opinion and insight from residents of these states.

Kentucky Gubernatorial Election, 2011

Date: November 8, 2011
Candidates: Steve Beshear (Democrat), David Williams (Republican), Gatewood Galbraith (Independent)
Polling Data:

Survey USA – July 27, 2011

% support for Williams / Beshear / Galbraith

All voters: 28 / 52 / 9
White: 29 / 50 / 9
Black: 3 / 91 / 3
Republican: 56 / 25 / 7
Democrat: 11 / 76 / 6
Independent: 11 / 34 / 32
Tea Party member: 58 / 21 / 6
Conservative: 45 / 33 / 9
Moderate: 19 / 65 / 8
Liberal: 6 / 77 / 14
Pro-Life: 38 / 40 / 9
Own a gun: 31 / 47 / 13

Braun Research – June 8, 2011

% support for Williams / Beshear / Galbraith

All voters: 30 / 51 / 6

Survey USA – April 13, 2011

% support for Williams / Beshear

All voters: 39 / 51
White: 40 / 50
Black: 19 / 69
Republican: 68 / 22
Democrat: 19 / 73
Independent: 42 / 42
Conservative: 60 / 30
Moderate: 27 / 66
Liberal: 9 / 81
Pro-Life: 53 / 37
Own a gun: 46 / 45

The Cook Political Report (June 23) – Lean Democratic
Governing (July 25) – Lean Democratic
The Rothenberg Political Report (April 1) – Tossup
Larry Sobato’s Crystal Ball (August 3) – Likely Democratic

Louisiana Gubernatorial Election, 2011
Date: October 22, 2011
Candidates: Bobby Jindal (R), Tara Hollis (D), potential – Kathleen Blanco (D), John Georges (D), Robert Marionneaux (D)
Polling Data:

- No polling data for candidates yet available –

Consensus among all predictions – Safe Republican

Mississippi Gubernatorial Election, 2011

Date: November 8, 2011
Candidates: Phil Bryant (R), unknown until run-off Johnny DuPree (D) or Bill Luckett (D)
Polling Data:

Public Policy Polling – March 27, 2011

% support for Bryant / DuPree

All voters: 56 / 25
Very Liberal: 48 / 38
Somewhat Liberal: 19 / 56
Moderate: 39 / 35
Somewhat Conservative: 75 / 8
Very Conservative: 74 / 12
Democrat: 28 / 49
Republican: 84 / 4
Independent: 55 / 23
White: 74 / 10
Black: 22 / 54

% support for Bryant / Luckett

All voters: 53 / 27
Very Liberal: 37 / 51
Somewhat Liberal: 28 / 44
Moderate: 35 / 40
Somewhat Conservative: 69 / 9
Very Conservative: 75 / 12
Democrat: 23 / 55
Republican: 82 / 3
Independent: 54 / 21
White: 72 / 12
Black: 19 / 54

The Cook Political Report (June 23) – Likely Republican
Governing (July 25) – Safe Republican
The Rothenberg Political Report (April 1) – Likely Republican
Larry Sobato’s Crystal Ball (August 3) – Safe Republican

West Virginia Gubernatorial Election, 2011

Date: October 4, 2011
Candidates: Earl Ray Tomblin (D), Bill Maloney (R)
Polling Data:

Public Policy Polling – May 12, 2011

% support for Tomblin / Maloney

All voters: 45 / 30
Very Liberal: 72 / 12
Somewhat Liberal: 70 / 5
Moderate: 52 / 19
Somewhat Conservative: 36 / 35
Very Conservative: 24 / 55
Democrat: 65 / 11
Republican: 17 / 60
Independent: 29 / 28
White: 45 / 30
Other: 42 / 22

Public Policy Polling – April 24, 2011

% support for Tomblin / Maloney

All voters: 56 / 23
Very Liberal: 84 / 2
Somewhat Liberal: 72 / 9
Moderate: 64 / 14
Somewhat Conservative: 48 / 31
Very Conservative: 25 / 52
Democrat: 72 / 10
Republican: 26 / 51
Independent: 48 / 20
White: 56 / 23
Other: 61 / 19

The Cook Political Report (June 23) – Leans Democratic
Governing (July 25) – Leans Democratic
The Rothenberg Political Report (April 1) – Leans Democratic
Larry Sobato’s Crystal Ball (August 3) – Likely Democratic