As I said,
There are elements of the Mike's GCS which are indeed sensitive and could likely be exploited by a high tech nation able to break the antitamper
However; _as a baseline AAM_; the AIM-9M offers less than all models of 'equivalent' (generational) SRM the world over. ASRAAM, P-3/4, MICA-IR,
R-73, Darter. They are ALL better, as a total system metric, than this weapon.
As far as defining how as a function of why these weapons are being sold, again, as I stated it is foolish beyond belief to think that AIM-9s of /any/
make or model (including X-Rays) could tip the balance of airpower back towards Pakistan's favor in an India
akistan confrontation. I might be
slightly more worried if the weapons delivered were AIM-120C7's but only to the extent that the technology would be compromised, almost
instantaneously. I see existing-stock transfers of a capable but narrow bore FQ heater as an easy-out intermediate option to replace whatever
lifed-out AIM-9L's and technologically dated AIM-9P4/5s the Paks still have in the inventory without doing anything 'real' to commit ourselves to
And be assured, they are looking for a big brother. For along with the total infiltration of ISI by the very people we are hunting, this is why
Pakistan is half-a$$ing it in terms of finding Osama. They know we are but Allies of convenience and while we remain so they have some UN assurance
against what they perceive to be Indian inequities in Kashmir (and their own blood game counters in return).
As soon as that utility is over, we will leave and so will the FMS credits which are necessary to revitalize Pakistan's air defense towards anything
like what they would need to stand against India's might (20 PAC-3/ERINT batteries and 200 AIM-120 on 60-100 F-16C.50+ for a minimum starting
i.e. Selling them junk IS the long view. Because the terrorists are going to neither use nor sell AIM-9Ms when the governments can hock them cheap,
directly, under the table using secure nationalized delivery methods.
And the while there is no achievable endgame purpose inherent to hopping in bed with the Paks, that is not the present Administration's (or the
controlling powers behind all such Presidencies) goal. Their goal is to 'stabilize' Iraq into contractor ownership of the oil production rights.
Coup De Crude.
And towards that end, it is not necessary, indeed it is /counterproductive/, to find and finish Osama as the living symbol of WILL behind which terror
They need the hysteria as bad as the bad guys do to keep a military presence in Iraq and thus secure the slow but continuous process of rebuilding and
updating of the extraction, partial refinement and delivery/lading infrastructure there.
You can mutter all you like about WMD. In 10-15 years it will be so widely proliferated that the only way to ensure our safety is to make it clear
that isotopic analysis will let us back track the country of origin on any weapon detonated over U.S. or Allied soil. A nation which will promptly be
annihilated in turn.
No Questions Asked.
Thus making each and every 'rogue nation' into responsible card carrying members of the Nuclear club, willy or nilly. Such is the only means to
isolate nuclear material within federal control of each nation and it was an assured outcome consequence the very /moment/ we let Israel steal
material from U.S. back in the sixties.
A FAR more dangerous event will happen in the period 2015-2020 when NON NUCLEAR directed energy weapons along the lines of THEL and M-THEL begin field
trials and become the 'new nukes' as rapidly proliferated weapons systems which effectively KT-Boundary manned airpower overnight.
Again, from this 'far sighted' perspective; the likelihood that the transfer of a few surplus AIM-9M will have any meaning at all to the strategic
equation is tangential at best.
P.S. Ask ANY halfway competent tacair pilot in any service and he will tell you right off the bat that WVR combat is a spin of the cylinder with 3
bullets loaded. Expendables don't work well on modern imaging or pseudo imaging seekers and the increasing offboresight and envelope cue
sophistication as well as kinematic weapon performance makes a hash of conventional airframe EM diagrams because a man can come into a fight slow,
stop his plane dead, 'flip it' 50-60` to minimize weathercock. And fire across the circle with upwards of .7 SSPK at any point in any evolution you
care to describe. In this context, at least until TADIRCM or similar systems come online; Robbie Shaw's 'Fighter Tactics' have largely become
meaningless for the value and replacement interval of the plane as much as pilot.
And even a (datalink shoot list cueing) passive engagement refusal to merge does not always bring dominant certainty of leverage because there is as
much as 4-5 miles of extended envelope positioning on the bigger 6" weapons which makes inner-zone AMRAAM dangerously uncertain to succeed in a
cleanup second shot condition from an initial 12-17 mile outer pole.