Historical Storm unfolding in Texas and Oklahoma

Good to see you all on this wonderful day, and i hope all of you had a great Christmas and have a happy new year, having said that we are on the cusp of a historical storm which will include (in the warm sector) tornadoes, damaging winds, large hail and blizzard conditions on the back side of this powerful Low pressure system that is still digging south eastwards near the Texas New mexico border.

I have included a picture of this feature:


A tornado watch has been issued for north central Texas and atmospheric conditions are becoming very favorable for discrete rotating super cells ahead of the cold front. All of north Texas is in an "enhanced risk" category and with the breaks in clouds we are receiving this will only further destabilize our atmosphere.

Some words from SPC

...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT FROM
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS NORTHEAST INTO THE OZARKS AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY.
THE GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL...INCLUDING A FEW TORNADOES...IS
EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA.

...SYNOPSIS...

MID AND UPPER-LEVEL WIND MAXIMA FROM SRN CA INTO BAJA AND THE GULF
OF CA WILL DEVELOP SEWD INTO NWRN MEXICO...CONTRIBUTING TO THE
OVERALL DEEPENING OF THE PARENT CLOSED LOW AS IT TRACKS FROM SRN AZ
TO FAR WRN TX AND CHIHUAHUA MEXICO BY 12Z/SUNDAY. THIS PATTERN
EVOLUTION WILL RESULT IN A CORRIDOR OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS/DCVA
SPREADING EWD ACROSS NWRN MEXICO INTO SWRN TX THIS PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING OVER CHIHUAHUA
MEXICO WILL DEVELOP GENERALLY EWD ALONG A SWD-SURGING COLD FRONT
INTO THE TX BIG BEND BY THIS EVENING BEFORE REACHING THE TX HILL
COUNTRY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

...SRN PLAINS INTO OZARK PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

12Z RAOB DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY MOIST AIR MASS IN
PLACE ACROSS THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WITH LOWEST-100-MB
MEAN-MIXING RATIOS OF 13-16 G/KG BENEATH MODESTLY STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 7 C/KM. AND WHILE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL
LIMIT THE DEGREE OF BOUNDARY-LAYER WARMING...THE RICH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500
J/KG.

TSTMS /MAINLY ELEVATED/ ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING THIS MORNING ACROSS
WRN NORTH TX AND OK WITHIN A ZONE OF STRONG WAA AND ISENTROPIC
ASCENT ALONG A 40-50 KT LLJ...IMMEDIATELY TO THE NORTH OF A SURFACE
FRONT STRETCHING FROM A WEAK LOW NEAR FST NEWD TO NEAR SPS AND THEN
EWD TO N OF TXK. SOME OF THESE ELEVATED STORMS MAY CONTAIN
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE CONTINUED NWD MOVEMENT
OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT THROUGH THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND OZARK
PLATEAU BEFORE IT IS OVERTAKEN BY A POWERFUL COLD FRONT SURGING SWD
THROUGH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. AS SUCH...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
SURFACE-BASED SUPERCELLS --AND ATTENDANT TORNADO THREAT-- WILL EXIST
WITHIN THIS WAA REGIME --AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT-- THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EVENING FROM PORTIONS OF CNTRL TX INTO SERN OK AND WRN AR WHERE
A FAVORABLE OVERLAP OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL RESIDE. OTHERWISE...EXPECT STORMS FORMING ALONG THE COLD
FRONT TO QUICKLY BECOME UNDERCUT AND SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WITH THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG
WINDS.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT WITH EARLIER DATA IN SUGGESTING
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SEPARATE BAND OF TSTMS OVER SWRN TX THIS
EVENING WITHIN THE PRIMARY ZONE OF DEEP-LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT
PRECEDING THE UPPER LOW. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE
EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION TONIGHT WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL BEFORE BECOMING UNDERCUT BY THE SWD-SURGING COLD FRONT.

And as you can see we already have a tornado warning in Oklahoma the red square indicating a Tornado warned area


From NWS regarding the warned area

Tornado Warning
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
108 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

OKC049-099-261930-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0144.000000T0000Z-151226T1930Z/
MURRAY OK-GARVIN OK-
108 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CST FOR WESTERN
MURRAY AND SOUTH CENTRAL GARVIN COUNTIES...

AT 108 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF TURNER FALLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.

THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
WESTERN MURRAY AND SOUTH CENTRAL GARVIN COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3438 9722 3438 9735 3459 9732 3461 9721
3457 9709
TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 209DEG 42KT 3442 9727

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...

a reply to: TechniXcality

If you wish to watch a live stream of the storm chasers out today in Texas here is a link

Storm chasers live stream


I will primarily focus on the storms in Texas which are already firing however they could become severe at anytime, but between the 5pm - 10pm i expect them to become more active as the cold front nears. this is a one two punch, on the back side of this low will be blizzard conditions with snow drifts west of Abilene, nearing 10 ft! Everyone be careful stay safe and keep your eyes on the sky, and hopefully after all the craziness we can enjoy building a snowman Monday morning.

a reply to: TechniXcality

Tornado warning:

| Tornado Warning TORNADO WARNING TXC161-289-293-395-262030- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0121.151226T1943Z-151226T2030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 143 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHEASTERN ROBERTSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... SOUTHWESTERN FREESTONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... WEST CENTRAL LEON COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 230 PM CST * AT 143 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRANKLIN...OR 23 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GROESBECK...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... TEAGUE AROUND 225 PM CST. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE MARQUEZ. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 189 AND 191. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. && LAT...LON 3113 9623 3114 9644 3164 9640 3162 9614 TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 184DEG 36KT 3122 9633 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...

a reply to: TechniXcality

These storms that are firing just south of Dallas are moving north, one is already tornado warned the HRRR model shows these storms becoming more organized and rotating all of north Texas needs to be aware.



To illustrate just how dynamic and powerful this system is we have blizzard warning and winter storm warnings/watches and tornado watches,some overlapping, and all within a stones throw of eachother. This is a very powerful and dynamic storm that will effect us over the next two days, also flooding will occur in north Texas with upwards of six inches of rain expected before a change over to snow Monday morning, get ready and hunker down.

a reply to: TechniXcality

Another tornado warning issued a county just south of Dallas! Moving north at 55mph

NWS (national weather service)

* TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN LIMESTONE COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... WESTERN NAVARRO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN HILL COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 230 PM CST * AT 149 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HUBBARD...OR 17 MILES NORTHEAST OF BELLMEAD...MOVING NORTH AT 55 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... HUBBARD AROUND 155 PM CST. DAWSON AROUND 200 PM CST. BLOOMING GROVE AND BARRY AROUND 215 PM CST. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE MOUNT CALM...MALONE...EMHOUSE...PENELOPE AND FROST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. && LAT...LON 3166 9676 3169 9692 3175 9696 3208 9688 3226 9651 TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 193DEG 50KT 3175 9685 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...

a reply to: TechniXcality



These storms highlighted within the black circle will directly effect the Dallas metro area within the next two hours, two of these storms are tornado warned.

Confirmed tornado on ground south of Dallas.

These storms seem serious. Thank you for bringing this to our attention.

a reply to: lostbook

yes sir no problem, everyone stay safe. I always get concerned when such a dynamic system comes to fruition they say its not a matter of if but when a ef5 tornado hits Dallas directly, which would be catastrophic.

a reply to: TechniXcality

Be safe, friend.
It looks as if you all are about to get hammered!

Snow right behind! GEEZ!

a reply to: TechniXcality

Oh no, these things look really bad. Is this where you live?
I hope no one gets hurt, look after yourself Tech.

B x

It is a huge system. Good luck to all involved, it's nice here in Florida.

a reply to: TechniXcality

Whoaaa!

That's one whopper of a Bird!

a reply to: beansidhe

Yes i live in Dallas, not to worry i love meteorology and when i can storm chasing. Ill keep everyone updated, this time the storms and snow come to me. Stay safe everyone

a reply to: TNMockingbird

Thank ya ma'am that's Texas for you being situated in just the right spot for these kind of "super storms", but i love it not the destruction of course but the beauty of storms and their dynamics. Will stay safe

The live streaming of the storm chasers is pretty cool. Thanks for the info.

another tornado warning if this continues it will hit south western Dallas county and move northward.

From NWS (national weather service)

TORNADO WARNING
TXC139-349-262100-
/O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0123.151226T2026Z-151226T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
226 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN NAVARRO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST

* AT 225 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BLOOMING GROVE...OR 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ENNIS...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BARDWELL AROUND 240 PM CST.
ALMA AROUND 245 PM CST.
PALMER AROUND 300 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE
GARRETT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 246 AND 258.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3211 9667 3212 9680 3244 9679 3241 9644
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 194DEG 33KT 3214 9673

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...

a reply to: TechniXcality

HI Tech, my Granddaughters are supposed to be coming in from Muskogee tomorrow.... I am 45 miles N. of Springfield Mo. Any problems?

Also what is the outlook between the 28th and the 5th when they return?

Thanks, we put off Christmas until they arrive, so hopefully all will be well.

Merry Christmas and a happy New Year.

Also we lost power early this am at wally, I was cart full and the registers went down.

Hum, mmy comp is throwing out posts by the dozens, sorry...