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Thus, we are left with five possible conclusions.
ONE: The US Government is trying to keep certain super weapon systems secret from the Soviets. In this age of advanced electronic, photographic, and other intelligence sensors , when the testing of a new system begins by any nation, the other participants in the geopolitical game soon learn of it.
TWO: The US Government, in cooperation with its allies, is playing a game with such rivals as the USSR, trying to confuse them with false reports of UFOs. The state of the art in intelligence collection and analysis, as well as science, precludes the possibility of such a ruse.
THREE: The US and its allies are attempting to keep UFOs a secret from the USSR. The Soviets, however, are as astute in space science as we are. If we know about UFOs, so do they...and so do all the technically advanced nations.
FOUR: There are no UFOs, nor have there ever been any contacts from outer space. However, the amount of circumstantial evidence to the contrary (including indications that our planet may have been visited in the distant past by extraterrestrials) argues against this conclusion--or at least for further study of the UFO phenomenon.
FIVE: There are UFOs or there have been contacts--if only signals --from outer space, but the evidence reveals the aliens are interested only in observing us. They have no hostile intentions and are no direct threat to any nation. But public knowledge of these facts could become a threat. If the existence of UFOs were to be officially confirmed, a chain reaction could be initiated that would result in the collapse of the Earth's present power structure. Thus, a secret international understanding--a conspiracy -- has been agreed to by the world powers to keep the public ignorant of and confused about contacts or visitations from beyond Earth.
originally posted by: karl 12
originally posted by: mbkennel
The CIA was very interested in UFO reports because they knew that many of them were their own operations (U-2 and Corona in the early days).
I know you keep on posting this claim but it is very far from universally accepted - will you please address the points made in THIS post (even infamous UFO cynic Robert Schaffer calls the idea 'nonsense').
a reply to: PlanetXisHERE
Great thread mate and I'm sure there is a lot of official secrecy and official ridicule knocking about when it comes to the UFO subject -as you know there are quite a few internal government documents from that time which show they took the UFO subject extremely seriously, this one's a good example and was sent to the Director of Central Intelligence by the Assistant Director Scientific Intelligence discussing how they're convinced there's something going on which needs immediate attention.
Other quotes:
"Maximum security exists concerning the subject of UFOs."
CIA Director, Allen Dulles, 1955.
"The Central Intelligence Agency has reviewed the current situation concerning unidentified flying objects which have created extensive speculation in the press and have been the subject of concern to Government organizations... Since 1947, approximately 2,000 official reports of sightings have been received and of these, about 20% are as yet unexplained."
"It is my view that this situation has possible implications for our national security which transcend the interests of a single service. A broader, coordinated effort should be initiated to develop a firm scientific understanding of the several phenomena which apparently are involved in these reports..." (1952 memorandum to the National Security Council.)
General Walter Bedell Smith, Director of the CIA from 1950-53
He's not exactly a UFO whistleblower per se but Victor Marchetti (once executive assistant to the Deputy Director of the CIA) also makes some interesting remarks in the 'rare but largely speculative' article below entitled "How the CIA Views the UFO Phenomenon".
Billy Cox over at the Herald-Tribune has recently posted this 'gem of an article' in its entirety and, even in a historical context it's well worth a read as it covers lots of aspects from official /religious attitudes towards the subject, government sponsered UFO studies right through to NSA and SIGNIT reports.
(Taken from Second Look magazine, Vol. 1, No. 7 in May 1979).
Retro Friday: a blast from the past
Before blowing the whistle on America's illegal covert Cold War activities, Victor Marchetti was a 14-year CIA veteran ultimately promoted to executive assistant to The Agency's Deputy Director. After resigning in 1969, he wrote two exposes -- 1971's The Rope Dancer, and The CIA and the Cult of Intelligence in 1974. The latter, which the federal government attempted to ban from publication, was among the many slings and arrows contributing to the formation of the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence hearings in 1975.
In 1979, Marchetti stoked yet another controversy by providing a rare if largely speculative glimpse into the mindset of The Agency's uneasy relationship with The Great Taboo. Titled "How the CIA Views the UFO Phenomenon," Marchetti's magazine piece took a cautious approach. "The topic was rarely discussed at internal meetings," he wrote. "It seemed to fall into the category of 'very sensitive activities,' e.g., drug and mind-control operations, domestic spying, and other illegal actions. People simply did not talk about the UFO phenomenon."
Full Sourced Article
I don't know why so many people are afraid to even discuss the ET hypothesis, they seem to come to the subject biased, which is the opposite of a true researcher or investigator.
originally posted by: ZetaRediculian
a reply to: Paperjacket
So when Regan said "What could be more alien to the universal aspiration of our people than war and the threat of war?” He wasn't talking about "war" or "the threat of war", he was talking specifically about aliens. So all the wars and potential wars we did have since then were actually aliens? Bin Laden was really an alien? Well I'll be a monkeys uncle. I don't mean I'm really an uncle to a monkey...no, wait...my brother did get into some crazy stuff.
"Here we had a number of object seen coming in across the North Sea on coastal radar. It looked like a Russian mistake. Jet aircraft were scrambled. The objects were travelling at quite impossible speeds like 4-5000 mph and then came to an abrupt halt near to one of these stations not very high up. Jet aircraft picked them up on aircraft radar. The objects then simply made rings round them."
Ralph Noyes,Senior Official with British Air Ministry
"During the 1955 Warsaw Pact exercises, a radar station in the area of Warsaw recognized two targets over the Gulf of Gdansk. The targets were moving at a speed of 2,300 km/h at an altitude of 20 thousand meters. In those days there was no aircraft with such performance. At one point it was noticed that the two objects did a 90 degrees turn, literally on the spot with no turning radius. This maneuver at such high speeds cannot be done. Most modern aircraft are unable to do so even today, and that was 50 years ago".
Colonel Grundmanem , Head of Poland's 'Air Traffic, Air Force and Air Defense'
originally posted by: aynock
a reply to: PlanetXisHERE
I don't know why so many people are afraid to even discuss the ET hypothesis, they seem to come to the subject biased, which is the opposite of a true researcher or investigator.
it seems to me it's discussed endlessly on ats
there are people who say that the et hypothesis is true, those that say they don't know, and those that say it's not true
do you consider a researcher biased in favour of the et hypothesis a true researcher?
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
originally posted by: aynock
a reply to: PlanetXisHERE
I don't know why so many people are afraid to even discuss the ET hypothesis, they seem to come to the subject biased, which is the opposite of a true researcher or investigator.
it seems to me it's discussed endlessly on ats
there are people who say that the et hypothesis is true, those that say they don't know, and those that say it's not true
do you consider a researcher biased in favour of the et hypothesis a true researcher?
Good question. I didn't exactly say it above but I have in other posts, people who automatically rule out the ET hypothesis cannot consider themselves true researchers. Why there was even one poster who banned people (technically she can't but I acquiesced to her wishes out of respect) from mentioning ET's in relation to a topic on UFO's! That sounds like the Catholic church in the 1300's refusing to entertain arguments of heliocentrism!
So back to your question. Yes, people who rule out ET's with respect to UFO's are not true researchers or investigators, they assign the ET connection a probability of zero. The opposite and equally biased are people who equate ET and UFO's and assign it a probability of one (assuming irrefutable evidence to indicate a probability of 1 does not exist, and many on here including myself are skeptical of this assumption). However, those that only FAVOR the ET and UFO connection are assigning it a probability of greater than .5 but less than one.
So no, those that favor it I don't consider them biased, only those who assign the probability 0 or 1 unless they have irrefutable evidence either way. At this point it is only my opinion that it will be easier to find evidence pointing to a "1" probability than a "0" probability.
originally posted by: 3danimator2014
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
originally posted by: aynock
a reply to: PlanetXisHERE
I don't know why so many people are afraid to even discuss the ET hypothesis, they seem to come to the subject biased, which is the opposite of a true researcher or investigator.
it seems to me it's discussed endlessly on ats
there are people who say that the et hypothesis is true, those that say they don't know, and those that say it's not true
do you consider a researcher biased in favour of the et hypothesis a true researcher?
Good question. I didn't exactly say it above but I have in other posts, people who automatically rule out the ET hypothesis cannot consider themselves true researchers. Why there was even one poster who banned people (technically she can't but I acquiesced to her wishes out of respect) from mentioning ET's in relation to a topic on UFO's! That sounds like the Catholic church in the 1300's refusing to entertain arguments of heliocentrism!
So back to your question. Yes, people who rule out ET's with respect to UFO's are not true researchers or investigators, they assign the ET connection a probability of zero. The opposite and equally biased are people who equate ET and UFO's and assign it a probability of one (assuming irrefutable evidence to indicate a probability of 1 does not exist, and many on here including myself are skeptical of this assumption). However, those that only FAVOR the ET and UFO connection are assigning it a probability of greater than .5 but less than one.
So no, those that favor it I don't consider them biased, only those who assign the probability 0 or 1 unless they have irrefutable evidence either way. At this point it is only my opinion that it will be easier to find evidence pointing to a "1" probability than a "0" probability.
Pretty sure us skeptics have been speaking English. Yet you still don't understand out very simple position.
So let me explain it again. We believe it is possible that aliens are visiting earth. But we don't believe they are.
You belive they are but have no proof whatsoever. Zero proof. That's what we say. No zero possibility
originally posted by: 3danimator2014
a reply to: PlanetXisHERE
Well, for me at least, its above zero, sure. But since i dont know any variables or have any more info, i cant give a number. But i absolutely believe in alien life and the POSSIBILTY of them coming here.
I guess my point is, i don't want to read any more reports from the 50s and 60s ...when people were much more easily fooled about flashing lights in the sky or Venus, Sirius or Chinese lanterns.
Its 2014.
There is no reason anymore not to have super high res images or high def footage of any alien craft supposedly in the sky.
And when/f that footage comes out, then i will believe they are here.
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
so would you say a skeptic, as opposed to someone in favor of the UFO-ET hypothesis, views the probability of the UFO-ET connection as greater than zero but less than .5 ?
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
With the advent of good quality smart phone cameras and YouTube there are more videos and pictures being made public, but there are more hoaxes as well.
originally posted by: DelMarvel
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
so would you say a skeptic, as opposed to someone in favor of the UFO-ET hypothesis, views the probability of the UFO-ET connection as greater than zero but less than .5 ?
That question is impossible to answer. It would be a meaningless figure. How do you suggest going about determining that? What is the probability that UFOs are the creation of Rastafarian magicians who were trained by an ancient race of hominids? The probability that physical beings from outside the solar system have come here has to be very low but I don't know how one would determine what it is.
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
My original point was that some skeptics assign the ET-UFO connection a probability of zero, they completely rule it out, and that position has less credibility than someone who assigns it a probability of 1
originally posted by: DelMarvel
originally posted by: PlanetXisHERE
My original point was that some skeptics assign the ET-UFO connection a probability of zero, they completely rule it out, and that position has less credibility than someone who assigns it a probability of 1
Anyone who assigns it a probability of 1 is asserting something they cannot prove. I don' see how that is more credible than someone who completely rules it out.
Thus the UFO-ET connection by definition has a probability greater than zero
originally posted by: DelMarvel
a reply to: PlanetXisHERE
After reading Aynock's post I'm not sure I know what you are actually saying.
My interpretation of what you originally wrote was that you meant that someone who claims UFOs are without question ET is more credible than someone who claims UFOs are absolutely not ET.
Is that what you mean?