Will the stock markets crash Monday morning?

reply to post by cosmicexplorer


Try this


Get this

Well, let the market crash. There are a couple of hot stocks I have been eying for quite some time now and a steep selloff is what I need to buy on the serious dip.

There was the article from the Washington Times posted above back in 2012. That was the first signal.

Then there is the 1929 stock correlation. Oddly enough, the big drop is lining up pretty synonymously with this week.

Scary 1929 market chart gains traction

Then this was posted on Yahoo! Finance over the weekend:

Indicator: Risk of 'Black Swan' Event is Elevated

Ball that all together with the Russia/Ukraine crisis, and watching what happens today, I'm certainly interested to see what happens. Either they are trying to force a scare into the markets, the markets are actually going to crash, or this has just been a bunch of very interesting coincidences leading up to this point.

On the other hand, everything in market news looks honkey dorey, which is ridiculous considering the crisis. It almost feels like they are trying to put on a fake smile amidst a meltdown.

reply to post by TheNewRevolution


for every article showing the "frightening" similarity in the charts, there's an article showing why it's nothing to be bothered with.

www.thereformedbroker.com...
www.businessinsider.com...


more important, a drop that mirrored the 29 crash would be about a 20% drop (the single day limit based on the aforementioned trade curb). a 3,200 point correction would be welcomed by many and is, actually, something that many are expecting. It wouldn't have the devastating impact that the 29 drop did and, more likely, would result in some folks taking a bath while others will jump in and snatch up those discounts, pushing the markets back in the right direction.

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


Historically, the "smart" investors you mention are the ones who stay in the market long term to see a rise in the price from where they were in the beginning of the drop. A crash is different from a drop in the market which we could very well see. The typical investor like you or me will leave things where they are and wait for the market to again climbing in value which it is likely to do again and again. The big investors, primarily the ones who do our investing could take a risk and sell off to reap current profits on the chance the market will sink to lows, then they will buy again to reap the profits from a resurgence, once the stabilization returns.

Do I believe the market is ripe for a big drop ?: Yes I have always believed the market to be overvalued by as much as 50% however as long as people are willing to keep investing, then this correction may not come. I find it hard to believe that a company which has never shown a profit can be worth more on paper than they in assets but this is what investing is all about, I just believe it has gotten a bit out of hand as some have discovered with Bitcoin, not exactly the same thing but sorta of as investors put money into something not worth anything on the chance it would produce, then someone pulled the plug and everything went down the drain.

reply to post by DJMSN


the smart investors often buy more when the prices drop substantially to lower their overall cost so that, when prices increase again, they've got a shorter way to go before they see profits again.

the brilliant investors are making their money regardless. they are a rare breed, but they exist.

reply to post by Crakeur


That's what I was attempting to convey, the guys that invest our money meaning small investors like 401K will sell off high to reap the profits and thus could start a downward trend in the market which some would call a correction or even crash depending on how big a sell off it is, then they will buy low and wait again for the same thing over and over.

And Warren Buffet comes to mind as one of the brilliant investors you mention...another record year in 2013

Last year's run could actually provide one factor that will help create that downward spiral.

with the market's rise last year, lots of folks with mutual funds, will see those ugly capital gains that are built into the fund and passed through as taxable income, creating taxes due. If/when that happens, many will sell funds to pay the taxes. This happened in 2000. After a huge year, many were staring at larger than normal tax bills and, with their funds as high as they were, they started withdrawing cash from said funds. The funds, in an effort to keep up with the cash requests, had to sell stocks to produce more cash, this drove the market down, causing some to worry and sell their stocks and funds, seeking more cash to pull into safety. Downward spiral begin.

We could see that again this year. From the few returns I've seen so far, there's been some larger than usual capital gain distributions in the funds.

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


Are you sure you're not over stating the situation. I don't see those moves happening today and Monday morning market open is in less than 16 hours away.

reply to post by qwerty12345


Because without a free market we're back to the robber barrons of the early twentieth century. All the money in a few pockets. Oh you think that's what it's like now. No way. I have a piece and I'm no body . There was a much broader seperation of class then. And middle class were just lower class with better diggs. .

reply to post by cosmicexplorer


I read what you wrote but I read baklava and expected to see pastry I swear.
I was even ready to tell you that baklava is Greek not Russian. Lol

reply to post by Jaellma


Exactly! Half price sale. Everyone buy stocks if they fall far enough (50%will not happen though)

reply to post by Crakeur


Gosh a voice of reason. What a surprise.

AutumnWitch657
reply to post by cosmicexplorer

 

I read what you wrote but I read baklava and expected to see pastry I swear.
I was even ready to tell you that baklava is Greek not Russian. Lol

edit on PM000000310000000330916312014-03-02T17:16:41-06:00 by AutumnWitch657 because: (no reason given)

So funny you said that....i actually googled it wrong at first and got that! hahahha

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


No, Saturn is still propping up the market. You have another year-ish before the market will crash.

It might dip a little bit, maybe 2-3% (which is still fairly significant). Riskier assets will likely see a sell-off and the price of oil may rise, but until the threat of global conflict becomes conceivable I think that is as far as it will go.

reply to post by MerkabaMeditation


Yes, I already said this 2 Days ago. Monday and Tuesday with a big non economy suprise Thursday.Enjoy

Japan's stock exchanges have been open for 30 minutes now and it looks bad:

- Japan 225 index is down 2.3%
- Nikkei 225 index is down 2%

Live indexes from Japan

Australian markets are down by more than 1%.

-MM

reply to post by Crakeur


A 20% drop welcomed? I think if anything greater than a 5% drop were to occur you would see mass panic selling and fear. If you see 20% as the "correction" what about the fear sellers that will drop because of it? People aren't just going to stare, slackjawed at the markets while their savings and funds depreciate by that much, without doing anything about it. The idea is simply ridiculous.

Any substantial drop will do just that. It will devastate market confidence.

Gold Opens with a tad bit of Ukrainian Urgency up $15+ early(UPDATED)

It's now at +18