posted on Jan, 18 2012 @ 06:19 PM
reply to post by Blackmarketeer
Ron Paul leaving the Republican party to go independent would be bad for both Ron Paul and the Republican party. If Ron Paul leaves the Republican
party, Ron Paul's core support, whom may now make up 15% of the Republican party, will leave with him, and the Republicans cannot afford that right
now. In contrast, if Ron Paul runs independent or Libertarian, he will have far less of a chance to gain the presidency than if he remained within the
Republican party. The best Paul could hope for is a perot styled gain, where he may at best gain afew million votes, possibly 3 or so states, but not
win the nomination. It's a two way street.
Paul so far has the second largest collection of delegates. According to realclearpolitics he has surpassed Santorum in 3rd place for South Carolina,
and his support seems to be growing, in contrast to Santorum and Gingrich. So Bill Kristol doesn't seem to make a compelling argument, and this is an
analysis from an outsider, who does not like Ron Paul (aside from his foreign policy, every else about him turns me off, I wouldn't vote for somebody
like him ever). Maybe Bill should ask for Perry and Santorum to step down? Makes more sense given the situation. Even with evangelical support,
Santorums position is South Carolina has been in decline.