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Thousands of residents have been ordered to evacuate southwest Sydney, Australia’s biggest city, with torrential rain and damaging winds pounding the east coast and floods expected to be worse than those that hit the region in the past year.
Heavy rain and overflowing dams and rivers all combined to threaten flash floods and landslides along the east coast from Newcastle to Batemans Bay in New South Wales state on Sunday, and rain was expected to intensify in the night.
“If you were safe in 2021, do not assume you will be safe tonight. This is a rapidly evolving situation and we could very well see areas impacted that have never experienced flooding before,” New South Wales Minister for Emergency Services Steph Cooke said in a televised media briefing on Sunday evening.
Earlier in the day, she urged people to reconsider holiday travel, with the rough weather having hit at the beginning of school holidays.
“This is a life-threatening emergency situation,” Cooke said.
So I thought last year's floods were at historical levels it seems this year's version is even worse.
originally posted by: nugget1
a reply to: putnam6
So I thought last year's floods were at historical levels it seems this year's version is even worse.
If you let a sponge completely dry out, then pour a cup of water on it the majority will run off; only a small amount gets absorbed. The same thing happens to land when it's been in prolonged drought, so flooding is going to be reoccurring theme until/if the land gets fully hydrated again.
So what’s caused the current flood problem?
The first driver of this disaster is nature and geography.
For many months now, much of New South Wales has experienced significant rain and associated flooding.
There’s a reason both the Hawkesbury-Nepean and Lismore flood the way they do – geography. Both areas sit in low-lying bowl-like depressions in the landscape.
Lismore sits at the confluence of several large rivers that each drain significant catchments – and so can deliver large floods.
And in the Hawkesbury-Nepean, huge rivers have to pass through a very tight “pinch point” known as the Sackville Bathtub. This slows the flow, causing water to back up across the floodplain.
The NSW government wants to raise the wall of the Warragamba Dam to help alleviate this problem. But as others have argued, this controversial proposal might not work. That’s because raising the wall will control only about half the floodwater, and won’t prevent major floods delivered by other rivers feeding the region.
The second factor making the current floods so bad is the exposure of infrastructure and housing. In the Hawkesbury-Nepean region, lots of stuff people care about – such as homes, businesses and schools – is in the path of floodwaters.
In an ideal world, nothing would be built on a floodplain. But due to Sydney’s growing population and the housing affordability crisis, local governments in Western Sydney have been under pressure to build more and more homes, despite the known flood risk.
In 2018, more than 140,000 people lived or worked on the Hawkesbury-Nepean floodplain. Due to this large population and the region’s geography, the area has the most significant and unmitigated community flood exposure in Australia.
Looking ahead
Unfortunately, the wet conditions we’re now seeing may persist for some time. Recent climate modelling suggests Australia may face a third consecutive La Nina this spring and summer.
This extra rain will fall on already soaked landscapes, further increasing the likelihood of flooding. And the ramifications will extend far beyond affected communities.
Disruptions will be felt in agriculture, supply chains, transport routes and broader state and national economies.
originally posted by: putnam6
So I thought last year's floods were at historical levels it seems this year's version is even worse.
‘Life threatening’ floods force evacuations in Sydney, Australia
Thousands of residents in Sydney’s suburbs are ordered to evacuate amid torrential rains and the threat of flash floods.
Thousands of residents have been ordered to evacuate southwest Sydney, Australia’s biggest city, with torrential rain and damaging winds pounding the east coast and floods expected to be worse than those that hit the region in the past year.
Heavy rain and overflowing dams and rivers all combined to threaten flash floods and landslides along the east coast from Newcastle to Batemans Bay in New South Wales state on Sunday, and rain was expected to intensify in the night.
“If you were safe in 2021, do not assume you will be safe tonight. This is a rapidly evolving situation and we could very well see areas impacted that have never experienced flooding before,” New South Wales Minister for Emergency Services Steph Cooke said in a televised media briefing on Sunday evening.
Earlier in the day, she urged people to reconsider holiday travel, with the rough weather having hit at the beginning of school holidays.
“This is a life-threatening emergency situation,” Cooke said.
originally posted by: DaRAGE
Building in flood plains is stupid. Expect to get wet. Dummies.
A new study has found events like those that led to flooding in Sydney in March could become 80 per cent more likely by 2100 under moderate and high emissions scenarios
As temperatures warm, the atmosphere's water holding capacity increases so when it rains we get more rainfall
This means flooding is something we are likely to have to deal with more often
In an ideal world, nothing would be built on a floodplain.
In 2018, more than 140,000 people lived or worked on the Hawkesbury-Nepean floodplain. Due to this large population and the region’s geography, the area has the most significant and unmitigated community flood exposure in Australia.
It is evident that while the earthquake risk is much lower than in cities such as Tokyo and Los Angeles, which are on active plate margins, the risk in the Sydney region must be addressed, particularly for special buildings like schools, hospitals, dams and high rise office blocks.
Anon:
China and a lot of other places are having the same problems. The rain bands have moved as the polar and equatorial jetstreams are merging. It might be permanent, but has nothing to do with humans, it would be nice if it was as we could then have some control over it.
Just after the end of the last ice age 10,000 years ago 57% of the world’s habitable land was covered by forest. That’s 6 billion hectares . Today, only 4 billion hectares are left.
originally posted by: nugget1
a reply to: putnam6
Thank you for educating me on the background, P. It looks like Sydney is between a rock and a hard spot.
In an ideal world, nothing would be built on a floodplain.
In 2018, more than 140,000 people lived or worked on the Hawkesbury-Nepean floodplain. Due to this large population and the region’s geography, the area has the most significant and unmitigated community flood exposure in Australia.
So many times man does what he wants, even if it's against Mother Nature- then in our infinite wisdom we come up with solutions to try and force nature to conform to us. The more we try, the worse things seem to get.
It's nice to think we have the ultimate power to control and tame MN, but in the end I believe she will have the last laugh.
FWIW:
It is evident that while the earthquake risk is much lower than in cities such as Tokyo and Los Angeles, which are on active plate margins, the risk in the Sydney region must be addressed, particularly for special buildings like schools, hospitals, dams and high rise office blocks.
[www.tandfonline.com...]
originally posted by: PureBlood
Lucky Australia has a new Prime Minister who has Australian Safety as his number 1 priority, and he will work to resolve this disaster at warp speed. Wait What?.... he's in the Ukraine kissing Zelensky's ass?
Crikey!
My apologies Nugget I hope I didn't come across as a know-it-all jerkwad