Quake Watch 2014

I have no time to explain anything. My bones have told me a big one is coming. Clustering. Americas. Just line them up. Migrating eastward.

a reply to: ericblair4891

no aftershocks?
interesting location.....in 7 years they've had maybe a handful of smaller quakes......
Maybe one to watch today.
Be safe

a reply to: ujustneverknow

On RSOE it shows a couple aftershocks.....whew !

Just found that location odd when compared to the norm.....

M 6.8 - 173km SSE of Mata-Utu, Wallis and Futuna

Tsunami Warning Center
Time
2014-06-29 10:52:32 UTC-05:00
Location
14.600°S 175.300°W
Depth
10.0km




PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
902 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2014

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0753 AKDT JUN 29 2014
0853 PDT JUN 29 2014
1553 UTC JUN 29 2014
* COORDINATES 14.6 SOUTH 175.3 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION SAMOA ISLANDS REGION


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.






update

M 6.2 - 198km NW of Hihifo, Tonga

Tsunami Warning Center
Time
2014-06-29 10:52:22 UTC-05:00
Location
14.924°S 175.269°W
Depth
9.7km

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
902 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2014

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0753 AKDT JUN 29 2014
0853 PDT JUN 29 2014
1553 UTC JUN 29 2014
* COORDINATES 14.6 SOUTH 175.3 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION SAMOA ISLANDS REGION


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

originally posted by: dreamfox1

5.2
50km NW of Lordsburg, New Mexico
2014-06-28 21:59:33 UTC-07:005.0 km

This is where the USGS location format leaves much to be desired, it was actually in ARIZONA!

If they are intending to be accurate it should have maybe read;
10.38 km, 220°52′30″(SW) of Franklin, AZ 85534

or maybe
3km E of Stock and Gillespie Canyons, Peloncillo Mts, SE Arizona

I am sure the locals would have recognized these locations better than the distance from a town in another state!

Not much history within 150km circle (either State)
only 12 prior, back to 1975 on ANSS
interactive map


a reply to: Ilovemygreatdanes
Did you fill in a DYFI report? even if it was a "rum" its still worth reporting, that is how they build a database, they may have given you a MM1 intensity (not felt)

Importance of Your Contribution and a Caveat
It is important that you fill out a questionnaire, even if your ZIP code is already colored-in on the Community Internet Intensity Map for the earthquake. The more questionnaires that are received for your ZIP code, the more reliable will be the average intensity assigned to that ZIP code. Even if you did not feel the earthquake, your questionnaire is important: in areas of lighter shaking, the "not-felt" responses are needed to prevent the average ZIP-code intensities from being too high. earthquake.usgs.gov...

I see that Sierra Vista reported
MM3 = 115
MM2 = 24
earthquake.usgs.gov...

Whoa, a 5+ in New Mexico?? (edit: I see it was in Arizona, not NM) 4+ in Utah? Shallow 6.8 in the Wallis & Futuna region? Look at all the fun I miss scouring weather satellite imagery for the invest off the FL east coast instead of checking the quake lists o.O

Fingers crossed that nothing bigger pops off today anywhere populated

a reply to: ericblair4891

Better not be Cascadia!, I'm coming over to Vancouver tomorrow!

a reply to: muzzy

That was my worry when we were going to Australia, almost two years ago.
There was that prediction for something in LA & Sydney!
And we were making stops in both!
I think there might have been some activity in the Pacific right before too.

Hopefully this flurry is over & there won't be anything new while you are here!
Can you say, OTSR? On the spot reporter???!!! Lol! Just kidding!
How long will you be there?
Have a safe trip!
WOQ

a reply to: wasobservingquietly

Thanks WOQ, will be over in Alberta for 2 weeks then back through BC for another 2 weeks, probably pop over to Van.Island for a day or two, I'll see if I can feel those tremors they have there, looks like lately they were clustered SW and S of Nanaimo, but more is happening down Portland OR way in the last 24-48hrs
www.pnsn.org...

Pretty strong day going by average.

`a reply to: muzzy

Perhaps they could serve you some extra big frog legs on the island.

Evidently it's overran with huge bullfrogs.

originally posted by: muzzy
a reply to: ericblair4891



Better not be Cascadia!, I'm coming over to Vancouver tomorrow!

Actually, if it happens while you're here, I'm sure we can use your help.

2.8
26km SSW of West Bishop, California

4.5
39km ESE of Jesus Carranza, Mexico

5.8
North of Ascension Island

Game over folks. World is ending. Wouldn't be surprised if the next quake was a 6.66 in Christ, Arizona.

originally posted by: IZombie
2.8
26km SSW of West Bishop, California

4.5
39km ESE of Jesus Carranza, Mexico

5.8
North of Ascension Island

Game over folks. World is ending. Wouldn't be surprised if the next quake was a 6.66 in Christ, Arizona.

I'd say we're more screwed if one happens in the vicinity of Hell, Michigan.. But that's highly unlikely, I'd wager. Still, either Christ, AZ or Hell, MI would make for plenty of jokes regarding odd location names in succession

a reply to: muzzyi am siwearing and i am so upset -


I HATE THIS STUPID LAP TOP> I T hHAS ERASED TWO ATTEMPTS AT WRITING. i AM DONE. SCREAM.

MUZZY.
THE AMERICAS ARE MOVING.
CLUSTERING.

iT ERASED MORE STUFF. THIS PEICE OF CRAP IS AN ACER LAPTOP. I'D TROW IT IN THE RIVER IF I COULD.

ALAKSA WIERD.
CLUSTER IN SOUTH AMERICA.
WORLDWIDE CLUSTERING.
QUAKES IN THE AMERICAS MOVING EAST AND MORE INLAND --- THE PLATE IS MOVINBG AND FALLIND AWAY UNDER THE CONTINENT.
WE HAVE SEEN LARGE MULTIPLE EARTHQUAKES IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THe ring of fire. now we are going to see the west kick in.


Cascadia. yes. but first central america. then, maybe california, moderate, then, the disaster, probalbyly cascadia, but just as likely is mexico, again, or maybe north of vancouver. whereever, or whenever, it's coming soon.

sorry
stupid laptop

a reply to: Nyiah

Perhaps it will strike in Purgatory, Colorado and then there may be Dead Women Crossing in Oklahoma. Mind, as you bid a fond farewell to the world you may be looking for Intercourse, Pennsylvania or even Knob Lick, Missouri as you wend your way to Satans Kingdom, Massachusetts, or Vermont if you prefer but I would not recommend Shag Rocks (Massachusetts) but maybe all of that is better than ending up in Boring, Oregon which is twinned with Dull in Scotland!

I wouldn't throw a laptop in a river. I don't pollute.

Sorry for that mess above. I will not be trying to type on a laptop again. Even good keyboards are not my favorite thing. It's the old clickity-clack of a typewriter that I love. Hmmm? anyways.

I still don't have time. So, I'm hoping you guys already know what I have been stating about the Americas and the patterns of earthquakes. Again this morning, Alaska is still weird. The western USA earthquake are connected in some way. I can't say where I believe the next big Americas will hit other than to suggest Central America northward. So, yes Vancouver is in the area. I wouldn't even count out Alaska again with something 8ish. If I've repeated anything that was already in the post above, I apologize. I didn't read it.

a reply to: ericblair4891

56 earthquakes since 01 April this year displayed in IRIS Earthquake Browser. All of these look very normal places and normal quake sizes. I have to say that they are not twitching my doom detection system in any way.

Some go East and Some go West, some go North and some go South - just as they normally do.


ETA: But as you say Alaska has the potential. (I have my stress calcs running again!)

Click the image to enlarge


Mm. Or has it???

Click the image to enlarge

This compares the top chart of ANSS data to a hybrd chart of Centennial data to 2001 and ANSS data from there to 2014

Apart from the fact that the 1964 quake is 8.6 in ANSS and 9.2 in the centennial which tends to smooth the jaggedness, note the scale topping 1,500 for ANSS and 11,000 for CENT/ANSS, the hybrid chart is more likely to be correct as the great bulk of the magnitudes in the hybrid data are in the same Mw unit.

If that is the case then there are ~3000 petajoules to hit the peak before the 9.2 so at rounded up to 6 PJ periodic energy that means about 500 MONTHS before it reaches the next capability of a mag 9.2. This does not mean that mag 8+ won't happen in between, but 9 is out for some time I think.

a reply to: ericblair4891
is your hand hitting the mouse pad by mistake?? try using the Fn key and F7 at the same time to disable it while you are typing... my acer drives me crazy too when it does that.

I haven't done one of these for ages, like Feb 2014 was the last one, too hard to keep up with the list when I'm busy with other stuff.
Just threw this on while waiting for the plane ....
seemed a pretty busy period ....
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (LDEO) interactive map with detections for the period 23/06 to 30/06/2014
.
list of same
.
my LDEO page

accuracy of location is not LDEO's strong point, as they locate to the nearest 1/4 degree of Lat/Long, but its nice to get an overall picture of where things are happening ....