posted on Jan, 31 2013 @ 03:41 AM
www.bbc.co.uk...
The problem with Russia stating their 'concern' at Israeli air strikes on the scientific research centre in Jamraya near Damacus, is that Assad will
look upon it as support, and just may embolden him to act in some sort of show of face? Then again, if Iran was to act, it will not do so with
military strikes, but with terror tactics. I think we may see Hezbollah fire a few missiles into Israel, and Israel retaliate with over-the-top
responses as it usually does on Palestine.
Assad knows he's beat. He's cornered, and backed into a corner. He's going to lose his chemical weaponry, so perhaps his best option would be to
use them, and take as much of the region down with him, or indeed, ignite the start of a wider conflict embroiling the whole Middle East?
Russia will not act on their concern with any form of military action. Their only real concern is for their naval base at Tartus. As long as they get
to keep their naval base, they won't care too much whom rules Syria. To be honest, this is a pivotal moment for Assad, he has to either respond with
military acts against Israel, or step down? Iran knows if they were to openly get involved, it would be the catalyst for the West to act on them, and
I cannot see them risking it.
China has been silent on the attacks by Israel, but may also state token concerns the way Russia has. Our concern should be if Israel continue to make
air incursions into Syria, the more they do so, the more self-determined 'right' Assad has to fire back. The US and western allies won't get
involved unless Iran openly and stupidly attacks Israel, or diplomatically against any military action from Russia, whom can only act in defence of
its naval base, and less so in defence of an so-called ally, from whose territory are evacuating personnel, which you only do if you know a conflict
is coming.