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Peak Oil, Finite Resources, Infinite Growth, Mathematics and Logic

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posted on Jan, 10 2016 @ 07:57 PM
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These alternative go largely ignored in part because then we do not need
to be in the middle east at all or have 700+ bases in 100+ nations.

Plants obtain only a few % of solar energy. The area necessary to support biofuels among other problems doesn't make them too viable.
www.forbes.com...




Hmm, first 2012 was peak oil year, and now it's been moved back to 2030. Funny.

One thing is peak conventional oil, another is peak unconventional oil. From what I hear in the US, a lot of the unconventional was originally planned to be pumped with the prospects of higher prices in the horizon, at the current low prices it is said that they're operating at a loss.

US peaked in conventional decades ago, the prospects of higher prices led to mass lending which led to mass unconventional production. But even US unconventional is said to be peaking in the next few years, some suggest as soon as this very year. The unconventional wells, are said to drop by more than 90% within a few years providing just a few percent of production of the first year. Unconventional wells are nothing more than a bandaid that gives a slight delay to the consequences of peak production.
edit on 10-1-2016 by Xenogears because: (no reason given)

edit on 10-1-2016 by Xenogears because: (no reason given)



posted on Jan, 10 2016 @ 08:07 PM
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I mean it doesn't much matter. We've got a lot of options for alternatives as a pure fuel, and as a lubricant or other critical applications that can't be replaced... great! Good thing it doesn't just stop, it's simply more energy intensive to extract, and flow slows... perfect!

As long as we can keep oil flow to a decrease of less than 5% per year, we'll adapt. As long as the price doesn't keep high over $300/barrel, we'll adapt. There's too many resources on this planet and out in the solar system to much worry.

Heck grid parity for solar without any subsidies will be reached on large chunks of the planet within the next 15 years, and we seem to be closing in on viable fusion designs to scale out soon after. We already know mining the moon could be quite profitable, and asteroid mining will start rocking next decade. I mean oil is not much of a concern, nor water, nor wood... we got a lot of raw materials locally on planet else just out in space.
edit on 10-1-2016 by pl3bscheese because: (no reason given)



posted on Jan, 10 2016 @ 08:33 PM
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The biggest problem with cries of Malthusian doom is that they are based on snapshots of current technology and resource estimates. They assume that humans won't innovate, that new sources of energy won't be developed, and/or that new technologies to recover existing resources won't be created.

Same goes for agriculture and food production.



 
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