posted on Jan, 22 2010 @ 05:43 PM
There have been 'leaks' suggesting that official contact has already begun, but until we have actual confirmation I would take that with a pinch of
salt. I love the Conformers story, not least because it is so imaginative and outlandish it might, just might, actually have some element of truth.
The Drake Equation suggests our Universe, and the Milky Way, is teeming with intelligent life. If that is true, then some of those species will have
made it to interstellar, galactic and even universal civilisations, perhaps even trans-dimensional. However, as has been suggested, perhaps they take
a 'hands off' approach because interference could cause many more problems than it fixes. A civilisation would have to be stable and advanced enough
in order to warrant an approach.
I'm willing to guess that most level 0-1 civilisations, if left to their own devices, don't make it. Probably because they destroy themselves before
they reach a level of stability and sustainability. We have no real knowledge of what really happens as we have no historical template or guide to
refer to. Perhaps aliens are that altruistic and value intelligent life enough that ALL, or most, emerging civilisations are saved from self
destruction. In which case, we might have nothing to fear.
However, we live in a world of emerging pandemics, biological warfare, nuclear weapons, despotic megalomaniacal psychopaths. I'd say we have about a
50/50 chance. Our Achilles Heal, our biggest flaw - although paradoxically a partial driver of our success - is our greed (free market economies) and
tendency to violence (the war machine). If we can curb these, we might be most of the way there.
If I were a betting man, I'd put money on first contact occurring when certain milestones are reached - permanent bases established off planet on
other planetary bodies (the Moon, Mars, etc), fusion energy, or interception of their communications and so on. I'd also put money on them watching
us closely with probes right now (orbs?), until the time is right for the big reveal, or alternatively we mess up and end up destroying ourselves. I
wouldn't be surprised by intervention of a different kind - for example, a warmongering, dangerous civilisation that by some miracles makes it to
Level 1 might need to be quarantined, neutralised, contained or possibly even destroyed in order to protect the universal status quo. (And I'm not
talking middle-aged axe grinders.) lol
Great topic and food for thought!