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House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has put cap-and-trade legislation on a forced march through the House, and the bill may get a full vote as early as Friday. It looks as if the Democrats will have to destroy the discipline of economics to get it done.
Despite House Energy and Commerce Chairman Henry Waxman's many payoffs to Members, rural and Blue Dog Democrats remain wary of voting for a bill that will impose crushing costs on their home-district businesses and consumers. The leadership's solution to this problem is to simply claim the bill defies the laws of economics.
The hit to GDP is the real threat in this bill. The whole point of cap and trade is to hike the price of electricity and gas so that Americans will use less. These higher prices will show up not just in electricity bills or at the gas station but in every manufactured good, from food to cars. Consumers will cut back on spending, which in turn will cut back on production, which results in fewer jobs created or higher unemployment. Some companies will instead move their operations overseas, with the same result.
The Heritage Foundation did its analysis of the bill. It broadly compared the economy with and without the carbon tax. Under this more comprehensive scenario, it found Waxman-Markey would cost the economy $161 billion in 2020, which is $1,870 for a family of four. As the bill's restrictions kick in, that number rises to $6,800 for a family of four by 2035.
The reality is that cost estimates for climate legislation are as unreliable as the models predicting climate change. What comes out of the computer is a function of what politicians type in. A better indicator might be what other countries are already experiencing. Britain's Taxpayer Alliance estimates the average family there is paying nearly $1,300 a year in green taxes for carbon-cutting programs in effect only a few years.
Originally posted by Erasurehead
....
Americans are already struggling to put food on the table, now is not the time to increase our cost of living. The lower and middle income families are going to be hurt by this bill.
.....
The Obama administration has estimated the revenue value of these rights, if purchased from the government by private industry, at between $680 billion and $1.8 trillion over 10 years. Let’s take the midpoint number -- $1.15 trillion. Even in the context of a budget debate that would strain Dr. Evil’s financial imagination --“It’s like saying I want a kajillion bajillion dollars” -- that’s a lot of money.
As the cap-and-trade bill has progressed through committee -- a draft is expected any day now -- more and more pollution rights have been allotted in advance to favored interests, free of charge. The final committee bill will probably give away at least 50 percent of all allotments, maybe even 75 percent. The freebies blow a huge hole in the budget plans of the White House, which has been counting on cap-and-trade payments from industry to help cover the enormous deficits the administration will run in coming years.
When the Heritage Foundation did its analysis of Waxman-Markey, it broadly compared the economy with and without the carbon tax. Under this more comprehensive scenario, it found Waxman-Markey would cost the economy $161 billion in 2020, which is $1,870 for a family of four. As the bill's restrictions kick in, that number rises to $6,800 for a family of four by 2035.
Originally posted by ProfEmeritus
This bill will do even more to destroy the American way of life, than the "bailout bills" did. As the WSJ article says:
When the Heritage Foundation did its analysis of Waxman-Markey, it broadly compared the economy with and without the carbon tax. Under this more comprehensive scenario, it found Waxman-Markey would cost the economy $161 billion in 2020, which is $1,870 for a family of four. As the bill's restrictions kick in, that number rises to $6,800 for a family of four by 2035.
Compare that to the $175 figure given by the CBO for the year 2020, and you'll see the games that are being played here to shove this through. Virtually no one in Congress has read this 1200 page bill. Sound familiar?
Originally posted by Vitchilo
They are pushing for a vote WITHIN HOURS.
They say MAXIMUM a congress vote TODAY at 5PM eastern.
So if you have to call your congressman to STOP THIS TAX, DO IT NOW.
Just like the Patriot Act, they are PUSHING IT before anybody can read it...
They CHANGED THE NAME, it's now HR2998 and 1200, yes 1200 PAGES LONG.
[edit on 26-6-2009 by Vitchilo]
Originally posted by earlywatcher
this time i don't care if they read it. doesn't even need to be read. all they need to do is vote against it. it is the most blatant betrayal of the american people. makes me wonder if the big tv deal on health care on wed was just to distract from getting this bill passed.
don't any of the yet think passing enormous bills that turns the country inside out is crazy, particularly when it's all such an emergency that no talk, no common sense.
A Placeholder in a bill? A "Fill in the blank"... voting in a bill that has a fill in the blank section... talke about your BLANK CHECKs and BLANK GRANTS of power.
During the brief few days in which the bill was debated in the House Energy Committee, Republicans offered three amendments: one to suspend the program if gas hit $5 a gallon; one to suspend the program if electricity prices rose 10% over 2009; and one to suspend the program if unemployment rates hit 15%. Democrats defeated all of them.
online.wsj.com...