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Thousands of hedge funds to close, says GLG chief Emmanuel Roman
Thousands of hedge funds are on the brink of failure as the global economy contracts with unexpected severity, according to the chief executive of GLG, Europe's biggest hedge fund.
Emmanuel Roman, of GLG Partners, said 25pc-30pc of the world's 8,000 hedge funds would disappear "in a Darwinian process", either going bust or deciding meagre profits are not worth their efforts.
"This will go down in the history books as one of the greatest fiascos of banking in 100 years," said Mr Roman, who co-runs London and New York-based GLG, a former division of Lehman Brothers Holdings with assets of $24bn (£14.8bn). "There need to be some scapegoats, and the regulators are going to go hunt people. That will be good in the long run."
His views were echoed by Professor Nouriel Roubini, a former US Treasury and presidential adviser known for his accurate prediction of financial crises, who estimated that up to 500 hedge funds would fail within months.
Both men were speaking at the same hedge fund conference in London on Thursday, and Prof Roubini said he would not be surprised if the US and other countries soon had to close their stock markets for more than a week to halt descent into "sheer panic".
Research from Hedge Fund Intelligence (HFI) shows that despite one of the worst months on record for credit funds, US hedge funds alone still have $1.7 trillion (£1 trillion) in assets.
Highbridge Capital Management, which is majority owned by JP Morgan Chase and has $25bn under management, is axing 10 per cent of its New York-based staff and plans cuts in Europe and Asia. It will also close several funds that it believes are unsustainable during the current financial crisis.
The volatility in global stock markets has savaged the performance of some of the world’s best-known hedge funds, raising fears of a collapse in the sector, which could cause a fresh crisis in the financial system.
Big names including Deephaven, Marshall Wace, Citadel Investment Corp, Lansdowne Partners, Third Point and Harbinger, have in recent weeks sustained losses of as much as 20 per cent in some funds.
investors pulled at least $43bn (£25bn) from US hedge funds in September, according to TrimTabs Investment Research. This is nearly five per cent of the global sector’s estimated $2 trillion in total assets.
Several Democratic lawmakers lashed out Friday at hedge funds that have threatened to block attempts to renegotiate mortgages for struggling homeowners.
At least two funds, Greenwich Financial Services and Braddock Financial, have told banks that they may take legal action if loans are renegotiated in a way that hurts the funds’ financial interests.
Many hedge funds have purchased securities backed by mortgages. The New York Times reported Friday that Greenwich Financial and Braddock Financial, and possibly other funds, were resisting attempts to renegotiate the loans.
“For the hedge fund industry, which has flourished from much of the past decade, to take steps so actively in opposition to what is currently in the national interest is deeply troubling,” the letter stated.
Bloodbath in Mayfair as half of all hedge funds face termination
Analysts warn that global hedge funds are facing the biggest bloodbath since their rapid expansion in the early 1990s, especially in Britain, where about half of 2,000 firms are expected to be taken over by larger rivals or liquidated.
But don't expect the funds to shout from the rooftops about their travails. They are notoriously secretive, preferring to work quietly in a sector conservatively estimated to account for around $2trn at the height of the boom.
Unlike Man, most hedge funds are not public companies and many are registered offshore, so do not have to tell us very much about their operations. Suffice to say that they take huge bets on the future direction of interest rates, currencies, commodities, bonds and shares.
UK fund, Peloton Partners, founded by Ron Beller, was forced earlier this year to admit that its flagship $2bn fund, which invested in mortgage-backed securities, was worthless. It has since been wound up.
Industry managers are concerned that renewed market turmoil, leading to weaker performance and client redemptions, could lead to a vicious circle of selling by hedge funds.
One prime broker said the situation was "on a knife edge". "Everyone needs to keep their nerve," he added.
As the name implies, hedge funds often seek to offset potential losses in the principal markets they invest in by hedging their investments using a variety of methods, most notably short selling. However, the term "hedge fund" has come to be applied to many funds that do not actually hedge their investments, and in particular to funds using short selling and other "hedging" methods to increase rather than reduce risk, with the expectation of increasing return.
Hedge funds are typically open only to a limited range of professional or wealthy investors. This provides them with an exemption in many jurisdictions from regulations governing short selling, derivative contracts, leverage, fee structures and the liquidity of investments in the fund.
The assets under management of a hedge fund can run into many billions of dollars, and this will usually be multiplied by leverage, meaning that their influence over markets is substantial. Hedge funds dominate certain specialty markets such as trading within derivatives with high-yield ratings and distressed debt.
TEL AVIV -- California Public Employees Retirement System, the largest U.S. pension fund, is selling stocks to ensure it has enough cash to meet obligations to private-equity firms and real-estate partners, The Wall Street Journal reported on Saturday. Calpers had $188.8 billion under management as of Wednesday; it normally keeps less than 2% of its assets in cash but has had to raise that level, the Journal reported. The Calpers board's investment committee met last week to discuss ways to raise cash, people familiar with the matter told the paper.
Originally posted by MischeviousElf
Emmanuel Roman, of GLG Partners, said 25pc-30pc of the world's 8,000 hedge funds would disappear "in a Darwinian process", either going bust or deciding meagre profits are not worth their efforts.
"This will go down in the history books as one of the greatest fiascos of banking in 100 years," said Mr Roman, who co-runs London and New York-based GLG, a former division of Lehman Brothers Holdings with assets of $24bn (£14.8bn). "There need to be some scapegoats, and the regulators are going to go hunt people. That will be good in the long run."
Originally posted by bruxfain
I applied for a job once at Citadel Investment Group and they totally blew me off.
Originally posted by bruxfain
Let the Hedge Funds burn to the ground. I applied for a job once at Citadel Investment Group and they totally blew me off. They wanted only PhDs in Physics and Mathematics for quantitative analysts and financial engineering positions. I wasn't brainy enough for them, but I was smart enough not to lose everything in these challenging times.
In retrospect, I don't think it was brains they were looking for, it was people who were amoral enough to carry on a lie to the bitter end.
Ha! Total destruction of their livelyhoods is what all those brains got you.
Originally posted by stander
If 30% of world hedge funds will collapse, what impact would this have on DJIA before the trading closes on Monday?
Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Hundreds of hedge funds will fail and policy makers may need to shut financial markets for a week or more as the crisis forces investors to dump assets, New York University Professor Nouriel Roubini said.
``We've reached a situation of sheer panic,'' Roubini, who predicted the financial crisis in 2006, said at a conference in London today. ``There will be massive dumping of assets,'' and ``hundreds of hedge funds are going to go bust,'' he said.
Indeed, we have now reached a point where fundamentals and long term valuation considerations do not matter any more for financial markets. There is a free fall as most investors are rapidly deleveraging and we are on the verge of a a capitulation collapse. What matters now is only flows - rather than stocks and fundamentals - and flows are unidirectional as everyone is selling and no one is buying as trying to buy equities is like catching a falling knife. There are no buyers in these dysfunctional markets, only sellers and panic is the ugly state of this destabilizing game.
Originally posted by bruxfain
In retrospect, I don't think it was brains they were looking for, it was people who were amoral enough to carry on a lie to the bitter end.
Originally posted by anachryon
Originally posted by stander
If 30% of world hedge funds will collapse, what impact would this have on DJIA before the trading closes on Monday?
If nearly a third of the hedgies collapse in a matter of days?
Kaboom.