posted on Sep, 18 2007 @ 01:44 PM
I sense a new battle in an existing war (WW3). I will now give my detailed analysis. The purpose of this thread is not rehash Afghanistan and Iraq but
to give my impression of the next stage in the war against terrorism.
The nation of Iran will be the next nation that will go to war against western powers such as America and England. A third ally may present itself in
the form of Israel as they have a dog in the fight. Ever since the end of the Iran/ Iraq war in the 80's Iran has continued to be a source of trouble
to the west. After 9/11 things began to take a turn for the worst. A precursor to the outbreak of total war is the political maneuvering in the few
years preceding the conflict. Since 9/11 Iran has definitely stepped up its political maneuvers which indicate a course towards war.
It is known by intelligence services of many nations that Iran is sponsoring terrorism in many areas of the Middle East. The most notable of which is
the Hezbollah organization which is deeply entrenched in Lebanon. Israel went to war with Lebanon last year and it was well known that Iran was
funding Hezbollah. Iran has allied itself with any nation who is bent on the destruction of Israel. Their leader has stated the Holocaust never
happened and that one should happen. He has been quoted as saying "Israel should be wiped off the map."
Anyone up to date on world event's is aware of the state of things between the Middle East nations so I need not go into more detail on that aspect
of the overall issue. The "war" in Iraq is not a war. America won the recent war in Iraq and met all objectives. What is happening there now is a
mix of occupation and supporting a fledgling government from forces within and without. Iraq, for the most part, is not out enemy. Only the insurgents
are our enemy, and those who aid them and support them. The far left in this nation would have you believe we are losing their fictitious "war." We
are not losing. Although our men and women are dying, their lives are not in vain.
The far left will not tell you the inconvenient truth. The truth is Iran is supporting the insurgents. There is also an Al Qaeda presence in Iraq.
Their goal is to undermine the effort to establish a democratic and free Iraq. Iran wants the effort to fail for several reasons. The main one being
it harms the west and strengthens their image in the Middle East. The second reason is if it works in their favor Iran could, via several options,
control Iraq and increase it's oil domination. Iran essentially wants to be a superpower in the Middle East much like the Soviet Union was during the
Cold War. If this is allowed to happen the lives lost now pale in comparison the what lies ahead. Americans should consider what we are doing in Iraq
as a first move towards averting future warfare.
Now, very recently Iran seized a number of British sailors on the grounds that they violated international law and entered Iranian waters. Of course,
England denies this. It can be proven via the GPS technology on board ships. But this is irrelevant. What did Iran hope to gain by this? England has,
quite naturally, rattled sabers and made threats. One would imagine England could effortlessly defeat Iran if it came to blows correct?
Iran gains by this action several things. To start with it is a way to give the West a black eye. It makes Iran look tough and ballsy to their friends
in the Middle East. This can of course help build allies when the chips are down. Iran is playing a risky game here however. Iran has always thumbed
its nose to the United Nations and the West, but it could stand to lose face if they do not play this right. Another thing Iran gains from holding the
sailors is they have an opportunity to size up their potential enemy. England is the weak link in the chain of nations willing to support the U.S.
against terrorism. And Iran knows if it plays it right they can make that weak link snap. Iran was taking measure of the Brits. Iran was carefully
watching and listening to how the English were reacting to this situation and they will learn much about their enemy. England should have responded
accordingly to ensure that Iran isn't under any false impressions. If England appears weak to Iran in regards to this issue then Iran is going to be
What does this mean? It means, that when the fight comes, Iran will know its enemy. They will have an advantage over the Brits. They will know how
strong of will the Brits are based on how England handles the issue of captive sailors.
What does this have to do with war? It is believed by several Western nations that Iran is working on nuclear weapons. Iran has made allot of tough
talk in regard to this as well as making many lies. They have even went as far as saying if America does takes any action, such as an air-strike, they
will respond by attacking U.S forces currently in the region. All the while the United Nations are quarreling and dithering about. As the U.N
continues to chit chat and pass useless resolutions Iran is slowly getting closer to having nuclear weapons. Iran has stated its intentions in regards
to the conflict to come. It knows it is the next target on the list of terrorist supporting nations. And Iran is spoiling for a fight. They are close
to getting their nuclear weapons in my opinion. These past 4 years have seen increased hostility and aggression on the part of Iran, as evident by
their supporting insurgents in Iraq and the Hezbollah organization. All of these things, including the capture of the sailors amounts to pre-war
maneuvering. The problem is, who will trigger the war? It isn't in Iran's interest to initiate the conflict as they must rely on allies to overcome
the west, even with a nuclear weapon.
So who initiates the war, or more accurately the next theater of operations in the terror war? Well when it came to England. Iran had made bet and
rolled the dice. They bet that the Brits don't have the resolve to start a war let alone fight it. England is steadily becoming anti-American and
disinterested in fighting terrorism aggressively. Iran knows this. Iran sees England as a nation without balls who can be easily cowed thanks to
America then? Possible. Not likely. Iran has done a good job of stirring things up in Iraq to keep us bogged down. And they've managed to help the
far left in this country turn against the war on terror effort. Also, it's banking on the upcoming presidential election. Iran will benefit greatly
if a democrat takes the White House. After all, many democrats are liberals and quite a few are owned by the far left. As we see now in our nation the
democrats no longer wish to support our troops in Iraq. They are trying to block any more funding and calling to bring the men home. So Iran knows
America won't pick a fight with them any time soon.
So that leaves the Israelis. Israel will launch a preemptive strike against Iran well before Iran gains any nuclear potential. Their intelligence
service is exceptional and when it comes to the Middle East the Israelis are on the money when it comes to intelligence. Israel is well aware of where
Iran is in their nuclear program. Unfortunately, Israel is alone in the Middle East and must always carefully consider any move it makes. It is
surrounded by enemies who wish to wipe them off the map. And even worse for Israel is the fact that its two biggest and most loyal allies are
currently unable to help them out. America is bogged down and England has lost its heart. So any action Israel takes most likely it will be taken
alone. The Israelis aggressively defend themselves from its enemies and has always persevered but now it is in a severe crisis.
All of this favors Iran. Iran could, once it gets a nuclear weapon attack Israel knowing very well that the American public would not support any
action to assist Israel. Iran could do so without fear of the Brits. The rest of Europe doesn't really give a damn and Russia has always backed Iran.
So as it stands right now, I feel we are in a crucial moment in the war on terrorism. We have yet to see its bloodiest battle and have yet to engage
the main enemy in this war. What is happening in Afghanistan and in Iraq pales in comparison to what will happen when the conflict with Iran erupts.
To illustrate this consider a desperate tactic the Iranians employed against Iraq during their war. Iraq was winning. In a desperate action Iran
mobilized thousands of fanatics and sent them against the Iraqi forces in large human wave attacks. The end result was success for Iran but at a
horrifying cost in lives. The estimates of Iranians who died in this tactic numbers in the hundreds of thousands. Such a thing we can expect should we
I expect quite a few angry liberal and far left minded responses. What I've presented here is my opinion and analysis of current events weighed
against history. It is not a partisan effort on my part either. I would ask you not to reply to this if you're just going to bash the president, the
troops or your nation.