Orcs, Zeks, Mobiks And Predictive Analysis

Another interesting article from Strategy Page by Jim Dunnigan .....though wouldn't knowledge that your opponent make decisions based on patterns lead to the opposition making sure they avoid those patterns and even give their strategists and war games computers more credence if their suggestions are more random


www.strategypage.com...

March 24, 2023: The war in Ukraine is seen as the model for future wars. It is a conflict between major powers (Russia versus NATO backed Ukraine). Both sides have access to modern weapons and military technology. From the beginning Ukraine was seen as the underdog, outnumbered and outmatched by superior Russian forces. The Ukrainians were determined, tenacious and resourceful and that’s how Ukraine defeated the initial Russian attack and soon began fighting back and driving the Russians out of occupied Ukrainian territory.
The Ukrainians were more resourceful in dealing with their Orc problems, relying a lot on innovation and technology to kill lots of orcs while keeping Ukrainian casualties down. Ukraine contained a lot of software developers and inventive people in general. This quickly led to all sorts of innovations, often involving locally developed software and weapons or aircraft. Ukraine built its own UAVs and equipped them with novel sensors and fire control systems.

The latest development involves working with NATO nations to develop a data collection and analysis system that will enable Ukraine to accurately predict where the Russians will attack next and act accordingly. This is actually nothing new as similar systems were used nearly two decades ago in Iran and Afghanistan by American forces to successfully predict where roadside bombs were and the location of those manufacturing and placing these bombs. The new system is based on the work done since the 1990s by Palantir, one of the pioneers in this field, especially the use of Predictive Analysis. This is a system that uses known data on the enemy to develop estimates of what they will do next. This sort of thing has been around for a long time and became more useful as more data became available and new software allowed that data to be analyzed and acted on in real time. Now such systems can not only predict but also show what the enemy is doing right now and recently. NATO is participating because they have the financial resources to get this done quickly and Ukraine is in the midst of a war where the new system can be tested realistically.

necessity being the mother of invention and all. Maybe more lives will be saved by these advances than taken. I still don't like paying for them without direct oversight of their development. Its like its the one thing guaranteed to bring this to the last person, keep throwing money at it without caring for the investment. gas on a fire. if the last year has told us anything is that to Russia and Putin life is cheaper than it is to the cartels. Yup, Ukraine is fighting for its sovereignty with US and Euro money and equipment..last I heard average soldier age in Ukraine has went way up, who is going to be the backbone of their sovereign nation? Is Russia going to let Ukraine become a beacon of freedom and democracy in the region..after he moves the nukes out of Belarus. sure.

Russia will run out of fighting people. If something doesn't give..then he can just pick Ukraine apart, the rest of the world has already proven to him what they will do..not really a whole lot tbh.

There really is no dishonor in a hasty retreat.