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posted on May, 16 2022 @ 08:21 AM
Hello ATS!
On our forum, the thought from some users is constantly heard that Russia is about to lose in Ukraine, and Zelensky will drive to Red Square on Abrams
(the idea is a fix for all freaks). Therefore, I want to explain to you, dear members of the forum, some things from my subjective point of view. I
will not give here admiring and laudatory statements about the Russian army from a huge number of military men, analysts and intelligence officers
from all over the world, only my opinion.
So. The first week of the special operation - a lot of mistakes. First of all, these are tactical mistakes based on unreliable data, and perhaps,
judging by the fact that Putin removed several generals, on stupidity and premeditation. The calculation was that the army dealt with the army, and at
this time the working underground takes full power, creates city administrations, the police, courts work ... in general, life is getting better. In
reality… none of that happened. There is an underground, but no one worked with it, no one even talked to it, there weren’t even such rumors.
The Russian army had the task, first of all, of the destruction of the Nazi battles and the National Guard. From the very beginning, Putin turned to
the troops with an order to treat the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine correctly, not even to tear down the Ukrainian flags. Ukrainian tactics,
when cities and large settlements are turned into army strongholds, heavy weapons, artillery and rocket systems are located among residential
buildings, schools, kindergartens and hospitals are used as firing points, and civilians are used as human shields, turned out to be for the Russians
surprise. The Russian army was not going to wage war, like all "civilized countries" - to bomb cities to zero, and then destroy the remaining
people. Our Russian people live in Ukraine, therefore, at the cost of the lives of soldiers, Ukrainian troops are gradually squeezed out of the
cities, if possible, they are knocked out of them pointwise.
This is for the first week. Then the columns of troops began to move with air cover. And then they changed tactics altogether. Now the Aerospace
Forces and artillery are working, and then the fighters come in. In the event of any resistance, the soldiers retreat and strikes are made at these
places. Then the fighters come again. If there is no resistance on the territory, then the fighters of the assault squads, special forces and the
National Guard enter and clear the territory. This is very long and tedious, but with minimal losses. Aviation and missile systems destroy military
infrastructure, warehouses with weapons, military equipment, fuel and manpower, command and strongholds, etc. with pinpoint strikes. Russia has
captured almost complete air superiority.
At the beginning of the operation, Russia entered in three groups with a total number of 150 thousand people. Another 50,000 fighters were the armies
of the DNR and LNR. The total strength of the Ukrainian army and national guard battalions at that time was 600 thousand people. That is, 3 to 1 in
favor of Ukraine. Now, taking into account the fourth wave of mobilization announced by Zelensky (where did the previous three go?), the creation of
territorial defense battalions and colossal losses at the front, this proportion has increased to 5 to 1.
“Losing” Russia has a contingent in Ukraine five times smaller than the Ukrainian one. Russia is conducting offensive battles with less forces
than those of the defenders - this is already nonsense in military tactics. Moreover, Russia's losses are about seven times less than those of
Ukraine, even considering the very bad experience of the first weeks, which is also nonsense, because the defenders suffer fewer losses than the
attackers.
The Mariupol (Southern) grouping of Ukrainian troops consisted of 20,000 fighters, of which 8,000 were directly in Mariupol. The troops of the DPR and
a small contingent of the Russian army amounted to 6 thousand fighters. Now Mariupol has been liberated, the city is coming to life, utility services
and trade shops are starting to work, electricity and water have already been supplied to houses in the city center.
There are about 1,000 Nazis in the cellars of Azovstal. Another 3,000 surrendered. Where are the others? Destroyed. Three weeks ago, the Ukrainian
group in the Donbass amounted to 100,000 people. Now - about 44 thousand. This is the work of the Aerospace Forces and artillery.