a reply to:
bigfatfurrytexan
My experience has been rather different..
I think there was an increase in general ability to code in the younger Gen X crowd and older millenial crowd. In a lot of ways, this was something of
a requirement to use technology in the first place.
However, as the interfaces with technology improved and became easier to use, I think we have seen a
decline in general knowledge and ability
of what happens behind the scenes. Meaning, the younger crowds may know how to use technology, but not much more than that.
There are certainly some super talented people in the younger crowds, and its easier to share their work than ever (which may give the appearance of a
greater talent pool), but in looking for people with specific skillsets myself.. The general trend actually seems to be less numbers, but with more of
an online social presence.
As for the OP, I think "automation" is being viewed in far, far too general of a perspective and also too strictly based in the prevailing paradigm
surrounding automation.
While it may create some jobs, the replacement of more traditional positions almost certainly is a larger number. We are looking at an entirely
different paradigm though, and I think trying to examine it in term of job gains or losses is something of a non-sequitor. Kind of like "all the
hunters and gatherers will lose their jobs if we go through this Neolithic Revolution thing."
Automated systems could very well spell the end of humanity. It could also provide the basis for us to truly realize our potential as a species, and
everything in between those extremes. Like any tool, its in how we use it. Personally, my approach is to utilize technology so that it becomes covert
and actually enables us to enjoy the "natural world" with ever-increasing ease.
This is in direct opposition to the current trend of interacting with the world at large through a digital filter. Where we encase everything about
humanity in transistors and electronic buffers under the horrifically misguided notion that this is the situation we all must either oppose or
support.
I strongly advocate for decentralized, automated systems of self-sufficiency. Using this as a foundation is the way to go, in my opinion. However, the
general trend is almost exclusively corporate, centralized implementation. At a certain stage, this could mean absolute dependency on those
centralized systems. When this is coupled with things like the Iron Law of Oligarchy, we could be looking at a very,
very bad situation with no
way out. And, thats just in the immediate future.. With the technology that will be released in the coming decades, that situation will only get
worse. Including for the people who believe they benefit from the corruption and power the most.
Trying to incorporate this level of capability into centralized systems is like trying to lay on a single nail. It will, with near certainty, puncture
your body. However, when it is distributed over hundreds or thousands of nails, one can lay on it with a great degree of confidence that none of the
nails will cause harm.
Its also probably important to note that things like "the power going out" are somewhat archaic. While this is still relevant for some systems, there
are a plethora of ways around this and there is no event (barring utter civilizational annihilation) that will actually destroy electricity-based
technologies across the board. Of course, we could do a much better job in preparing for events that might remove energy capability in general and the
general public is typically reliant on somewhat fragile systems, but that would also involve reducing centralized authority and control.
Most people seem to either fully support said centralization, or have no interest in adopting modern technology in novel ways. Im not sure either of
those approaches is really the best path forward, but luckily, we still have plenty of options in how we actually build towards the future.