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originally posted by: Arbitrageur
Where all we have are eyewitness reports, then we have to decide whether we can take such reports at face value. For a scientific analysis, that's a non-starter due to known, demonstrated and well documented issues with human misperception, especially with pilots, having some of the highest misperception rates of all classes of observers in a large UFO study.
originally posted by: Rob808
Is it odd to anyone else that these things sure seem to interact a lot of the us navy? Like, it’s their objective or something? Also interesting, terrestrial options such as human derived or perhaps other options haven’t been taken off the table.
Do we or don’t we trust what they have to say at this point regarding the phenomenon?
a reply to: Ophiuchus1
Where we have videos, like the three videos officially released by the pentagon for example, we can analyze those videos, then it's not a matter of trust but a matter of analysis. You can demonstrate for yourself that both David Fravor and Chad underwood are wrong when they claim Underwood's FLIR video shows acceleration at the end, it shows an optical illusion of acceleration cause by loss of target lock and zoom change. The pilots who report on the audio of the "gimbal" video report that "it's rotating", but the UFO is not rotating, the rotation is an artifact of the Gimbal mount for the camera, probably why the video is called "gimbal", and the third video called "gofast" is also an optical illusion, resulting from parallax.
Now I could understand how in real time any of us including pilots might misinterpret the illusions seen in those three videos, it could happen to any of us. But what I can't understand is how, given plenty of time to sit down and analyze the videos, they would not be able to recognize the illusions as illusions. Fort example, it would be very easy for any high school student to make this graph from Chad Underwood's video, you can do it yourself easily.
www.metabunk.org...
It's further explained here:
It clearly shows the rate of leftward movement of the UFO does not make any sudden changes at the end of the video like Underwood and Fravor claim it does, and I find it very difficult to believe that they can't make this graph just as easily as we can to prove their claim false.
The UFO was said to be something like 30-40 miles away from Underwood when he took his video, no wonder it's hard to identify. Anything that far away is going to be hard to identify, and it doesn't really do anything interesting at all in the video as Underwood claims it does. So given a choice between trusting what he said and what the video actually shows, it's no contest, go with what the video actually shows, after you've corrected for the illusion. Same for the other two pentagon released videos, pilots are making false claims for those too, like "2/3 the speed of sound" for the gofast video which is not doing that. The pilots should be able to figure out their claims are false if they analyzed the videos. Why they are making these false claims, I can only think of two reasons, one of which doesn't make much sense, the other one seems to fit the overall pattern of what is going on.
"Go Fast" UFO Video Explained?
"Gimbal" video of "rotating UFO", which is not really rotating, explained as an artifact of the "gimbal" system.
To clarify, Day mentions 20,000 feet which is not hearsay, he also mentions 80,000 feet which is hearsay. From his account there I never heard him say he saw the objects on radar much above 28,000 feet, but he did hear about sensor readings above 30,000 feet, up to 80,000 feet and perhaps higher too, that he didn't personally see, that's hearsay for the higher altitudes.
originally posted by: CyberBuddha
a reply to: Arbitrageur
Kevin Day says in the video (0:28:00) that you posted that on his radar screen the UFO dropped from 20k feet to about 50 feet above water in less than a second. No hearsay.
That's the part that's hearsay from Kevin day since he didn't have access to that system and so far I haven't seen any direct sources, though I don't have much reason to doubt the account that something like that happened. What I do have my doubts about is continuity, like, how would you know if they are the same things, or is someone jumping to conclusions? Some analyst somewhere with access to multiple data sources may know the answer, but it's unclear from the data we have publicly available.
originally posted by: CyberBuddha
a reply to: Arbitrageur
The ballistic threat radar on the Nimitz tracked the UFOs from 80k feet to their cruise level at 28k feet.
Nobody said that? I've heard numerous people say essentially that same story, and the post I replied to when I posted the Kevin Day video said this:
Later on one of them moved from 28k to sea level in a fraction of a second. Mick claims it went from 80k to sea level which nobody said.
There are some confusing witness accounts and not all of them agree with each other, but people are saying what Mick West said, like Joe Rogan, though he's not a witness, but that kind of talk is circulating and people keep repeating it so maybe West is referring to the stories circulating like the one Rogan tells?
Mick West doesn’t seem like the sharpest guy to me. He’s got real difficulties remembering what witnesses said.
Impossible is a strong word. Back in the Belgian UFO wave, the radars were detecting UFOs traveling underground. That's impossible, but you have to know some physics to understand why. Even if it was somehow possible for UFOs to travel underground, the frequency of the aircraft radar system is not the same kind of frequency used in ground penetrating radar systems, so it will not penetrate the ground. Why am I bringing that up since it's not the Nimitz case? To illustrate that radar is known to on occasion give us some glitchy readings which are not always reliable, and in fact even though Day mentioned he had a good signal quality on his radar returns, he was wondering if they were reliable and he told Mick West he had his doubts about that, at least before he sent Fravor out to check out a UFO.
On top of that he’s no sceptic in the scientific sense. In the video you linked he states that it’s impossible to go from 80k feet to sea level in a fraction of a second. This is clearly just his opinion and not fact. He’s already made up his mind on what’s possible and what isn’t. Confirmation bias much...?!?!
All the video tells us is what Day says, it doesn't tell us what the radar data itself would show.
originally posted by: CyberBuddha
Anyway, if you carefully watch the video of Day talking to Mick West you see that the radar system never lost contact with the UFO during descent. How that’s possible is as obvious as it’s classified...🤠
originally posted by: LSU2018
a reply to: Ophiuchus1
They don't know what it is but they know it certainly isn't alien technology. Sounds legit 🙄
originally posted by: Rob808
There’s no victim blaming here, just like with the police brutality issue... or are you the victim? It must be hard to not be able to prove what you desperately believe in.
You don’t seem to have the actual desire to understand the issue at hand as much as have your preconceived ideals proved correct. Sticking with it’s gotta be aliens prove me wrong bro isn’t an argument. And yes, the subject of police brutality is unrelated to ufos, keep chasing the stars and avoid the truth!
a reply to: game over man
originally posted by: Ophiuchus1
Preface...think air and sea training ranges
Could multiple targets on a radar be effected and tested by the ongoing development of Electronic Countermeasures... ECM/ECCM interaction?
In laymen’s terms....there is only one target in reality, but the radar tracks multi-Ghost or mirrored targets?
Below is a chapter on the subject. It’s plausible in training exercises for the “enemy” (ourselves, i.e. onshore training based facility) to transmit false targets to ships or aircraft during exercises.
I think the answers to what is being reported is in, or derived from aspects in the chapter.
Chapter 11 COUNTERMEASURES
originally posted by: CyberBuddhaHow would this square with visual verification of the tic tac by 4 aviators on the first encounter? While one UFO separated and went close to the water the formation at 28k feet kept moving. It was later rejoined by the tic tac.
Are we talking about radar spoofing, with a possible tic tac hologram, and physically disturbing the water underneath at the same time?
originally posted by: Arbitrageur
If someone really wanted to do some investigative reporting on the Nimitz, they could try to track down members of the E-2 crew and see if they would talk, since Chris Mellon was asked about this and said there was no "NDA" preventing the E2 witnesses from talking. Has anyone ever tried to follow up on this lead? Not that I've seen, clue me in if they have.
originally posted by: Ophiuchus1
originally posted by: CyberBuddhaHow would this square with visual verification of the tic tac by 4 aviators on the first encounter? While one UFO separated and went close to the water the formation at 28k feet kept moving. It was later rejoined by the tic tac.
Are we talking about radar spoofing, with a possible tic tac hologram, and physically disturbing the water underneath at the same time?
I have no answer for the eyewitness eyeball visuals....I merely present it as “possible’s” in terms of visuals concerning tracks seen on a radar scope.
originally posted by: Ophiuchus1
originally posted by: CyberBuddhaHow would this square with visual verification of the tic tac by 4 aviators on the first encounter? While one UFO separated and went close to the water the formation at 28k feet kept moving. It was later rejoined by the tic tac.
Are we talking about radar spoofing, with a possible tic tac hologram, and physically disturbing the water underneath at the same time?
I have no answer for the eyewitness eyeball visuals....I merely present it as “possible’s” in terms of visuals concerning tracks seen on a radar scope.
originally posted by: CyberBuddha
originally posted by: Ophiuchus1
originally posted by: CyberBuddhaHow would this square with visual verification of the tic tac by 4 aviators on the first encounter? While one UFO separated and went close to the water the formation at 28k feet kept moving. It was later rejoined by the tic tac.
Are we talking about radar spoofing, with a possible tic tac hologram, and physically disturbing the water underneath at the same time?
I have no answer for the eyewitness eyeball visuals....I merely present it as “possible’s” in terms of visuals concerning tracks seen on a radar scope.
Why quote stuff that doesn’t apply to the Nimitz encounter? Why muddy the waters when we so desperately need clarity? I don’t understand how you’re helping to solve this rather than confusing the matter.