Covid 19, Novel Coronavirus, the subtlety that makes it so Dangerous

originally posted by: AutomateThis1
What makes this bad is apparently everyone has become medical experts.

originally posted by: MonkeyFishFrog
a reply to: AlienView

I'm so tired of people trying to downplay this as something equal to a cold or flu.

The mortality rate of the flu is less than 0.1%. That means in a room of a 100 people with the flu there's a small remote chance even 1 person will die.

Covid-19 has a fluctuating mortality rate depending on the country. In one room of 100 people 2 will die while in other rooms up to 12 people will die.

Math people! I wasn't even good at it in school but this is elementary school concepts.

Sorry but math is only as good as the data you feed it and that data is seriously flawed. You are comparing the confirmed-cases/death ratio of COVID19 with the estimated-cases/death ratio of the flu. The confirmed-cases/death ratio for the flu this season is closer to 8% and the estimated-cases/death ratio for COVID19 is around 0.1% similar to the flu. These are CDC numbers, you can confirm is you desire. While your there, check out the number of deaths in the US this year from H1N1 and ask yourself why you didn't know about it.

The real issue with COVID19 is the ICU rate compared to ICU beds. This is due to the pneumonia aspect as others mentioned. Nobody had data to accurately predict those rates, though we are starting to collect it. Because of the unknown, IMO it has been better to be cautious so far.

This is the perfect pandemic virus.

About 60% have little or mild symptoms, this allows the virus to spread fast as asymptomatic spreaders and the very mild cases spread it,

it takes 5 to 14 days to become symptomatic.

And it kills about 1%