1,057 New Covid Cases in NYC In One Day...

Please tell me that I'm interpreting this wrong...

www.google.com...

Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo of New York provided new numbers on Wednesday that showed 2,382 people in the state had tested positive for the coronavirus, an increase of more than 800 since Tuesday. In New York City, 1,871 people had tested positive, compared with 814 on Tuesday.

More than 1,000 new cases overnight?

And the scary part...

Of the 14,597 people to be tested so far, nearly 5,000 were tested on Tuesday.

That's a 20% positive rate among those tested?

This. This isn't looking good...

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

More than 1,000 new cases overnight?

New positive results. Testing is just starting to ramp up. It takes a day or two for the results to come up, probably in batches.

That's a 20% positive rate among those tested?

16% overall. Not everyone meets the criteria for testing. It means that 84% of people with some symptoms were negative.

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

It’s following what we know about the rates in other countries. The more we test, the bigger the numbers will be. And with how our government screwed up the initial response it’ll probably be higher than other countries once it really hits us.

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

It's actually good that many people were able to get tested, the reason for the high CFR was, as I understand, because not many people were getting tested. Smaller sample size makes for higher percentage. But none the less, those are still large numbers. But honestly, most of those will recover.

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

To elaborate on Phages’s post, there are too few test kits currently available so the people getting tested are those who are displaying symptoms of Covid19 .

Naturally a high percentage of those tested will see positive results.

Well, we know where all the tests are going. This must be a competition, the one with the most cases of the virus gets to share the biggest percentage of the jackpot.

NYC is at a 1.42 factor of growth over the last 5 days...

NYC is proper f*cked...

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

Again, the increase in positive tests this early in the process is meaningless. It will be some time before the testing catches up with the actual number of infections. Until it does, there will be a rapid increase in positives (and negatives).

originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

More than 1,000 new cases overnight?

New positive results. Testing is just starting to ramp up. It takes a day or two for the results to come up, probably in batches.

That's a 20% positive rate among those tested?

16% overall. Not everyone meets the criteria for testing. It means that 84% of people with some symptoms were negative.

Dang you for bringing logic and facts into an ATS Doomsday thread.

originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

Again, the increase in positive tests this early in the process is meaningless. It will be some time before the testing catches up with the actual number of infections. Until it does, there will be a rapid increase in positives (and negatives).

I'm reading into the other sideof that equation. If only qualified people get tested, and 80% are asymptomatic or mild... That 1000 is actually 8000-10,000 active cases at the minimum...

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

We knew NYC was gonna cluster, when the first case in Manhattan, was revealed a couple weeks back. Talked about it a few pages in the updates, everything she infected on the way home from the airport. More to come. That is allot thou. We need hundreds of thousands more for that herd immunity folks. *sarcasm*

originally posted by: Oppositeoftruth most of those will recover.

and you know this how?

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

If only qualified people get tested, and 80% are asymptomatic or mild...

Incorrect.
16% of those tested were positive.

If only those with sufficient symptoms were tested that means 84% of those people with symptoms did not have the disease. That's the only data there is. Your extrapolation makes no sense. There is no way to know how many are asymptomatic or how many of those not tested have the disease at this point. You can guess, but you cannot derive a meaningful number from the testing so far.

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

IF true then it sound's as if NY has a higher infection than the entirety of the UK, not surprising if you take into account population density, the NY subway system one of the only ways' to effectively get around that city and the fact that also would create an enclosed space were the virus could easily spread very rapidly between multiple people from just one carrier.

I hope that a treatment is made fast and that all of these folk's recover, for those that don't a quick prayer.

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

Mayor de Blasio said he is considering opening some New York City prisons to let the inmates out, because the guards have Coronavirus.

originally posted by: carewemust
a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

Mayor de Blasio said he is considering opening some New York City prisons to let the inmates out, because the guards have Coronavirus.

They've already done that in LA.

originally posted by: RoScoLaz5

originally posted by: Oppositeoftruth most of those will recover.

and you know this how?

Based off the current statistics available, even at the highest range of 3.4 out of the nearly 2300 only leaves around 80 people. Of course any loss of life is terrible, but in my opinion, that would still leave most people alive.

a reply to: carewemust

Mayor de Blasio said he is considering opening some New York City prisons to let the inmates out, because the guards have Coronavirus.

That is false. The proposal has nothing to do with "guards with coronavirus" and is limited in scope.

The board — the Correction Department’s oversight body — said the city should prioritize people in custody who are over 50 as well as those who are detained for parole violations, serving one year or less or have underlying health conditions like heart disease, diabetes, lung disease, cancer or a weakened immune system.

www.nydailynews.com...

Wrong, olive here. Many ways to get around the city. The only people getting the test is the sick and medical workers. Most of us can’t get tested and hospitals won’t do it here. a reply to: LABTECH767

a reply to: YouAreLiedTo

Yes in that Italian town which has stopped it, they tested everyone and a large percentage were asymptomatic, once you have them isolated it gets controllable.