It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
originally posted by: sapien82
# I forgot and just ordered something from amazon coming from shanghai.
It doesnt appear to be in the quarantine zones
it should be ok eh
Im going to have to blast the box with chlorine or something
originally posted by: Dfairlite
a reply to: Power_Semi
You're looking at past performance as an indicator of future results and that simply isn't how it works. I'm not looking at anything in china other than how they botched this and how other countries are not. I don't think china botched it on purpose but the rest of us have seen what happened in china and are taking steps to avoid that happening here. That's the whole point. We know more of what we're dealing with than what china did, that's not an assumption, it's a fact.
China was unlucky enough to be the guinea pig while we all watched. For sure there will be more cases, but the measures taken to keep it from spreading outside of china will be more drastic because of what we've seen in china. This isn't a prediction, it's a fact. We have already taken more drastic steps to contain it at lower levels of infected cases than china did.
We've cut off all flights from the affected area. We are quarantining anyone who flies in and shows flu symptoms. We have 11 confirmed cases, all in quarantine. It's not a numbers game, one doesn't beget two, two doesn't beget four, at least not if we take steps to ensure it does not. Which is what we are doing.
Then there are the treatment methods. Seems a couple of places have had success with anti-virals and HIV med cocktails. Better treatment means less time ill and less time contagious which results in less spreading.
I'm not sure why you think I'm being overoptimistic. I'm just surveying the field. It's going to spread to more people. But we are better equipped to deal with it and have a better understanding of what measures need to be taken when it does.
On Jan 19, china had 280 cases. Two days later they were over 500. Two days ago there were 157 cases outside china, today there are 183. We are doing a much better job because of the knowledge gained from china.
originally posted by: Blue_Jay33
530 Confirmed recoveries
That's just about 2% mortality rate