Without any sort of Marshall Plan its inevitable.
Iraq already got more than 70 Billion US-$ since 2003. Granted, the vast majority of these funds were related to miliary expenditure, but Germany
recieved only 15 Billion US-$(2019) between 1948 and 52.
It's not about the money.
The reality is, Germans had no choice but to accept defeat after 1945 and strived to rebuild what was left of their country. This was actually pretty
easy to do, the German economy had very solid industrial foundations, it was merley a matter of getting the civlian production back on track and the
free market did the rest. They would have been ok with or without the Marshall funds really.
Iraq and the entire Middle East in general a rather different beast. Unsurprisingly, what worked in Germany and Western Europe didn't work there and
never will.
Why's that? It's not about culture or religion either although thats part of it.
The answer is simple - the Middle East will be pacified the exact same way Europe was - when they run out of young men to send into the meat grinder.
Two world wars bled Europe dry. It literally killed off three generations of young men, #ing up their demographics beyond repair.
That is what it boils down to. Nations without a surplus of young men don't have the stomach for conflict and war. Nations with a surplus of young men
do.
The rest is pretty much window dressing. Humans will always find a reason to fight each other. If not religion it will be something else.
So yes, in a why it's what you wrote about hope. Only there is little to be done about it in the short term unfortunately.
Further Information, including a link to a great study on the subject -
www.cfr.org...
The issue however is - there are less and less new markets for developing countries to expand into. It's simply next to impossible to grow yourself
out of a population explosion. Europes excessive population growth bred vast Empires and settled multiple continents over the centuries. And it still
blew up in our faces. These days there arent any opportunities like that anymore.
Soem fun charts - why the US wasnt able to control Iraq?
This is why:
www.populationpyramid.net...
Compare that with Germany in 1950:
www.populationpyramid.net...
Other nice places:
www.populationpyramid.net...
www.populationpyramid.net...
www.populationpyramid.net...
www.populationpyramid.net...
Want to know why Iran is aggressive but never embarked on holy crusade to rid the world from the infidels? Birth rates collapsed due to reasons before
a population boom could have manifested itself:
www.populationpyramid.net...
So why hasn't China conquered the world yet and (spoiler) never will? They traded long term domination for short term stability:
www.populationpyramid.net...
India made it, they have a great future ahead for their country:
www.populationpyramid.net...
Russia on the other hand will take care of itself:
www.populationpyramid.net...
Want to know who is broken beyond repair for the next 200 years?
www.populationpyramid.net...
/ ontopic
Terrain denial with fighter jets. *sigh* Thats like using a florett for butchering.
edit on 11-9-2019 by mightmight because: (no reason given)