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Have Donald Trump's policies had a big impact on the U.S. economy and its competitiveness? The answer, we think, is an obvious yes. Now comes a new report, based mainly on "hard" data, that confirms that.
The report comes from the IMD Competitiveness Center in Switzerland. Each year it ranks countries by 256 different variables to come up with in global competitiveness rankings.
Just to be clear, we're not citing this one report as a be-all and end-all for competitiveness or even for the fate of the economy. Nor are we in the forecasting business. But others are, and among them have been some of Trump's fiercest critics. To read what they wrote and said, the U.S. returning to No. 1 in competitiveness wouldn't just be unlikely β it would be impossible.
Similarly, the liberal Brookings Institution opined in March of last year that "Trump's 'America First' budget will leave the economy running behind."
"We are probably looking at a global recession, with no end in sight," said New York Times columnist and Nobelist Paul Krugman, just one day after Trump won the election.
"Under Trump, I would expect a protracted recession to begin within 18 months. The damage would be felt far beyond the United States," said Larry Summers, the former top economist for Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, speaking in the summer of 2016.
"If the unlikely event happens and Trump wins you will see a market crash of historic proportions," agreed MSNBC's Steve Rattner, a former Obama administration official, speaking in October of 2016.
Latest forecast: 4.8 percent β June 1, 2018
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2018 is 4.8 percent on June 1, up from 4.7 percent on May 31. The nowcasts for second-quarter real consumer spending growth and second-quarter real private fixed investment growth increased from 3.4 percent and 4.6 percent, respectively, to 3.5 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively, after the employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the construction spending report from the U.S. Census Bureau, and the Manufacturing ISM Report On Business from the Institute for Supply Management were released this morning.
originally posted by: Thecakeisalie
a reply to: Metallicus
Give this man a pair of bon bons "gimme a T-gimme a R-gimme a..."
Face it-you probably posted that using a Chinese built computer while wearing a Nike T-shirt made in Bangladesh and both may have been imported by a Scandinavian shipping company.
Where I come from Corporate tax cuts have done absolutely.effing.nothing. It's just more money to employ folk from countries that have no minimum wage laws.
So the next time you have a problem with your Chinese built iPhone and get some Indian fellow on tech support, I'll laugh. Then i'll spare a thought for the mom and dad companies who need a break, because those who don't live in a metropolitan area apparently don't exist. So you are a rancher from Montana? screw you. But if you are a CEO for a property insurance company ? let me help you.
Divide and conquer-that's the right wing thing to do.
originally posted by: BELIEVERpriest
a reply to: Metallicus
Cutting taxes and regulations will always result in a stronger and more competitive economy. The problem is, he's in favor of tariffs, which will only undermine his own success. On top of that, he's slowly blurring the separation between church and state.
Is he "making America great again"?
No. He's cutting the bottom of the sheet off and sewing it back to the top.
Until we:
1) Ends the war on drugs
2) End the war on guns
3) End the war on the middle class (phase out the welfare programs and tax brackets)
(Those three achievements will eliminate the need for a wall.)
4) Establish a separation between business and state.
5) Adhere to a more pure separation of church and state.
Only then can America reach new heights.
We don't need to marginalize anyone. We don't need to close our borders. We don't need to fear international free trade.
Will these things happen?
No.
Why not?
Because neither the right or the left will allow it to happen.
Why won't they?
Because Americans love to hate their neighbor. This generation refuses to find common ground.
Trump is not making America great again, because he is one man with limited authority (thank God), and because he is an ideologue. Ideology is antithetical to greatness.
originally posted by: MiddleInsite
a reply to: Metallicus
No one hear is disputing the economy is in good shape right now. To say Obama had nothing to do with it is less than honest.
Trump inherited an economy that was already heading in the right direction. I don't mind giving Trump credit, as long as YOUR SIDE gives Obama the credit he deserves for saving the auto industry and taking Bush's failed economy and turning it around. If not, well, then I say, hypocrite.
originally posted by: MiddleInsite
a reply to: Metallicus
No one hear is disputing the economy is in good shape right now. To say Obama had nothing to do with it is less than honest.
Trump inherited an economy that was already heading in the right direction. I don't mind giving Trump credit, as long as YOUR SIDE gives Obama the credit he deserves for saving the auto industry and taking Bush's failed economy and turning it around. If not, well, then I say, hypocrite.
I don't think you know what you're talking about.
originally posted by: Krakatoa
From the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
GDPNow June Report
Latest forecast: 4.8 percent β June 1, 2018
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2018 is 4.8 percent on June 1, up from 4.7 percent on May 31. The nowcasts for second-quarter real consumer spending growth and second-quarter real private fixed investment growth increased from 3.4 percent and 4.6 percent, respectively, to 3.5 percent and 5.4 percent, respectively, after the employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the construction spending report from the U.S. Census Bureau, and the Manufacturing ISM Report On Business from the Institute for Supply Management were released this morning.
Based upon actual data (not political biases), all indicators are green and going in the positive direction.
Why is this a bad thing again?