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The central dogma is critically evaluated in the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) theory of the IPCC, claiming the Planck response is 1.2K when CO2 is doubled. The first basis of it is one dimensional model studies with the fixed lapse rate assumption of 6.5K/km. It is failed from the lack of the parameter sensitivity analysis of the lapse rate for CO2 doubling. The second basis is the Planck response calculation by Cess in 1976 having a mathematical error. Therefore, the AGW theory is collapsed along with the canonical climate sensitivity of 3K utilizing the radiative forcing of 3.7W/m2 for CO2 doubling. The surface climate sensitivity is 0.14-0.17K in this study with the surface radiative forcing of 1.1W/m2.
. It is the sun. The sun is in a natural "quiescent phase" and we are entering a more cooling phase as a result. A child can understand that concept. Why can't Al Gore?
originally posted by: mbkennel
originally posted by: snchrnct
While some scientists argue that the warming has been mainly caused by human intervention, others argue that the influence by man is greatly exaggerated, claiming the varieties in climate observations are mainly driven by (underestimated) natural variabilities such as the sun, ocean cycles, and cloud cover. Unfortunately, these (unpopular) views and arguments are not tolerated in the climate change debate.
Sure it is! What do you think all the publications and simulations and experiments climatologists, oceanographers, and geoscientists have been doing for the last 50 years are about? There are extensive publication records in all of those areas.
Why is the 'natural variability' of the sun "underestimated"? Where is the physical EVIDENCE? In fact, the influence of the Sun has been extensively investigated for decades with numbers and observations.
More Solar output would mean in particular higher temperature anomalies in summer and at equatorial latitudes and at daytime. As it turns out, the evidence shows higher temperature anomalies in winter, in polar latitudes, and at night, which are syndromes of increased greenhouse effect as the relative contribution from increased IR emissivity in the atmosphere becomes larger.
If you want to say it is a "natural cycle" you need to provide evidence, in physics and quantitative measurement, that it is so. This has been going on for decades. Once upon a time, the statement was true that there was insufficient knowledge to quantify the effect of greenhouse gases vs other effects. That is no longer the case, because of many years of work. Mother Nature doesn't feel any obligation to give us the answer we prefer.
I don't want global warming at all, it sucks. But denying it is like a doctor denying smoking causes cancer or meth is bad for your health. Why can't we get tweaked all we want? Mommy, why can't I eat Halloween candy every day for dinner?
originally posted by: ThirdEyeofHorus
a reply to: superbanjo
Evidence three-warm nights----what part of the world do you live in???? Cause I'm listening to the wind howl and two nights ago it was wind chill -40
originally posted by: Ohanka
It is quite preposterous to claim the Earth is not heating.
It is also quite preposterous to claim we have any control over this. Unless you are in possession of a ray that controls the temperature of the Sun of course.
I'm all in favour of environmental regulations, because stuff like acid rain and polluted water is bad, but carbon taxes pushed by this global warming lobby are lunacy.
originally posted by: jimmyx
originally posted by: Ohanka
a reply to: jrod
Can you control of the temperature of the sun?
No? Well what do you suggest we do about it then?
Every other planet in the solar system is warming up as well, I wonder if they have all that man made carbon too..
Maybe if the Environmentalists hadn't spent decades demonising nuclear power with the propaganda and lies from the fossil fuels industry we wouldn't have to worry about coal and other such nonsense.
every other planet in the solar system is warming?.....do you have precise measurements for Jupiter, Saturn, mars, Uranus, Neptune?...what a bunch of fake scientific crap is that?
originally posted by: snchrnct
originally posted by: bananasam
originally posted by: watchitburn
a reply to: superbanjo
Consider a car was headed your direction and showed no signs of stopping. Would you just stand there and say "well it hasn't hit me yet, so I won't move?"
That's a flawed analogy. Here you compare a car with the irreversible (and "catastrophic") climate change/global warming I suppose? In that case, you already assume that this climate change is irreversible, so the car is heading towards you and you have to make a choice. However, the question really is whether that car is there in the first place, and if so, is it exactly heading towards you and at what speed? I don't think it has been proven yet that the car is there, let alone that it's going to "crush" us in case we don't act immediately.
Also, if we are here to talk science let's use data not claims.
#1 Arctic sea ice is showing the lowest levels on record this year.
blogs.discovermagazine.com...
True, but the first satellite record only dates back from 1979, before that we don't really have accurate measurements. So we can't say with certainty that this is "abnormally" low, or that it is not part of a larger natural cycle. And as you can see, it's very close to being within the standard deviation range again. I also hope that you know that the melting of sea ice does NOT contribute to global sea level rise, it actually decreases it due to the difference in volume.
#2 Oceans levels are increasing.
www.ucsusa.org...
Yes they have, since the last ice age, but certainly not at an unprecedented rate. Also here it is important to note that it is really difficult to accurately measure global sea levels. There are so many different variables involved, including the rising and sinking of land.
#3 There have been more hurricanes due to rising temperatures.
www.c2es.org...
The link doesn't work..
More recently (2000-2013), the average is about 16 tropical storms per year, including about eight hurricanes. This increase in frequency is correlated with the rise in North Atlantic sea surface temperatures
It is not only about the frequency, but also about the overall intensity. What's worse: more smaller ones, or a few bigger ones? You decide. And if there's any trend at all, the "accumulated cyclone energy" sees a downward one.
This is what NOAA itself has to say about Hurricanes and Global Warming.
It is premature to conclude that human activities–and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity.
And this is what NASA has to say on Extreme Weather Events:
Bill Patzert, a scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, says the evidence that extreme weather events have been more frequent in recent years is definitely to the contrary...As far as hurricanes, tornadoes, forest fires, floods, and drought, the evidence is definitely not in.
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: yuppa
The clip explicitly says, if we ignore the computer models the evidence for anthropogenic climate change is there.
You did not even watch it. It seems like you automatically dismiss evidence that does not pat your confirmation bias.
originally posted by: Uberdoubter
originally posted by: glowdog
from what i see the petrol-chemo industry is killing us. plain and simple
if not by being responsible ~for heating up "our" planet it´s killing us by poisoning.
...
if we are not already poisoned we are radiated,boiled and generally driven crazy before we are literally blown to bits.
...
Much truth in this. Put the focus on CO2, and blame all of us for being horrible people that use energy. Don't do anything about the pollution and poison that is everywhere - permeating the sea, land and air.
The oceans of the world are soon just one big blob of small plastic particles, and fracking contaminates the drinking water. Metals, pesticides, chemicals - but let's focus on CO2.
originally posted by: amazing
When we stop listening to scientists...(they almost all believe we're in a warming cycle caused by man) then we're in for hard times. I still choose to believe in Science and not a dimwit on Talk radio. LOL
This IS our problem. We get brainwashed by a media outlet and then believe everything they tell us, no matter if it goes against science or not.
Yes because it's the logical one. Co2 is not causing the temperature to rise and it's not causing extremes in temperature. And it's not causing floods, earthquakes and hurricanes. And hey guess what. www.forbes.com...
originally posted by: fencesitter85
originally posted by: ThirdEyeofHorus
a reply to: superbanjo
Evidence three-warm nights----what part of the world do you live in???? Cause I'm listening to the wind howl and two nights ago it was wind chill -40
Sorry, is this argument still being used? "Global warming can't exist, it's really cold where I live today!"
Please.