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Using an artificial intelligence algorithm that mined social media, MogIA predicted Trump would win when almost no one else did.
In an era where self-driving cars promise to soon swarm down roads and Black Mirror is the hottest show on Netflix, it is only appropriate that an algorithm created by a Mumbai-based company MogIA called the election correctly on October 28.
Oh, and MogIA didn't just call this election correctly. It did so with both the Democratic and Republican primaries this year and with three of the last US Presidential elections (although there's been no public verification of those results).
As MogIA's creator Sanjiv Rai explained it to CNBC when he sent them his results in late October, MogIA (named after Rudyard Kipling's Mowgli) plumbs the vast and endless terrain offered by social media to make sense of national sentiments.
Specifically, it scans 20 million data points from public platforms such as Twitter, Google, and Facebook to come up with its predictions. Rai told CNBC that his AI system clearly showed that in any of the elections that MogIA had analysed, the winning candidate was the one that had leading engagement data.
"If Trump loses, it will defy the data trend for the first time in the last 12 years since internet engagement began in full earnest," Rai wrote in a report sent to CNBC on October 28. Not that anyone was listening. Rai also pointed out that Trump had managed to overtake even Barrack Obama's engagement number in 2008 by 25 percent.
Chanakya, the fish, predicts Trump will win
If Chanakya, the fish, is to be believed, the one that rightly predicted the result of UEFA Euro Championship and FIFA World Cup, then Donald Trump may become the next President of US.
At ten past eleven on Tuesday, the colourful Chanakya with scaled blue body and crimson head swam around in a tank at the office of ICWO; minutes later, two trays loaded with fish food and bearing the photos of the candidates Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton were floated.
Within seconds, Chanakya bobbed its balloon shaped head on the tray bearing Trump’s photo thrice!!
originally posted by: Ohanka
I'm unimpressed. A great many people saw this coming without the need of a supercomputer.
From January 1 to November 6, 2016, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton amassed a total following of 48,986,921 across Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. On those three networks, Trump and Clinton’s posts attracted 495,120,770 engagements. Half a billion likes, comments, shares, retweets, and reactions. And most of them went to Trump.
On Facebook, Donald Trump collected a 208,099,876 Facebook engagements and 12 million Facebook fans. Hillary Clinton, who spent early 2016 fending off Bernie Sanders while Trump consolidated support, attracted 72 million engagements and 7.9 million Facebook fans. Her slick mostly image-based campaign won urban voters, but Trump’s grassroots, raw content crowdsourced from rallies was a bigger hit with his fans.
On Twitter, Trump stayed ahead with 89,459,006 total engagements to Hillary’s 41,572,396.
Which candidate won the election on social media? Trump and Clinton’s total followings are 24.3% apart. As of November 6, Donald Trump has 27,902,237 fans across Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram to Hillary Clinton’s 21,084,684.
If the general election follows the same pattern as the primaries, the social media data collected indicates that Donald Trump will be the next President.