posted on Nov, 1 2016 @ 09:37 AM
I have been watching and listening to presidential elections since Nixon back in 1968. While each cycle has it's unique points of interest,
inevitably someone walks away with the prize. It usually starts at the last two weeks of the race and then the victor emerges. The only exception I
ever saw to this was the Bush/Gore race where it was decided on 538 votes. But I think that was mostly because they prematurely called the race for
Gore before the Florida polls closed in the Florida panhandle. But that being said the last two weeks are the make it or break it period. It's where
minds get made up or changed and made up.
There are other areas of interest to note. One is the media reporting verses staying power and each candidate's popularity and negatives in social
media. In the last election of 2012, and also 2008, what occurred on every possible social media outlet was nothing short of Obama love. Negative
posts were often taken down by the various hosts of website forums, and an over abundance of praise was usually seen by the people commenting on those
sites towards Obama. Huge enormous rallies were enjoyed by Obama where lesser amounts attended the Romney or McCain rallies. It was truly a love fest
of major proportions for Obama who won both times.
My observation this year is not based on who I want to win (though I want Trump to win) but more so on what I see and hear. I was disappointed the
last two elections so I didn't want to look into the car lights like a deer in the road again. So this year based on everything I can reasonably say
is sure, I have to say that Mr. Trump will win this election. This is based on positive social media hits, increased negative hits on Hillary,
increased news media resistance, trending polls, and scandals.
I believe in the end independents will break heavily for Donald Trump. More disaffected Blacks and Latinos will side with Trump. And women who are
more concerned with safety and economics will also break for Trump. Added to this will be what some call the monster vote. The monster vote are people
who are either first time voters, party crossovers, or those who have not voted in the last two or three elections. It will be these things that send
Trump over the top to a victory. The one last thing is the enthusiasm factor which is red hot for Trump who can fill up football stadiums full of
people and the Hillary rallies with two or three hundred people.
The result I believe will be a 54% Trump 46% Hillary election result on the popular vote. In the electoral college, the win will come by Trump keeping
his swing states and stealing one or two from Clinton. I think Pennsylvania, Nevada, New Hampshire, will go to Trump.
So these are my observations at this time and my predictions based on them. I didn't list the FBI issues because we don't know if anything will come
of it yet. Please comment and add your thoughts on this thread. Let it not be a hate filled thread but instead give some opinions on some of the
things you might base your belief on who you who might win this Presidential election, Hillary or Trump and why. List some reasons if you can.