Florida is important for Trump. Very Important.

As of Tuesday morning, with one day of early voting, Florida (important state, very important) ballots (including mail ins) look like this:

Rep: 41%
Dem: 41%
Ind: 16%
Oth: 3%
countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com...

Wow. Close. But wait, there's more.

Going by the most favorable current poll for Trump we see that 75% of Florida Republicans may be Trump voters, 78% of Democrats may be Clinton voters, and independents favoring Trump by 8 points.
www.realclearpolitics.com...

Applying those numbers to the ballots cast so far we get this:

Clinton 769,909
Trump 753,978

For what it's worth.

a reply to: Phage

Yeah but I want to know how the hurricane matthew displacement is going to affect FL voting.

Where is this "landslide" for Trump I've been hearing about?

Fricking Florida.

a reply to: Phage

I'm watching Florida very closely.

The CBS News Battleground Tracker poll for Florida has some interesting stats (it's 77 pp.): Link

I live in FL and I voted early by mail two weeks ago.

They extended the voter registration one week past its deadline in order to accommodate to people displaced by the hurricane.

a reply to: Phage

pardon my ignorance but does florida release results before the polls close on election day?


nevermind
those numbers are requests for ballots

are you assuming d will vote hillary and r will vote trump?

how have you divided no party affiliated?

originally posted by: ColdWisdom
I live in FL and I voted early by mail two weeks ago.

They extended the voter registration one week past its deadline in order to accommodate to people displaced by the hurricane.

If they did, they did it very quietly. Rick Scott previously said he'd make "Zero accommodations" for Hurricane Matthew because "people have had lots of time to register"

originally posted by: shooterbrody
a reply to: Phage

pardon my ignorance but does florida release results before the polls close on election day?

No. The stats just reflect the voters' registered party preference.

Obviously, some people do not vote for the party they register with though. Case in point...Calhoun County Florida:

a reply to: shooterbrody

No. The figures are for ballots cast by voter party affiliation. I used poll data for "cross votes" to come up with projected votes based on that.

Wasn't that obvious?

a reply to: Phage

Do those include the ballots that will be found in the trunk of a poll worker's personal automobile a few weeks after the election?

a reply to: ColdWisdom

Good to know, thank you.

originally posted by: eluryh22
a reply to: Phage

Do those include the ballots that will be found in the trunk of a poll worker's personal automobile a few weeks after the election?

Of course they do.

a reply to: Phage

no sorry not obvious

you are assuming d is a vote for hillary and r is a vote for trump?
did you divide the non affiliated?

a reply to: shooterbrody

Did you read the OP?

a reply to: Phage

yep
did you count requested but not returned?

a reply to: shooterbrody

No. Until they are returned they don't matter.
Right?

a reply to: babybunnies

If they did, they did it very quietly. Rick Scott previously said he'd make "Zero accommodations" for Hurricane Matthew because "people have had lots of time to register"

This is true. Governor Scott did initially turn down the option of extending the deadline but apparently he was shamed into doing it by the dems because their argument was that people affected by the hurricane should have more time to register.

I can see both sides of the argument. On the one hand there was a lot of time prior to the hurricane to register but on the other it does seem a bit partisan to prevent an extension after a hurricane.

a reply to: Phage

you projection
just asking

And Governor Rick Scott is working hard to silence voters.

bipartisanreport.com...

It seems like Florida is the one state that can truly decide an election, almost makes me want to vote, being a Florida resident.