USGS Issued Warning in California due to a possible 7.0+ Quake.

DOOM PORN. Hell Yeah.

Hi everyone!
Due to the recent swarm of EQ's in the Salton Sea, the USGS has released a statement indicating an increased risk of a large (7.0+) event in the next week.
Now this may sound scary but let's dive into the details quickly. The USGS like any geological survey calculates the probability of earthquakes of difference sizes happening over different time periods.
Earthquake swarms like these can indicate stress releasing or building up. So with recent events in mind, the USGS have released a "warning" of sorts from the 1st of October to the 4th of October, saying the chances of a large EQ occurring are now between 1/3000 and 1/100. In terms of percentage, that's a 0.03% or 1% chance.
So what does this mean for you?

If you live in one of the following areas: Ventura, San Bernardino, San Diego, Orange, Kern, Imperial, Los Angeles, or Riverside County, be aware that there is an increased likelihood of a large EQ.
With that being said, you should be prepared. You should have an emergency kit put together and a plan on what to do to get home if you're at school, work or another place you frequent.
Remember;
Be Prepared, Not Scared!

Stay Safe ATS

Source

a reply to: boozo

According to the USGS, preliminary data indicated a roughly one percent chance of a magnitude 7 or greater earthquake being triggered on the Southern San Andreas fault within the next seven days, “with the likelihood decreasing over time.”www.cbsnews.com...


In a tweet posted on Friday, seismologist Dr. Lucy Jones said the swarm “is over & increased risk mostly gone” – although she followed up with a tweet saying that doesn’t mean “no threat.”

Not much going on now... a few within the last 24hrs under 2.5 mag

I noticed the swarm when it first started but a 1% chance isn't that great of a threat.

The swarm dying down does make one wonder if it's the calm before the storm but only time will tell.

a reply to: boozo

Sorry. Just saw your source at the bottom. My bad for missing it.

losangeles.cbslocal.com...

But in a tweet posted on Friday, seismologist Dr. Lucy Jones said the swarm “is over & increased risk mostly gone”.

The most recent quake in the swarm above magnitude 2.4 was a magnitude 3.2 temblor that struck around 11 a.m. Thursday.

It's over for the most part, but quakes are still occurring in and around the Salton Sea area. The fear is it could set off the southern end of the San Andreas fault- and if that happened, there's no telling just how far it might rip. And the farther the tear, the larger the quake.

a reply to: boozo

Here is a more in depth article

Earthquake LA times

I hope it all passes without damage.

My wife is flying to San Fran next sunday.

Stay alert out there people.

Is someone going to link the USGS warning from their site? They almost never actually try to predict quakes, let alone "7 magnitude".

Sure be ready, wait... you can't be ready for a quake, of all the disasters they are the most sudden. No warning, just the ground goes bang...

If you're still alive one minute later then you can think about how you're getting home.

Since when did the USGS issue warnings?
They report seismic activity which cannot be predicted.

a reply to: boozo

The USGS gives a .006%-.2% chance of a quake.

Preliminary calculations indicate that, as of 12:00 pm (PDT) on Sept. 30, 2016, there is 0.006% to 0.2% chance (less than 1 in 10,000 to 1 in 500) of a magnitude 7 or greater earthquake being triggered on the Southern San Andreas Fault within the next seven days through October 7...

USGS

originally posted by: Sillyolme
Since when did the USGS issue warnings?
They report seismic activity which cannot be predicted.

Everything has a pattern, and this pattern predicts their might be a large quake in the area, based off past data and extrapolation. It would be unethical and illegal for them not to warn people.

a reply to: boozo

Seems I read they have a large quake in this spot on average every 300 years and the last one was in the 1600's I believe.

They are certainly overdue at this point.

Hopefully no big ones hit...I have a lot of friends in the area.

Yeah, we need a good 7.0 in California just to get it over with. Once the fault relieves the tension, we will have a hundred years of peace there again

a reply to: boozo

*MOVED to APPROPRIATE Location....Sorry...

originally posted by: mysterioustranger
a reply to: boozo

Posted already...aways search down NEW beforehand

www.abovetopsecret.com...

Huh? You linked to this thread....

Sounds like a good time for a vacation to me.

a reply to: Vasa Croe

Yes. Deleted. Moved....thanks Vasa

a reply to: boozo

***MOVED to APPROPRIATE O.P.

Posted already...aways search down NEW beforehand

www.abovetopsecret.com...

Thing is from experience, as long as the ground is moving (i.e., lots of little to mid range quakes) thats a good thing. Its when the seismographs go silent. Then the tension is building. As far as severity, most of the california coast is strike slip fault zones, where continental plates slowly grind past each other. These kinds of plate boundaries produce quakes a lot less severe than subduction zones, where plates push under other plates, like off Washington State or (gulp) Japan.

originally posted by: Tjoran

originally posted by: Sillyolme
Since when did the USGS issue warnings?
They report seismic activity which cannot be predicted.

Everything has a pattern, and this pattern predicts their might be a large quake in the area, based off past data and extrapolation. It would be unethical and illegal for them not to warn people.

I just didn't think they gave warnings. So when did they start doing that?
Because as far as I know they can't predict earthquakes.
And illegal if they didn't warn people? Really? I don't think there are even laws about such a thing.