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State of the Climate An international, peer-reviewed publication released each summer, the State of the Climate is the authoritative annual summary of the global climate published as a supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. The report, compiled by NOAA’s Center for Weather and Climate at the National Centers for Environmental Information is based on contributions from scientists from around the world. It provides a detailed update on global climate indicators, notable weather events, and other data collected by environmental monitoring stations and instruments located on land, water, ice, and in space.
State of the Climate in 2015 This is the 26th edition of the annual assessment now known as State of the Climate. The year 2015 saw the toppling of several symbolic mileposts: notably, it was 1.0°C warmer than preindustrial times, and the Mauna Loa observatory recorded its first annual mean carbon dioxide concentration greater than 400 ppm. Beyond these more recognizable markers, trends seen in recent decades continued.
The sea surface temperature also toppled existing records. When globally averaged, the values were between 0.33 and 0.39 °C (0.59 and 0.7 °F) above the mean, also surpassing the 2014 record. The global upper ocean heat content was also highest on record, due to continuing heat accumulation in its top layers. A new record was also reported for the global sea level rise, as it increased for about 70 mm (2.75 inches) when compared to levels measured by satellite in 1993.
Tropical cyclones were also more active than on average, according to the report. In total, 101 tropical cyclones were observed across the global oceans, which is significantly above the average 82 such systems reported in the period between 1981 and 2010. 26 named storms were reported in the eastern and central Pacific basin, the highest number since 1992 while in the North Atlantic fewer tropical systems than over the last 20 years were observed.
The Arctic sea extent retained low levels, as the region continued to warm up. The land surface temperature was 1.2 °C (2.2 °F) above the average value recorded in the period between 1981 and 2012, thus tying with the records set in 2007 and 2011. The maximum sea ice extent observed in February 2015 was the lowest in 37 years, and the minimum sea ice extent in September was the fourth lowest ever recorded.
wattsupwiththat.com... like their cousins the politicians their need lies in us needing them to tell us about a climate that is always changing and we should be afraid .Send more money to produce more paper to tell us again how much they are needed ,oh and for us to be afraid .
Guest opinion; Dr. Tim Ball I began this article before the resignation of NCEI director Tom Karl was announced. His replacement will, like James Hansen’s replacement at NASA GISS, Gavin Schmidt, continue the climate adjustment program. They perpetuate themselves and their agenda; it is the nature of bureaucracies. Laurence J. Peter, author, and creator of the Peter principle expressed it well when he wrote, Bureaucracy defends the status quo long past the time the quo has lost its status. Karl’s resignation makes this article more germane to the wider problem of bureaucracy in general and specifically bureaucratic scientists.
you posted nothing more then a opinion and had zero information to back up what you said .
It is not an ad hominem when I post accurate information.
You posted zero information to back up what you said.
you posted nothing more then a opinion and had zero information to back up what you said .
Actually, temperatures are following the models quite well. Well within expectations.
You are correct that CO2 is rising but the temps are not following the projected increase the models say will happen .
Citation please.
In fact both the models and scientist said the Arctic would be ice free .
Actually, there is one now. But no, sailors weren't looking for it 300 years ago "because they knew there used to be one." They were looking for one because it would have been much shorter than going around Cape Horn to get to the Pacific.
There is still no north west passage that sailors were looking for 300 years ago because they knew there used to be one
Changes in obliquity and orbital parameters. In other words, things that change how sunlight strikes Earth's surface. Those things say the world should be cooling, as it was until the last century.
The Arctic hosted plenty of mild climate animals but it changed ....what made it change ?
That small amount gets amplified by various feedback effects. For example, a bit of warming means more water vapor. Water vapor is strong greenhouse gas.
Do you think that there may be something else that causes climate and that maybe man only contributes a small very small amount to the whole heat budget ?
An extensive area of lower than average temperatures in the Central Arctic and the Siberian coast, attended by persistent low pressure systems in the same region, led to slightly slower than average sea ice decline through the month. The stormy pattern contributed to a dispersed and ragged western Arctic ice pack for July, with several polynyas beginning to form late in the month. A new record low September ice extent now appears to be unlikely.
wattsupwiththat.com... they have the data there to show how the chicken little is wrong .
Remember back in September 2012 Professor Peter Wadhams famously said that Arctic sea ice would disappear within four years? He also had another prediction in 2013, saying that due to the “methane emergency”, Arctic Sea ice would disappear within 2 years. Even Gavin Schmidt thought that was bollocks. Of course, he [Wadhams] was wrong. Now, his four year prediction from 2012 is being tested this year, and while sea ice has in fact melted faster than usual in May (partly due to El Niño boosted global temperatures), it is still a long way from disappearing right now [and] is within 2 standard deviations of normal for this time of year:
wattsupwiththat.com...
Donald Kasper July 22, 2016 at 5:08 pm Statistics is for dependent variables. X is the independent variable. Y is the dependent variable, and is dependent on X. The function is then Y = f(X), Y is a function of X. That is the basis of linear regression and correlation coefficient for that line or any other function. So, X is time and Y is ice extent or volume. PIOMASS and others have fit a function to this line. Okay, is ice a function of time? Does time make ice? No. Okay, so the trend has no meaning. This is why these predictions keep failing. They are correlating independent variables. This is also why all X values for these kinds of predictions are time, because if X was something that actually correlated to Y, then they would have discovered a causative agent to study. Also note, if X is CO2, which is supposed to drive climate, the correlations of dependent Y variables such as ice and temperature are very low, indicating random noise. So, we know why the Al Gore, et al. statistical predictions failed–time does not make ice, and CO2 is not strongly correlated to temperature for purposes of public policy. I would put a correlation coefficient minima at 0.7 for causative correlations sufficiently strong for purposes of public policy. In other words, they have no concept of how statistics works. It was not designed to operate on independent variables. It also proves why prediction of this type cannot work. They must fail, and we know why they will.