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Reuters had a total of 1522 poll participants.
They had 650 Democrats, 496 Republicans and 196 Independents..
So, in their survey 650 out of 1522 is 42.7%. We round it to 43%, that is the percentage of the people polled who are Democrats.
Further, 496 out of 1522 is 31%-are Republicans.
So Reuters has 12% more Democrats than Republicans in their survey, when they know that there are only 3% more Democrats in the population.
So, Reuters over-polled the Democrats by at least 9% and they are claiming that Clinton is leading by 5%. This means that in reality Trump is leading by about 4%.
This corresponds with the latest USC/LA Times daily poll, which shows Trump currently leading by 5%.
originally posted by: 727Sky
Amazing how things are manipulated to reach a desired goal.. I have just about given up on anything I hear about politics and many other things that can have some government driven agenda behind it,
Reuters had a total of 1522 poll participants.
They had 650 Democrats, 496 Republicans and 196 Independents..
So, in their survey 650 out of 1522 is 42.7%. We round it to 43%, that is the percentage of the people polled who are Democrats.
Further, 496 out of 1522 is 31%-are Republicans.
So Reuters has 12% more Democrats than Republicans in their survey, when they know that there are only 3% more Democrats in the population.
So, Reuters over-polled the Democrats by at least 9% and they are claiming that Clinton is leading by 5%. This means that in reality Trump is leading by about 4%.
This corresponds with the latest USC/LA Times daily poll, which shows Trump currently leading by 5%.
originally posted by: Sublimecraft
a reply to: 727Sky
Where I come from, that's called Stacking the deck in your favour, it is a cheating tactic, usually exercised when all other overt attempts to do things fairly have not yielded the desired outcome for the cheater(s).
originally posted by: Benevolent Heretic
a reply to: 727Sky
Do you have a source???
“On July 25, they originally reported: Trump 40.3 percent and Clinton 37.2 percent, which was a Trump margin of 2.8,” he said. “They have recalculated that now–which I have never heard of–they changed that data, to be: Clinton 40.9 and Trump 38.4, which is a 2.5 margin for Clinton.”
originally posted by: Gin
a reply to: 727Sky
Here's a nice article to go along with that.
Pat Caddell Blasts Reuters’ Back-Rigging Polls to Show Clinton Winning
Indeed, polls can not be trusted at all, just like what happened with predicting Brexit. Better wait for November and see how everything will turn out.
“On July 25, they originally reported: Trump 40.3 percent and Clinton 37.2 percent, which was a Trump margin of 2.8,” he said. “They have recalculated that now–which I have never heard of–they changed that data, to be: Clinton 40.9 and Trump 38.4, which is a 2.5 margin for Clinton.”
The July 25 Reuters poll now shows a result that reflects a 5.3 percentage point flip from the previously published results, he said. “Now look at July 26,” he said. “On July 26 they had Trump at 41.5 percent and Hillary at 36.3. That was a 5.2 Trump margin.
Then, in the new calculation, they claim that Clinton was 41.1 percent, Trump was 37.5, and the margin was 3.6 for Clinton. Same poll. Two different results. Recalculated, after you’ve announced the other results.”
“What you get is an 8.8 percentage point margin change, almost nine points swinging from one candidate, based on some phony, some bizarre allocation theory that you claim you know where these people are or you are just leaving them out,” he said. “I actually believe they are allocating them because they are claiming they are really Clinton voters and they are using something to move them to Clinton.”
Caddell said he is confused by Reuters’ motivation.
originally posted by: alomaha
But dont worry folks, I'm sure they're planning on rigging the election too. So nothing to see here, just move along...