GOP 2016 delegate race thread

After New hampshire, Trump leads with 17 delegates, 6 ahead of Cruz.
Next stop South Carolina, which is actually the only winner takes all state before March 15th and there are 50 delegates up for grabs...



The counts kind of emphasise the GOP strategy in these early states - Rubio has come 3rd and 5th and he is only 7 delegates behind Trump and just 1 behind Cruz, who have both had a 1st and 2nd place and a 1st and 3rd place respectively.

I live in S.C. Trump will win here big time and Ive never met anyone that likes Hilary. Not sure about Bernie and Hilary but on the GOP side I can say that it will probably be IMO

1 TRUMP
2 CRUZ
3 jEB
4 CARSON
5 RUBIO
6 KASICH

'respectively' - I don't believe Cruz got his votes that way after the stunt he pulled by telling Iowa caucus that Carson dropped out.

The people in his campaign don't do anything without his approval first. He can point the finger at them but, again none of them - in any supportive position for any candidate, do anything without the candidates approval.

Cruz in Iowa pulled a dirty stunt and he knew it.

I wonder what will happen if Cruz or Trump wins in South Carolina. Will Bush, Rubio, or even Gilmore drop out? Gilmore hasn't really received many votes and needs to suspend his campaign, Both Rubio and Bush come across as robotic; which have affected their respect campaigns negatively, and I'm still amazed Carson has support. However, it seems to weaning. Thanks to coming in second place in NH, I think that has rehabilitated Kasich's campaign. Also, he could try to appeal to moderates who are probably disenfranchised with either Cruz or Trump.

Thankfully with multiple people already suspending their campaigns voters can easily rally around their favorite candidate and vote for them. Before you had too many candidates to chose from for the primaries. Which was, and still is, a disaster for the Republican party if they want to enter the Oval Office.

originally posted by: Medicator
I live in S.C. Trump will win here big time and Ive never met anyone that likes Hilary. Not sure about Bernie and Hilary but on the GOP side I can say that it will probably be IMO

1 TRUMP
2 CRUZ
3 jEB
4 CARSON
5 RUBIO
6 KASICH

I so hope Trump wins there too . People on other forums seem to say that its Cruz country.....he just needs to have his azz handed to him....I hope Trump does it.

South Carolina overwhelmingly voted Gingrich last time, they are just "that type" of people. Here where I live on the beach, its a melting pot but once you leave the beach watch out. Everyone is for Trump and Cruz, Trump by far has more yard signs and has since day 2. Now that Krispy Kremes and Carly Fingeriner are done, Jeb can celebrate another 4th place victory. Trump will 100% win South Carolina, then it is done deal for the others unless they just simply want to spend more money or are really that delusional to think they can beat Trump. Cruz cheated but Evilvangelicals don't care about anything but the fact Ted is an evilvangelical. Bye the way, it irritates me when the media says S.C. is an evangelical state, I hate that word and it isn't. Almost everyone I know is an atheist unless they are 70.

a reply to: Medicator

The media is trying to program voters into supporting their chosen candidates. Even though I don't Trump, or Sanders, or whoever, I don't want to be told who to vote for in the primaries.

I will put it to you guys like this. My dad is voting Trump, My dad is 100% PURE South Carolina cornbread farmer red neck and there are thousands just like him here, they all think alike. With the exception of the sissy ass gay hating Christian men who like Cruz, they are a dying breed.

a reply to: Teddy916 The media will definitely try to tell people who to vote for. I am just pointing out what I see here in South Carolina and the polls. Myself, I am for Trump or Bernie, even though they both suck, the others suck worse.

originally posted by: Teddy916
I wonder what will happen if Cruz or Trump wins in South Carolina. Will Bush, Rubio, or even Gilmore drop out? Gilmore hasn't really received many votes and needs to suspend his campaign, Both Rubio and Bush come across as robotic; which have affected their respect campaigns negatively, and I'm still amazed Carson has support. However, it seems to weaning. Thanks to coming in second place in NH, I think that has rehabilitated Kasich's campaign. Also, he could try to appeal to moderates who are probably disenfranchised with either Cruz or Trump.

Thankfully with multiple people already suspending their campaigns voters can easily rally around their favorite candidate and vote for them. Before you had too many candidates to chose from for the primaries. Which was, and still is, a disaster for the Republican party if they want to enter the Oval Office.

Whos Gilmore? MSM hasn't said jack squat about him....he will drop out. Bush or Robot Rubio - depends on the next debate....Christi called Rubio on the carpet with his scripted speech...(thing is, [I don't support Rubio], but I agree with him - Obama knows exactly whats hes doing and that is destroying America!)

Fiorina gone, Christi gone Carson says hes staying for SC cuz he has the $ to campaign, will most likely drop out after SC.

In NH how Kashish went from 3% to 15% is mind boggling to me right along with Jebs 3% to 11%...They couldn't mess with Trumps polls of 35-40% so they played with Kasich and Jebs to make them look better...I don't believe it for a second. JMO

originally posted by: Medicator
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Thank You for your words of wisdom...makes me feel better about SC compared to what the lamestream media says

The most interesting thing to watch for is where Christie's votes go. I always saw his votes as the only ones that might swing to Trump in significant numbers. Whoever it comes from Trump will need to hoover up votes from other candidates when they dropm out. He is still a long way from 50%.

As it stands I am still saying Rubio or Bush will win.

The first South Carolina RCP included poll is now out...



Trump leads comfortably, but probably more interesting is that he is rising in second choice. This fact is probably more important in the long run if it is mirrored in future primaries.

It's also important to note that Trump wins in every category; age, sex, state location... and also with Evangelicals. Not by a bit, but by a lot.

The poll is of ~800 republican likely voters and does not really include a strong first time voter view. Margin of error is about 4% at the 95% confidence level.

More details here

The second poll is now out in South Carolina and confirms the first with Trump winnin easily... 1200 respondents.

Every poll (6 in total now) has Trump leading by double digits - even those after the debate.

Watch the results carefully!

originally posted by: Medicator
I will put it to you guys like this. My dad is voting Trump, My dad is 100% PURE South Carolina cornbread farmer red neck and there are thousands just like him here, they all think alike.

Exactly how it is here in Louisiana.

BIG NEWS - latest SC poll (NBC News) puts Cruz in the lead, a huge swing. He leads 28 to 26 over Trump...

a reply to: UKTruth

Yes...because there are Cruz signs EVERYWHERE here:





Only Tump sign I've seen is homemade:



And I've darn near had to turn my phone off as the Cruz people keep calling over and over and over.....really ticking me off.

So they are REALLY pushing here in my part of SC.

originally posted by: eriktheawful
a reply to: UKTruth

Yes...because there are Cruz signs EVERYWHERE here:

Only Tump sign I've seen is homemade:

And I've darn near had to turn my phone off as the Cruz people keep calling over and over and over.....really ticking me off.

So they are REALLY pushing here in my part of SC.

Looking like the debate may have hurt Trump badly after all. Will have to wait to see if this poll is ocnfirmed by another before Saturday... I think a Trump loss in SC probably ends it for him.

i think in some way it wil be Bush vs Clinton

As Bernie will be shut out as DNC will shut out Independent socialist grassroots movement as they basically already stated and Hillary has the same if not more delegates which shouldn't be possible.

Trump will go Indepedent after destroying the Republican field, setting up Hillary to defeat Bush as he takes part of the GOP vote with him.
Trump is not a Republican by any means and is a close supporter of clintons and has bought plenty of politicians along the way.

My other stance ways Rubio vs Clinton but not sure anymore