M Class solar flare likely

originally posted by: Chadwickus
a reply to: 727Sky

You've seen cherry picked videos making you think sun diving comets affect the sun.

They don't.

Plenty of videos out there, here's one..

Wait, what? No flare??

Quite possibly you are correct or possibly not all comets produce a flare event.. Just like all bullet wounds do not cause death. Either way I am bi-cometale so I can go either way...

originally posted by: 727Sky
a reply to: smirkley

Just about the time you think the sun will behave it surprises you.
Long Solar Flare & CME Directed at Earth [Dec.28.2015]
youtu.be...

Thank you. I feel somwhat vindicated. Now I await the terrestrial reaction.

originally posted by: 727Sky

originally posted by: Chadwickus
a reply to: 727Sky

You've seen cherry picked videos making you think sun diving comets affect the sun.

They don't.

Plenty of videos out there, here's one..

Wait, what? No flare??

Quite possibly you are correct or possibly not all comets produce a flare event.. Just like all bullet wounds do not cause death. Either way I am bi-cometale so I can go either way...

interesting view. I guess it could depend on where the bullet enters and what it's made off

a reply to: 727Sky

G3 (Strong) geomagnetic storming likely on 30 December G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storming Likely 30 December published: Tuesday, December 29, 2015 15:31 UTC The geomagnetic storming watch for 30 December has been upgraded to a G3 (Strong), with a G1 (Minor) storming watch still in effect for 31 December

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

a reply to: smirkley
youtu.be...

G1 storming occuring now. Kp index of 4.
From the looks of the data from ACE, I'm thinking that it won't get much higher. Density isn't very high. Speed isn't very high. But if the Bz takes a south turn things might perk up.
www.swpc.noaa.gov...

SWPC still has a G3 prediction up though.

Well, it bumped up to Kp 6 for a bit. When the Bz took a south turn.
But the density has dropped a lot so that's probably then end of it.
www.swpc.noaa.gov...

I guess it's bad that I'm secretly rooting for a CME like the Carrington Event...

Well, well. A surprise. Even though density has fallen way off, the CME has take a very strong south turn, ramping things up. Kp index is back up to 6. Might be a nice New Year's Eve light show for our more northerly members.

This has been interesting and fun.

Thanks Phage for the update!