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originally posted by: Xcathdra
a reply to: Wrabbit2000
All of which pushes the argument back into the nuclear weapon realm. Its the only way Iran can damage the US or Israel to the extent they like to lip off about. IT forces the discussion to the front where if Iran is going to consistently push that game plan then why should the US or Israel not target and remove that section of their military planning?
As for their air defense its geared towards western technology that is about 20 years old. Its on par with technology used by Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan, Turkey, etc.
Iran should not be able to strike Western Europe before 2014 or the United States before 2020—at the earliest.
originally posted by: Xcathdra
a reply to: OneManArmy
Why do you think a country who acquires nuclear weapons is going to have a goal of mass production of said nukes in an effort to go head to head with amounts? You are ignoring a key element of a nations need for military weapons. Why does the nation who is developing them need them and does possession of those items fit into their overall defense strategy? Will a nation use nuclear weapons on a non nuclear armed nation? Nope - and that mindset has been a part of our and the former USSR's nuclear strategy. Its one of the KEY reasons during the cold war the assumption of a nuclear attack on the US or USSR coming from a nation allied with either was viewed as an attack on the US/USSR by the military forces of the US/USSR.
Does Iran need a nuclear deterrent? Nope.
Why? Because they have no chance of catching up to Russia or the US in terms of quantity and quality not to mention deployment abilities.
All it takes is one nuke being sold to a 3rd party, given to a 3rd party, snuck into a nation and detonated. At no point has Iran ever claimed they will invade and conquer / occupy. They, along with terror groups in the Middle East have been consistent with "destruction of" and not occupation.
When dealing with a 9th century mindset who views civilian casualties as acceptable so long as they belong to the enemy or their own if its in the service of the government it does not require 3000 nukes... or 300 nukes... or 30 nukes... or 3 nukes...
It takes just one.
When you look at the this with any shred of logic and NOT EMOTION then you can see what a ridiculous prospect Iran attacking the USA would be.
It would be like a pussy cat trying to claw a lion.
What is the Trident submarine?
Fleet Ballistic Missile Submarine, nuclear- powered, able to remain submerged for long periods without surfacing, virtually undetectable when submerged.
Length: 560 , beam: 42 feet.
Crew: 15 Officers, 140 Enlisted men
What is its mission?
From the US Navy website:
"Strategic deterrence has been the sole mission of the fleet ballistic missile submarine since its inception in 1960. Trident provides the nation's most survivable and enduring nuclear strike capability.
Source
How many US Navy Tridents are there?
18, 10 in King's Bay, Georgia, 8 at Bangor, Washington. According to the 1994 "Nuclear Posture Review," this number is to be reduced to 14 when START II goes into effect. START II was ratified by the Russian Duma in April, 2000. Usually, at least five of the 18 Trident submarines are on patrol in the Atlantic and Pacific at any given moment. They carry 960 nuclear warheads.
originally posted by: Wrabbit2000
a reply to: OneManArmy
When you look at the this with any shred of logic and NOT EMOTION then you can see what a ridiculous prospect Iran attacking the USA would be.
It would be like a pussy cat trying to claw a lion.
I think it's worse than that really, for suggesting Iran could or would attack the US direct with Nuclear anything. Once that genie is uncorked, and especially if one actually struck civilian leadership to remove that element of moderation to the response? The one who did it wouldn't just be attacked and a war ensue. They would be physically erased from existence as if they had never been.
It's not bravado, it's a statement of simple fact and it's the literal core purpose of one leg of the U.S. (and Russian) Nuclear Triad. Iran wouldn't start a war, hitting the U.S. that way. They'd simply say "Please, kill me, I don't even want ashes of me left". This is why:
What is the Trident submarine?
Fleet Ballistic Missile Submarine, nuclear- powered, able to remain submerged for long periods without surfacing, virtually undetectable when submerged.
Length: 560 , beam: 42 feet.
Crew: 15 Officers, 140 Enlisted men
What is its mission?
From the US Navy website:
"Strategic deterrence has been the sole mission of the fleet ballistic missile submarine since its inception in 1960. Trident provides the nation's most survivable and enduring nuclear strike capability.
To say just ones on patrol in blue water at any given moment can unleash more firepower than has ever been in the history of man isn't a bragging point, but a point of physics for a real thing.
Source
How many US Navy Tridents are there?
18, 10 in King's Bay, Georgia, 8 at Bangor, Washington. According to the 1994 "Nuclear Posture Review," this number is to be reduced to 14 when START II goes into effect. START II was ratified by the Russian Duma in April, 2000. Usually, at least five of the 18 Trident submarines are on patrol in the Atlantic and Pacific at any given moment. They carry 960 nuclear warheads.
Pop a nuke? I think Military necessity takes over and Iran knows that as well as anyone. No one even has the equipment available to cover every US missile submarine at sea on routine patrols. Not at the same time. It's the ultimate "You did what?!" response to the unthinkable.......to insure it remains unthinkable, IMO.
An additional link here shows a more updated view putting the figure at 70% for U.S. nuclear deterrence within the Sub fleet and planned toward the end of the century that way.
Even the Russians wouldn't deal with Iran if they were that stark raving mad, IMO. That's what it would take. Hollywood level madness.
originally posted by: Xcathdra
a reply to: Gianfar
Keep using the economic disaster excuse... When it does not pan out that way what excuse will you use next? Iran's self importance in terms of oil is one of their problems, and those who think Iran removal from OPEC would be a disaster need to learn history.
Iran barely has the means to defend itself from the US / Iran so to make a threat against the United States accomplishes what exactly? To demonstrate to the Iranian people how they are viewed as expendable by the Iranian government? When the Iranian government has to base its existence on agitating its own people to shift focus, it says their government is not as stable as they think it is.
Something Iranians would know about if they were allowed to view something other than Iranian state media.
originally posted by: Xcathdra
a reply to: BobAthome
What moves a person to the point of killing themselves while standing in the middle of a market with women and children around all in the name of religion? What forces Iranian leadership to use school aged children to walk hand in hand across a mine field in order to clear a path for their army?
When you can answer those questions then we can move on to answering yours about Iranians hating Israel so much that they would sacrifice their entire population. As if Iranians would get a choice of their life being sacrificed or not from their government.
originally posted by: dragonridr
a reply to: Gianfar
Well thats what they said about the Iraq war as well. But id say most likely result is Saudis would increase there production since they would love Iran to be removed from the picture. Saudis would do whatever is necessary to see Iran removed. They stabilized the price as well during Iraq war in fact gave free gas to US troops i dont think it be any different for Iran this would put there religion in total control of the middle east. And thats what all the fighting is over Sunni and Shia. Funniest part is its a minor difference really just not to Muslims.
originally posted by: Xeven
One has to ask one self what the heck is our CIA doing with all the millions we spend on it? Why is this Iranian lunatic still breathing? CIA fail is why.