Volcano Watch 2014

a reply to: Moshpet
yeah I did too, this is what I seen

UFO on site observing?

quite the cone buildup


I think its time for another flyover, to see whats up at the fissure itself

Has anyone else noticed that the Bardarbunga caldera drop graph hasn't been updated in 18 hours? The graph they are displaying is the same one from 18 hours ago. It looked like a steady increased drop before they stopped updating it.

hraun.vedur.is...

Also I saw two tornadoes, real tornadoes not dust devils, on the left side of the web cam near all of the steam that is being produced by the lava meeting the river. One of them was pretty big. There was a lot of black volcanic dust in it. The entire sky was rotating. These two tornados were coming down from the left side of the rotating clouds.

originally posted by: Adaluncatif
Has anyone else noticed that the Bardarbunga caldera drop graph hasn't been updated in 18 hours? The graph they are displaying is the same one from 18 hours ago. It looked like a steady increased drop before they stopped updating it.

hraun.vedur.is...

Also I saw two tornadoes, real tornadoes not dust devils, on the left side of the web cam near all of the steam that is being produced by the lava meeting the river. One of them was pretty big. There was a lot of black volcanic dust in it. The entire sky was rotating. These two tornados were coming down from the left side of the rotating clouds.

The bottom graph that shows several days is updated. I don't know why they are not updating the top graph for the 48 hour period. You can see the latest data by looking at the bottom graph, but it is really tiny to see.

a reply to: Adaluncatif

it has been updated at 03/10/2014 17:30 (current view)

I guess we all assume these things are done automatically, but maybe they are not and require analysis and creation by humans
I keep looking for the reports from the Scientists from the Icelandic Met Office and the Institute of Earth Sciences earthice.hi.is... often they are days behind, then all of a sudden the reports appear for 2 days back.
I guess they have other things to do

From today, the Scientific Advisory Board will meet on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. The next meeting will be held on Monday 6 October.

edit: new image @ 17:50, so maybe it is automatic after all, just was broken.

last night I finally figured out how to get timed screenshots off the web cams using Snagit. It required I change some settings on my computer, such as turning off sleep and screensaver, took a few attempts to get it right.
I set it for every 15 minutes and it sets the time stamp on the border (NZDT)
It works well.
But the weather came in while I was asleep and there isn't much to see on the images.
Murphy's Law
Oh well, its ready for when the weather clears, hopefully can get some good shots at sunset

a reply to: muzzy

yes what you see in that web cam image is the new "Baugar" cone

Photo from Robert Alexander Askew, taken 2. October
earthice.hi.is...

from my EQ Archives Iceland for September 2014. Reviewed data.
Earthquakes above M4 are "M" magnitude Type, those below are ML Type. I'm not sure how this works out, as I have done 2 years worth of monthly maps based on ML alone, this compromises consistency.
If I used only ML for Sept there would be no quakes above 5.0ML!!!
But going with 4+ reduces the number of 3ML's.
Not sure how IMO define preliminary versus reviewed when they write about the number of quakes based on size.
Must go back and check what I did for August.
interactive map centred on Bardarbunga-Holuhraun
Summary
mag less than1= 2290 , mag1= 1755 , mag2= 275 , mag3= 11 , mag4= 56 , mag5= 27
total= 4414 , total energy released= 43,326.8270 TTNT


right click "view image" for full size (hopefully)

is that R2D2 over on Dyngjujokull glacier?




or a speck on the camera lense?
both cameras?

Bardarbunga-Holuhraun

looks like the weather is coming down again at dusk.
I managed to get quite a few screenshots for Friday when I was away from home using the Snagit programme with the timer, a lot looked the same so I just selected those that looked like there had been a change, still got 31 of them
images 03/10/2014 quite a few night shots which I don't normally bother with.
Similar situation last night but deleted a lot when the rain/snow/fog came in, will post those at the end of the day (Iceland time)
Snagit works great, but because it only grabs jpg/png/gif images directly from the web page address it won't grab the live video. So I have to have the page open when the timer is doing the screenshoting, i.e. leave it on when I'm not here.
It doesn't work so well when I'm here doing other things on the laptop as it grabs the active screen, i.e maybe the Excel spreadsheet I'm using at the time. So I have to do it manually. AT least I have it set to just take the image in the centre panel and don't have to crop a full page screenshot later.

The activity in Bardarbunga is really high right now, there are a lot earthquakes stronger than magnitude 3, and the subsidence of the caldera is very rapid. The focus of the quakes is in northern rim of the caldera.

a reply to: Thebel
I wonder if the caldera roof is collapsing evenly into the center, like it was at 08/09/2014?
or to one side (to the north)?
That is the last survey map published by the Institute of Earth Sciences

earthice.hi.is...

time for a new survey map!

rapid fire at bardar-caldera now...

The total subsidence of the caldera is now 32 meters.

The activity has increased a lot over the past days, i really think an eruption of Bardarbunga itself in the coming months is very likely to happen.



A beautiful video, although the title is wrong, this eruption is not at Bardarbunga but at Holuhraun.

There are so many deep quakes in Bardarbunga right now, new magma coming from mantle? The activity has increased a lot during these 2 days. Smaller earthquakes don't get even registered because the weather is really windy again.

Notes from the meeting of the Scientific Advisory Board (pdf)

I am going to make a prediction that the main Bardarbunga volcano will erupt on Halloween, plus or minus three days. I believe that the caldera will have fallen so much that the whole thing will give way causing the glacier above to collapse into the magma chamber causing a tremendous explosion. It is possible that much of the ice will be thrown out before vaporizing or melting. Luckily, I don't think the area is populated. Ice chunks could be as big as houses.

Wow, 5.5 magnitude quake within the caldera, and there has been huge drops today, just look at this:


If current trend continues, the caldera will no longer have support and it will collapse within 2 weeks. I predict that the northern rim of the caldera will collapse, maybe the whole northern part will collapse, as the quake activity is mainly there. There is really dangerous to be there when that happens.

The earthquakes show more dispersion too, they no longer occupy just northern rim, they are all over the caldera, but still most in north.

it will be less epic than krakatau if the gletger falls in it but never the less ..it will be an bigggg bang
p/s soundwaves of krakatau rolled over the whole world

Despite Bardarbunga-Holuhraun dominating the discussions this last few months, I still get a couple of hits a day on my Yellowstone pages,
what are they looking for I wonder?
maps? graphs?

well if either of those, here is YS 2014 brought up to date, I was 9 months behind
YS 2014

all the action seems to be happening around Grizzly Lake this year

a reply to: muzzy

I still get a couple of hits a day on my Yellowstone pages, what are they looking for I wonder?

Maybe this.

www.abovetopsecret.com...

Has some people worried.

P