posted on Dec, 19 2013 @ 01:49 AM
I bet NATO will answer by stationing bases in Lithuania, probably with F-18 or better. May be Patriots too. That will anger Russia further.
Belarus is the next step for Russia. It already got approval from Lukashenko to make a brand new air base, Currently Russian jets use one Belorussian
base. Belarus is worse than Kaliningrad, it is closer to the Western bases. Iskanders were considered for Belarus.
What will happen in Ukraine nobody knows. That might be a factor too.
I don't see any German or French mobilization and they won't happen. The millions of armies spoken of are non existent in real case scenario. Only the
hi-tech bases and airplanes are the real danger for the Russian growing assertiveness in East-Central Europe. (Russia is also Europe up to Urals).
New NATO bases in Romania in exchange of Tajikistan may be a powerful push on the Southern edge. You have also Turkey with 0 US nuclear bombs
including H bombs, that are outdated indeed but could be modernized any time or loaded into a modern jet fighter or even stealth. Turkey practically
borders post-Soviet space of Russia thru its ally Armenia. Should a massive war starts, Armenia has stationed one Russian army ready to act in the
region of Eastern Turkish border. Taking into account those territories historically were populated by Armenians, that might happen to be the
convenient motivation for starting hostilities.
Let alone Poland itself. Russian officials warned they could take out the Polish PAK in preemptive attack (didn't specify nuclear or conventional,
perhaps conventional) IF the world situation deteriorates and goes towards a war. That was pretty serious warning. Indeed Poland is on the way of
Russia to the Central-West Europe and could expect to be the first hit. If there is some repetition of WW2.
Of course in the nuclear era any unbelievable scenario may become the real case scenario. You have missiles that can circumvent the globe in a matter
of minutes. Let alone space weapons. Alaska being hit first? Don't know. I think Russia will try to stay neutral as long as possible and let others
fight. Before the crucial moment there should be a withdrawal of massive portions of populations from the major cities, especially Moscow. Moscow and
Leningrad Peterburg host alone 1/10 of the Russian population and it is easier to be evacuated via underground vast network of civil and military use
of metro subway. Those networks are said to reach South and East regions and underground bases-cities in Urals. Known as Metro-2 to exist for VIP
persons from Kremlin. This is outdated information. We don't know how far all those projects have reached for all those decades of "peaceful
development". Should Moscow's people disappear from the streets, be ready for the worst case scenario.
edit on 19-12-2013 by 2012newstart
because: (no reason given)