It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
PIERRE, S.D. (AP) — A record-breaking storm that dumped 4 feet of snow in parts of western South Dakota left ranchers dealing with heavy losses, in some cases perhaps up to half their herds, as they assess how many of their cattle died during the unseasonably early blizzard.
n South Dakota, the 19 inches of snow that fell in Rapid City on Friday broke the city's 94-year-old one-day snowfall record for October by about 9 inches, according to the National Weather Service. The city also set a record for snowfall in October, with a total of 23.1 inches during the storm. The previous record was 15.1 inches in October 1919.
n the north-central U.S., residents of Wyoming and South Dakota were digging out Saturday from a ferocious, record-setting blizzard, one in which snow was measured in feet, not inches. One location - Deadwood, S.D. - had picked up 4 feet of snow as of midday Saturday.
In Rapid City, S.D., the storm's total snowfall of 23.1 inches was the city's second-biggest snowstorm on record. At least 80 people in the Rapid City area had been trapped overnight in their cars
acreage of cereals in the last ten years decreased by about 40 000 hectares a year. Because of the difficult spring is counted with an additional reduction in grain area being thrashed year. On the basis of assessments of Norwegian Agricultural Counseling and seed turnover is area reduction set to 80 000 hectares this year. New acreage figures from the Norwegian Agricultural Authority does not allow to change this forecast. The Norwegian grain area has not been lower since 1973, ie before the escalation decision in 1975.
“The official view in Norway is in contrast to what the people experience because of cooling weather: Late spring gives flooding and avalanches when late snow-melting in the mountains. Water pipes freeze because of early and deep frost in the winter. Insect populations down 40% in 5 years because of cool and wet summers. This of cause is bad for pollination of fruit and berries.”
“That’s the result that they get when you premeditate your science,” said Dr. Tim Ball, former professor of climatology at the University of Winnipeg. “When you set out to establish a certain scientific outcome and you program your computers to do that, you shouldn’t be surprised if that’s the result you get. The problem is what they’re getting out of their computers is not fitting with what’s actually happening. Of course, that’s been the problem with the IPCC all along.”
“We’re heading toward what occurred around the year 1800. It was called the Dalton Minimum of low sunspot activities,” he explained. “We certainly are down to that in number of sunspots this year. That means the cooling will continue at least until 2030 and yet the government is preparing for warming, which is outrageous. Some people think that this cycle of sunspot activity and global cooling will take us down to as cold as it was around 1680, which was the nadir of the Little Ice Age.”
I don't see any record low temperatures on that list...That's a pretty good indication that things aren't getting colder.
The winter of 2012/2013 (December to February) as well as March 2013 were too cold in large parts of the northern half of Asia in comparison to the reference period 1961-1990. In December 2012, monthly temperature anomalies up to about -11 °C were recorded in the southwest of Siberia and in Kazakhstan. In Kazakhstan, daily minimum temperatures reached -40 to -46 °C
The Early 2012 European cold wave was a deadly cold wave that started on January 27, 2012 and brought snow and freezing temperatures to much of the European continent. There were 824+ deaths reported. Particularly low temperatures hit several Eastern and Northern European countries, reaching as low as −39.2 °C (−38.6 °F) in Finland.
The latest data is not encouraging for Solar Cycle 24 as the SSN numbers have taken a pretty big hit. In fact, all the solar metrics have taken a hit at a time near the peak when their should be many more sunspots and indications of an active solar dynamo.
And the Ap Index, an indicator of solar magnetic activity is still bumping along the bottom. Compare it to the peaks seen in Solar Cycle 23 in 2004:
“The level of warmth during the peak of the MWP (Medieval Warm Period) in the second half of the 10th century, equaling or slightly exceeding the mid-20th century warming, is in agreement with the results from other more recent large-scale multi-proxy temperature reconstructions.”
I did say it was a simplification but it isn't wrong.
I usually have a hard time disagreeing with you, but to over simplify the precipitation as you did seems a bit wrong.
It's a general statement. You know that weather is not the same as climate.
Based on your theory, they should be enjoying the same affects of global warming bringing more precipitation due to more evaporation.
So if the temperatures were as warm only 1000 years ago what could have been the cause?
Of these proxies, 32 extend as far back as to the beginning of the first millennium. From these comprehensive proxy compilations we performed new reconstructions of the extra-tropical NH mean temperature. Note, however, that only little more than half of the proxies (the exact fraction depends on the calibration interval, etc.) correlate well enough with the local annual mean temperature to be included in the actual reconstructions.
The thing is, the climate has been getting warmer since 1960.
The two-millennia long reconstruction shows a well defined Medieval Warm Period, with a peak warming ca. 950–1050AD reaching 0.6ºC relative to the reference period 1880–1960 AD.
“The Medieval Warm Period was not as uniformly warm as we once thought--we can start calling it the Medieval Period again,” said the study’s lead author, William D’Andrea, a climate scientist at Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory. “Our record indicates that recent summer temperatures on Svalbard are greater than even the warmest periods at that time.”
I don't see any all time high temperature records there.
There have been more all time high records set since 1960 (73) than all time low temperature records (41).
Then what was your point in bringing up recent cold snaps?
Nothing unusual during a warming phase.
Yes. Weather. Not climate. Climate is the average of accumulated weather. A heat wave is a prolonged period of high temperatures, not necessarily record high temperatures. A cold wave does not necessarily mean record cold temperatures. A warming trend means we see more high records set and fewer low records. We are seeing more record high temperatures than cold.
There will always be heat and cold waves. It's weather.
What "definite" indications would that be? There have been more all time high records set since 1960 (73) than all time low temperature records (41).
I couldn't say if there are indications for another mini ice age, but definitely for period with lower temperatures on average than seen in last 50 years.
Temperatures have dropped dramatically, in some places even 13 degrees from the normal for the first day of this month. It was, say forecasters, the coldest day of October 1 of the last 84 years.
According to the Russian Institute for Hydrological and Meteorological, arctic cold penetrates to the heart of Siberia. In Krasnoyarsk, the temperature dropped to the lowest level in history, -6.5 ° C. Previous minimum was established September 27, 1988, and amounted to -6.4 ° C. The Institute adds that it is a mean daily, not the minimum temperature, so you can guess that mercury bars at night are reduced below -15 degrees. Strong for this time of year mrozom not accompanied by a clear sky, as it might seem. Already 60 per cent. Asian part of Russia is covered with a layer several centimeters of snow. Most of the snow is in the mountains of Magadan - 40 cm and the Yamal Peninsula - 20 cm. moist and coldest September in the history of Moscow? Yeah rainy September in the Russian capital was not long ago. What's more, all indications are that in Moscow in September this year will further the coldest since the beginning of this century. The last time a similar intensity and duration of the anomalies observed in 2001, but when the daily temperature was a little higher than it is now. According to the Russian Institute in September of this year in Moscow columns of mercury had never exceeded 20 ° C, which is a very unusual phenomenon. Meteorologists estimate that this is the second month of this year, after March, with temperatures well below long-term norms. As if this is not enough, September was not only cold, but also very wet - in the capital has fallen three times more rain than usual (up to 282 per cent on September 26. Precipitation). Historically cold week in Eastern Europe, building on over Scandinavia powerful high-pressure system will make in the near future on the eastern part of Europe, such as the Russia, Baltic States, Ukraine, and in the second half of next week, also up from the Balkans to drain a record cold air from the north. During the day the temperature drops to as little as 4-6 degrees C, and at night there will be frost up to -8, -10 degrees C. As if that were not enough, in many regions are expected to be the first time this season snowfall. It is estimated that in the east of the continent and in the Black Sea region will be up to 10-12 ° C cooler than the norm, but rather indicates a thermal anomaly, and not just "more serious incident."
A paper published today in Quaternary Science Reviews reconstructs climate of the central Alps over the past 10,000 years and finds precipitation and floods were driven by changes in solar activity. The authors propose variations in solar activity and insolation cause widening and shrinking of the Hadley cell, and influence on the North Atlantic Oscillation [NAO] and Intertropical Convergence Zone [ITCZ]. The paper adds to many other peer-reviewed publications finding solar amplification mechanisms by which small changes in solar activity have large effects on climate.
According to the authors, "We found that flood frequency was higher during cool periods, coinciding with lows in solar activity. In addition, flood occurrence shows periodicities that are also observed in reconstructions of solar activity from 14C and 10Be records (2500–3000, 900–1200, as well as of about 710, 500, 350, 208 (Suess cycle), 150, 104 and 87 (Gleissberg cycle) years). As atmospheric mechanism, we propose an expansion/shrinking of the Hadley cell with increasing/decreasing air temperature, causing dry/wet conditions in Central Europe during phases of high/low solar activity. Furthermore, differences between the flood patterns from the Northern Alps and the Southern Alps indicate changes in North Atlantic circulation."