China for World super power in next 40 years, page 3
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reply posted on 14-11-2004 @ 09:38 PM by sardion2000

1) the US will continue to grow
....


What do you base this assumtion on? Alot of people in the 70s and 80s thought Japan was gonna continue to grow then BAM! the 90s hit the Japenese like a sledghammer. A decade long recession....


(it's actually growing at a rate of3% per year now)


China is growing at a 10% rate your point...


and EU will become more unified and will play a bigger role in the future. it will be more or less a multi-polar system in which several blocks will compete: US/allies, China, EU, Russia, etc.


Can't argue there but you still havn't given a good case for why China will never be a superpower... If china is part of this multi-polar world it will probably be standing on its own with a few staunch allies like it always has. Just because China doesn't project its power into the world as much as past Superpowers doesn't mean they don't have what it takes to be a future one even if they have to share the limelight with the US, EU, and India and who knows maybe an african union will start forming... But I see China being number 1 by 2030.


2) We are a land country throughout history while the recent powers in the past 300-400 years have all been naval powers: UK, Spain, Dutch, US, etc. This is also true for CCCP. Even in its heyday, CCCP could not rival the US in terms of geographic advantage, such as military bases and allies around the world.


That point will be moot when the next arms race begin(*hint* it will be in space). Naval warfare is go the way of the Dinos(at least the warfare that we are familiar with)
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