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In its 2013 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting an active or extremely active season this year.
For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA’s Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook says there is a 70 percent likelihood of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 7 to 11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).
These ranges are well above the seasonal average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 ma
Originally posted by jrod
A few reasons we've had record seasons is we are now able to track every storm thanks to satellites and hybrid systems are given names now. I don't buy that we'll have the worst season ever because of climate change. I do think the NorthEast US will be vulnerable for another hit this year based on where the Bermuda High has set up.
The water temperatures aren't crazy warm for this time of the year, I do expect an active season but certainly not a record breaking season.
I'll even go on a limb saying we may be having more active hurricane season due to weather manipulation. It is probable that the US government has been trying to weaken hurricanes to minimize land impacts. If they are successful in weakening a storm then there will be extra energy left over in the tropics because tropical systems are essentially heat engines that bring that energy to the upper latitudes. When energy is left over there is more potential for more storms.
Originally posted by iunlimited491
And, speaking of the U.S. East Coast...
A severe weather outbreak is taking place right at this moment...
Things should continue to get interesting as the season continues.
Originally posted by rickymouse
I just rototilled my garden. This has been quite a "no summer" Tomorrow I will plant, two weeks behind schedule. Planting before the ground warms up enough is a waste, nothing grows. Big difference from last year.
Climate change is real but global warming is not Not unless they exclude Yooperland. They just had to rescue someone who dove off the rocks into Lake Superior, the cold water zapped the strength out of the girl. Four kids dove in after talking to the person watching the park who warned them that the water was too cold to dive in. Kids never listen, I suppose they tested the water by shore, of course the shallow water will be warm.
They have Hurricanes on the Ocean, we just have dumb teenagers here for excitement
Originally posted by Trueman
I'm in NJ. Honestly, I don't think my home can take another one. Thankfully, I rent.
Originally posted by Starcrossd
I believe we are in the peak of the solar maximum as well, which could add some interesting pressures to the atmosphere. Hopefully everyone will weather the season okay!