Originally posted by Wrabbit2000
Well.... After reading around a bit and seeing this is pretty widely covered. I'd say it's Israel's turn to have a moment of pause. I don't think
Assad is kidding. I think he also knows what comes after his missile launch...and so on. These aren't stupid men. There is a lot more at play here
than we're seeing from the public side, IMO.
This has big pieces missing, I'm thinking.
But, I'm thinking there are political benefits across the board for different people with different goals... war is a great way to distract a public
and boost a failing economy. People are more willing to sacrifice all kinds of things and sink back into a desperate state of survival when their
nation and existence is under threat.
It could be in the interests of the USA to be at war - a real war, not an invasion for oil and strategy. If America were properly at war, with the
threat of attack directly on the citizens, Obama could get away with almost anything. Domestic disagreements would be silenced almost overnight, and
the entire country would mobilize to defend themselves against an aggressor.
Is it in the interests of Russia to be at war though? And how about China? They haven't really been in the news at all when it comes to this
skirmish. North Korea is obviously an ongoing issue, but hardly anything close to the problem with Syria.
Ultimately, I don't think Syria is going to be firing anything at Israel any time soon. They know that the moment they do they will have Israel and
the USA wiping out their military and government within hours. There is no way Syria would get out of that without the regime being destroyed. It
would be suicide.
The threat is just that, a threat. Syria is bluffing and suggesting that if Israel strikes them again they'll strike back - they won't, they can't,
because if they actually did they would be dead very quickly.
How Russia plays their part in this is going to be key though.
If they express military support for Syria at any point then you can pretty much start digging out that bomb shelter in the back yard. If it comes
down to it, if Russia actually becomes a real guard dog for Syria, it would be the USA, Israel and NATO countries up against Iran, Syria and
It might start off with regional war, with battles over territory and strategical moves around the Middle East (for example, Russia targeting crucial
staging points in Iraq and Afghanistan and claiming it's defensive, while also forcing back Americas dominance in the region - something they have
been angry about for a long time), but it could very quickly escalate to a Russia/America war - and where does China and NK come into it then? AND
What about Japan then?
I think a lot of this comes down to Russia and whether they have the appetite for a real war. Lets hope there is little/nothing in it for them to
defend Syria with military power.