personally i would love to see the colonization of mars happen. sadly this mission is sounding more and more like a pipe dream that is bound to fail.
it looks good until you think about things like a lot of people have brought up.
i think the first issue is that this in reality is a "shoestring budget" type thing, doing all possible to save money, which is why no return trip.
4 people every two years. i also don't believe it has been properly thought through for the years after they are set up (if they survive even that
long). even their financial base has problems, what happens when people get bored of the whole thing and no more money comes in? do they just abandon
them or will they become a new charity begging for money and supplies? they said they want it to be self sufficient at some point (i can't find that
info atm), but how are they to do that with 20 people? to be self sufficient not only would they need to be able to supply their own food,
recycle/replenish water, produce power and such, they will need complex manufacturing. things like space suits will wear out, power cells and other
equipment will wear out, at some point almost everything will need replacement. how can they hope to manufacture parts and equipment with only 20
people and no real manufacturing base?
i'm sure many people out there think of this as just a modern day version of the settlement of the new world aka North America. while it does share
minor similarities, in reality it is nowhere even close. the "new world" had many differences from mars. first off the new world may
have had it's dangers, but at least you could breath the air, drink the water, and eat native foods. not so on mars. there may be
how to get to it? it seems the settlement area would almost need to be on the equator for power issues while most water seems to be at the poles. you
can't go outside without a protective suit to protect you. there is nothing even close to edible that has shown up so far. not only that but the
number of "colonists" is far different. for the new world they sent ships full of people, not just FOUR people at a time every TWO YEARS. so in the
new world isolation wasn't a major issue that it will be on mars. while the new world for most was a one way trip, there were still ships with new
faces that would come by and drop yet more settlers and supplies off, as well as picking up items in trade that had been produced in the new world.
for mars it will be unmanned ships, and every 2 years a ship dropping off just 4 new people. there will be no trade for the foreseeable future just
supplies sent one direction at the whim of those back on earth. no trade just "charity
the multitude of people that traveled to the new world also insured that there were many skills available to draw on, not to mention the skills were
not as specialized and advanced as will be required for mars. in north america materials needed to build what they needed was generally at hand and
easy to get a hold of, since wood was plentiful and heavily used. at first most metal would have been required from overseas but eventually they would
mine, smelt and smith what they needed. yet at the same time they only needed rather simple tools and supplies in comparison to what they will need on
mars. back then one person could generally make what they needed with just simple easily made tools and a few specialties needed like forging, how
many things that would be needed on mars be crafted by one person using simple tools? even simple "forging" would be an issue on mars, where to get
coal from for example.
all the mars one mission really is in the end is a "curiosity", like the old carnival side shows showing "freaks of nature" and curiosities from
around the world. those on this mission will be no better than those "sideshow freaks" for the rest of the world to gape at as they try to survive.
what will they do other than wander around exploring, and just working to survive? with so little in the way of people it is unlikely that in the end
they will contribute much to science or anything other than being guinea pigs in a science experiment.