H7N9 Bird Flu Jumps from 3 to 33 Cases in Just 10 Days

reply to post by rickymouse


Correct me if I am wrong but I think I read from one of Sop's posts that it it is the very young and the elderly on this one. Young healthy are able to survive it in most cases.

www.nature.com...

There is still no evidence of any sustained human-to-human spread of the H7N9 virus. But the World Health Organisation confirmed on Saturday that Chinese authorities are investigating two suspicious clusters of human cases. Though these can arise by infection from a common source, they can also signal that limited human-to-human transmission has occurred.

They suspect they have found a human carrier of the virus.

edition.cnn.com... Link

Latest news says cases up to 77 - BUT - says Beijing reported one case - does not include the asymptomatic 4 year-old boy, just the 7 year-old girl. ...So Beijing actually reported TWO cases. What else is "off"?

China confirms 77 H7N9 cases, 16 deaths

During the period from 6 p.m. on Monday to 8 p.m. Tuesday, China confirmed 14 new cases of H7N9 avian influenza, with two more death reported in Shanghai.

The National Health and Family Planning Commission said in its daily update on H7N9 cases that a total of 77 H7N9 cases have been reported in China, including 16 cases that have ended in death.

.....A total of 30 cases, including 11 ending in death, have been reported in Shanghai. Twenty cases, including two deaths, have been reported in Jiangsu Province, and 21 cases, including two deaths, in Zhejiang Province. Anhui Province has reported three cases, with one death. Beijing has reported one case and two have been reported in Henan Province.

Beijing’s Municipal Bureau of Health this morning reported the discovery of a suspected H7N9 bird flu carrier in the city, a four-year-old boy, according to a local reports.

The boy, who surname is Zhu, would be the city’s second case following the discovery of an ill 7-year-old girl that was reported on Saturday.

UPDATE: Case count now up to at least 83 with 17 deaths.

When I pointed out key info about H7N9 to a contact, he laughed and said, "China is experimenting on its own people!" I said, "No! Follow the money!" …Free trade agreements with China mean Western corporations are competing for China's HUGE poultry market - they're the ones who benefit when the live markets and backyard chicken coops are shut down - and corporations have a long history of bioterrorism.

KEY INFO

* Dutch virologist Ron Fouchier says H7N9 is not actually a bird flu.

Dutch virologist Ron Fouchier told CNN that this mutation in mice makes the disease up to 1,000 times more virulent. He believes that several other mutations present mean that the virus is not actually a bird flu. “Known normal bird viruses have to adapt substantially to infect people, but not these,” he said.

* Only 10 of the 77 cases as of Tuesday have had contact with poultry - where the virus is coming from and how it's spreading is still a "mystery."

Zeng Guang, the chief scientist in charge of epidemiology at the China Disease Prevention and Control Center (CDPCC), said about 40 percent of human victims had no clear history of poultry exposure, the Beijing News reported on Wednesday.

According to state media reports, only 10 of the 77 cases as of Tuesday have had contact with poultry. The CDPCC declined to comment when asked by Reuters.

* Official reports deny H7N9 is infecting pigs or dogs - BUT - 410 Pigs and 122 Dogs were just found dead in Henan province. Last month, more than 16,000 dead pigs were found in rivers that supply water to Shanghai (tsk, definitely NOT the same factory and "chemical gas" at fault).

Maybe H7N9 already has multiple reservoirs

….

410 Pigs, 122 Dogs Found Dead In China Wed, 04/17/2013

“Initial investigation eliminated an animal epidemic and H7N9 bird flu,” the (NEWS) agency reported, citing the local authorities.

…Tissue samples of the deceased animals have been sent for tests to the Henan University of Science and Technology.

Also see: H7N9 virus can be traced to 3 bird species: Chinese expert
NOTE: Does not preclude spread to other species.

* The media continues to exclude the 2nd case in Beijing from the count.

A seven-year-old girl in Beijing was the first case in the capital at the weekend and the boy next door has also tested positive

How many other cases are being "overlooked"?

* Only five reported H7N9 flu patients have recovered - the rest are still in hospital.

China confirms 82 H7N9 cases, 17 deaths

From 8 p.m. Tuesday to 5 p.m. Wednesday, China confirmed five new cases of human H7N9 avian influenza infection, including one in Shanghai and four in Zhejiang Province.

The National Health and Family Planning Commission said in its daily update on H7N9 cases that a total of 82 H7N9 cases have been reported in China, including 17 that have ended in death.

Of the total, five H7N9 patients have been discharged from hospitals after receiving treatment, and the other 60 patients are being treated in designated hospitals, according to the commission.

A total of 31 cases, including 11 that have ended in death, have been reported in Shanghai. Twenty cases, including three deaths, have been reported in Jiangsu Province, and 25 cases, including two deaths, in Zhejiang Province. Anhui Province has reported three cases, with one death. Beijing has reported one case and two have been reported in Henan Province.

reply to post by antar

Originally posted by antar
reply to post by soficrow

 

…Why are they having so much trouble with their chicken farms in China? Could it be the sanitation, the food they feed them?

China is NOT having trouble with it's chicken farms. Only 10 of the 77 cases as of Tuesday have had contact with poultry - where the virus is coming from and how it's spreading is still a "mystery."

Follow the money! …Free trade agreements with China mean Western corporations are competing for China's HUGE poultry market - they're the ones who benefit when the live markets and backyard chicken coops are shut down - and corporations have a long history of bioterrorism.

See my post above for more info.

What can we learn from them to keep our flocks safe?

Turn all our food production over to the global corporations. Oh. Right. We already did that.



PS. So sorry - your post got buried, missed it. …..Good to hear from you. Hope all is well in your world.

reply to post by antar
More…

Used-ta-be Brazil had the lions' share of China's poultry market. Then the USA went to the World Trade Organization and things changed. Now, Cargill (a global agribusiness mega-corporation with an American base) has a HUGE presence in China - including 12 pullet and breeder farms, a feed mill, a hatchery and a primary processing plant. Cargill plans to raise and market 65 million chickens a year in China - starting in July of this year. Gotta get those live markets and backyard chicken coops closed down pronto!

…It's just a monopoly game - little to do with unsafe practices in China - or with protecting American jobs, never mind the food supply. We're all just losing our rights to raise our own food.

Cargill to set up integrated broiler poultry project in China 31 August 2012

American agribusiness company Cargill is constructing a $250m integrated broiler poultry project in Chuzhou city, Anhui province, China, in an effort to strengthen its presence in the country.

The integrated broiler facility, which is being built over an area of 350ha near the Yangtze river basin, will complement Cargill's current meat imports business. It will feature 12 pullet and breeder farms, a feed mill, a hatchery and a primary processing plant. …the facility is expected to start operating by July 2013.

"We will raise 65 million birds a year and it will be one of the biggest integrated plants in China," Langholz added.

US and China Playing Chicken on Poultry Trade

US and Chinese trade agreements and their implementation are going to the World Trade Organization because the US believes China is unfairly using tactics to keep US poultry out of China.

“Let me be clear: the US does not arbitrarily seek disagreements with China,” said Ron Kirk, US trade representative, as he unveiled the grounds for the US action. “But we won’t negotiate indefinitely, because US farmers, ranchers, small business owners and workers can’t afford to wait when their exports are being blocked and American jobs are at stake.” [tsk]

U.S.-China Trade Dispute, Poultry, Deficit

Brazil claims majority of China’s poultry imports

Brazilian meat accounted for 74% of China’s poultry imports in 2011, according to data released from Brazil’s Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply (MAPA).

THE FALLOUT: An Overview

REMEMBER: Only 10 of the 77 cases as of Tuesday have had contact with poultry. …Who pays when people can't raise their own food and buy local? And who profits?

Market ban on killing of poultry brought forward April 16, 2013[/url]

TAIPEI--Taiwan could impose a ban on slaughtering live poultry at traditional markets earlier than planned because of the H7N9 bird flu scare, the Council of Agriculture (COA) said yesterday.

Bird flu fears lead to Shanghai poultry market cull
Authorities slaughter more than 20,000 birds after H7N9 strain of virus is detected in pigeons and human death toll rises to six

H7N9 still confined to live poultry markets

[Sure.]

Live poultry trade market closed in E. China

More BS: USDA opens new poultry, dairy, fruit export markets, April 15, 2013. …$100,000 worth of Anjou pears to China - but NO poultry! Surprise, surprise. Meanwhile, Cargill is taking over China's poultry industry and giving jobs to Chinese people. Who are losing their right to raise their own food. That's the real world folks.

Cases 87, deaths 18

Fears of human-to-human transmission of bird flu grips China

China on Thursday reported one more death due to H7N9 strain, taking the toll to 18 while the number of cases rose to 87 amid rising fears about the spread of the deadly virus after country's top health authority did not rule out the possibility of human-to-human transmission.

Also see: H7N9 Bird Flu Mysteries

Cases - 91, deaths - 17 - 4 new cases per day on average since the first case appeared on March 27, 2013 - 23 days ago.

China has reported a total of 91 cases of H7N9, including 17 that have ended in death.

Chinese doctors publish first H7N9 case report Apr 10, 2013 (CIDRAP News)

She experienced a sudden onset of chills and fever on Mar 27 and was seen in the emergency department the next day.

…..An investigation into the source of her infection found no clear history of contact with livestock or poultry, through the virus was detected in poultry at a local market. "The most likely source of the virus in this case seems to be from the environment or food contaminated with this novel virus," the group wrote.

Looks like the case count is holding steady at 92 (not 91). That one case - the 4 year-old from Beijing who tested positive without symptoms - is STILL being left out of the total. Some news sites are fudging the numbers by saying "91 stricken" or such-like.

I've tried to track it down and can't absolutely confirm - BUT - looks like the kid was travelling with his parents from Beijing and got diagnosed in Taiwan. So Taiwan won't report it because a) he wasn't sick, and b) they don't want anyone to know they had an H7N9 case - and Beijing isn't reporting because he wasn't diagnosed there and they don't want to bump their numbers.

Anyone else have any info on this?

UPDATE:

95 (96?) cases, 18 deaths


China bird flu: 95 cases, toll rises to 18
H7N9 death toll rises to 18


.....Not sure but it looks like they're only reporting new cases when there's another death (to bring the death rate down?).

UPDATE: Another case - still not reporting the 4 year-old boy from Beijing who was diagnosed in Taiwan

China confirms 96 (97) H7N9 cases, 18 deaths

Beijing has reported one case

UPDATE: 102 (103) cases, 20 deaths.

China confirms 102 H7N9 cases, 20 deaths

Hmm. China Daily says 21 deaths were reported as of 3:00 pm Sunday on China Central Television. (Not 20.)

China confirms 102 H7N9 cases, 21 deaths

A total of 102 cases of human H7N9 avian influenza, including 21 deaths, have been reported as of 3:00 pm Sunday, said China Central Television.

UPDATE:

105 cases reported in China + 1 in Taiwan, 20 (21?) deaths

H7N9 Found In Northeastern China; 105 Now Sickened And 20 Dead From Bird Flu