posted on Apr, 1 2013 @ 02:14 AM
It is easy to let weather determine how you feel about the data. When I posted this morning it was cold (about 8 C)and we had the heaters on for a
bit. It has turned out to be a nice afternoon and the temp has got to about 20 C. I notice that I feel differently about the reports depending on the
weather.
What many of you have been talking about is weather not climate. We have just gone through our second hottest summer on record, last month's
temperatures were 4 C above average, but the hottest March was 5 C above average. When you think that it probably works the other way too, that is a
lot of variation - 8 degrees. So even in a glacial period where temperatures drop by an average of 2 C you are still going to get some warm summers, 2
C above current average, but also some very cold ones no doubt and more of them. It will take a few decades for the trend to become obvious. Even the
report mentions the 11 year cycle and the 200 year cycle and there are others.
The scientist in the report is basing his predictions on solar activity, this was the way to predict weather trends (in Aus at least) till about 15
years ago, it led to many of the tools long term weather forecasters use in this country and they are pretty accurate. The man who discovered the 11
year cycle was an Australian who also discovered el Nino, he and his family lost their farm when he was 15 due to drought, this was in about 1898 I
think. He vowed to discover ways to predict weather trends.
My biggest challenge will be that it usually gets drier and colder at the same time. We have enough heat here but not enough water. But that could
change as well.
Might be a good idea to invest in shares of energy companies and thermal clothing companies anyway.
edit on 1/4/13 by Cinrad because: (no
reason given)