reply to post by 2012newstart
If that tragic event indeed occurs, a North Korean "preemptive" nuclear strike on US bases and inevitably nearby cities,
If only that scenario were true... If so, then the majority of the missile salvo gets taken out by PAC 3 and Aegis defenses, while any getting by are
destroyed in space by the midcourse defenses. The total nullification of such an attack should bring Kim quickly to the table, red-faced, and willing
But, that's not how it would happen. IF he were to attack first...it would be pretty much an all out thing. Artillery and missile salvos across the
DMZ, quickly followed by armor and troops storming across it. Naval assets would try and storm the coasts and carrier groups, and troops would emerge
in SK using tunnels to spread chaos. The NK air force would quickly try and get as much in the air as possible.
It could get messy. Our Navy would pretty much slaughter the NK navy, but we would see naval casualties, something new for us in this...
Our Air Force, and the SK Air Force would likewise destroy the NK Air Force, with VERY light casualties. (we'd only see real casualties once
attacking in NK proper, due to hidden and hardened AA installations). Air superiority would be established within the first 48 hours of the battle.
The ground war though, is a different story. There will be heavy casualties in the SK army and civilians. It will be very confused, and difficult to
tell who is on what side (as NK troops from the tunnels will likely have SK uniforms). The US mission will likely be to create an armored line to
re-establish the border, and cut off any NK retreat, and prevent any further invasion forces. The SK and US tanks and troops would prevail within
weeks, but there would be casualties higher than what we've seen in the previous actions.
After air superiority, systematic targeting of military and industrial targets. Kim and his leaders would have gone deep to bunker when issuing the
attack. If we're smart, we'll keep up MONTHS of bombing, before even trying to send troops on the ground in NK. They simply have too many troops,
and are too well fortified. Those fortifications need to be levelled before attempting it. Even then, we'll see heavier than we'd like casualties
once boots are on the ground in NK.
Of course, we'll also have to involve China, and the rest of the UN Security Council, in deciding any post-war leadership of NK.