Originally posted by Gazrok
reply to post by intrptr
China and Russia for that matter could launch a full retaliatory ICBM strike
That is pretty unlikely... China and Russia just want NK to be there as a buffer, they aren't going to engage in nuclear war, even if NK does.
Neither will we for that matter...even if NK gets a nuke off.
America launching is NOT unlikely China and Russia Launching IS Unlikely
NK is an embarrassment... neither Russia nor China supported further sanctions without the knowledge that it could provoke a NK attack.... they wont
support NK in an attack on SK... REALISTICALLY... letting the US waste even more money on war, further discontent within the populace as a draft goes
into effect is more than enough for China and Russia we BUY stuff from them. weakened not defeated is the name of the game.
China would love this fight.... who gets all the rebuilding contracts after all? Nothing can happen for China from this but greater Chinese influence
in a united korea, once Chinese workers enter the North for "repairs" and "cleanup" they will never leave... Does China have real influence on
this "rouge dictatorial regime? Does Russia?" NO what they have is a nut with A bombs on their borders...
A United Korea is a locus for regional trade and the money being lost is now far more a concern for both Russia and China than the influence of a USA
on the border which means little in a world of modern arms... Russia is stymied in development of trade on it's eastern front because of NK existing
China can exert 100 x more passive economic power over a United Korea than it ever can over a bratty 27 yr old
Russia and China supported the sanctions PURELY so the the USA ends NK without either of their nations having to play "Bad Cop"
Knowing this the USA will absolutely use Nukes.... a draft for the USA under insane conditions like previous wars almost guarantees a US revolution...
our people aren't happy, we need clear victory, a Draft for cleanup we'd put up with but not our kids being butchered trying to penetrate tunnels
and mountain strongholds... we would certainly "clear the path" in the end... there Is No OTHER viable course of action to stop the blunt force of
the NK army.... there is no other option on the table for the US Military
NK will be Nuked if it invades.... period
No one will do a damn thing about it....
When all Superpowers rise the next day it's Public sentiment and $$$ that matter
SK has a TOOL no one is mentioning SOFT POWER... Korean POP culture is huge in the region, big in Russia and America as well... So is Japans... while
there is a lingering anger in some Chinese to Japan this doesn't exist for SK... Chinese People LOVE SK entertainment... They dance to their music...
they watch their TV shows, American kids love anime and all the rest...
Everyone everywhere hates NK
You can't ask your people to side in a war AGAINST people they LOVE and ADORE
Neither Russia nor China can side against SK in a direct way.... not without an inner Revolution.
If America uses the Bomb... with Hugo gone... Only Iran will complain... we ALL LOVE SK, no one likes NK.... even the Iran situation....some people
hate Jews... No one dislikes South Koreans,,,, attacking them would be SUICIDE in GLOBAL OPINION even the Chinese can't wash it over... Hundreds of
Millions of their citizens tune in to SK entertainment weekly, but their fashions, use their cell phones, play the games they make....
Virtually the entire world would come together in opposition to NK in one form or another
ANNIHILATION would be acceptable policy.....