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Originally posted by MrSpad
That "insiders" perspective has been in every fictional Korean war novel since the 70's. The problem for the North is they know they can not invade the south with any chance of success.
Certainly that's a factor, but, they need be TOLD what to do, not bargained with. They're programmed through social conditioning in the culture via an oppressive regime to respond better to being told what to do, and even think, as opposed to being given a choice. Too much freedom to choose, even when it comes to negotiating surrender is a language the culture isn't conditioned to respond to. "Your great leaders are defeated. We are now your leaders. Do as we command. Surrender NOW." is the kind of phraseology that will garner more favorable response as opposed to bribery with food or conditional bargains.
Any effort of NK to go full bore against SK or the US forces can easily be handled by a single Ohio class submarine with its ability to independently target 84 sites with nuclear weapons before NK had a clue that their demise is just minutes away.
I'm more concerned with Big Sis than anything North Korea could possibly do.
And, so many think that North Korea will be a pushover. Allow me to explain some things to you.
IF we pre-emptively strike North Korea from the air, then alright, assuming we'd have the initiative, we could blow them down to size, then worry about the ground war.
HOWEVER .. if North Korea gets the initiative, and invades the South, we're in for a LONG, SERIOUS, CONFLICT.
China and Russia for that matter could launch a full retaliatory ICBM strike
They'll only be expediting their own inevitable demise if they believe they can take on the far more powerful south
NK has nearly double the troop count of SK, about 1000 more tanks, and about 50 more subs. Granted, SK has about 100 more fighters, but that's about the only area where it tops NK...
It's only the US and allies that tip the scale for SK....on their own, they'd be annexed within months.
I'm only mentioning all this not to enlighten you, but to stress the moral superiority of the south/America over North Korea.