posted on Mar, 8 2013 @ 10:42 AM
North Korea has perfected the art of playing the unstable lunatic with a death wish card, while playing the capability to wipe out nations card in
their version of diplomatic talks. That's how you go about not getting invaded by the US, at least until now. A great deal of NK's trick is based
around a total block on international eyes within their own borders, which is why the same trick could not be repeated by any other country, except
possibly China and Iran, but unlikely.
The questions now are, is NK bluffing? Is there nuclear program anything other than a thousand microwave ovens strapped to a Soviet missile? What
military capability do they actually have and will they have? What do we do?
China's concerns are simple, if the Korean peninsular turns in to all out war, China will be faced with the threat of millions of refugees and also
with the outcome more than likely an NK defeat, an American puppet regime on its door step. Would China jump to the aid of NK? It would certainly be
in their interest to keep the Communists in power, but at what cost? China reminds me a lot of the old Soivet Union, a mammoth of a country, a mammoth
of man power, but with actually little capability when it comes down to it. However, this is changing, they are spending money, a lot of money, on
military. However, I can still see the end being very much the same for China as it was for the Soviets, but not without flexing muscle first, but
that's for another debate. The fact is China and if you want to include Russia, then Russia also, have a lot to lose in siding with NK, but have a
fair bit to lose not siding with them.
Nobody can truly know what will come of this, the problem is China is expanding military spending so much so that many have pointed to them under
reporting the true figure and at the same time, they have become more vocal in ramping up nationalism within its borders with regards to disputed
maritime borders and ownership of islands. Its hard to say whether China simply want to turn Asia in to a market that benefits itself overall, much
like America did to the West, or whether there is a greater threat to dominating, violently if necessary, over Asia and massively expanding territory.
The same for NK with regards to the Korean peninsular. Are they reacting to a perceived threat and simply displaying a threat posture or is their
intent far more sinister?
Like in questions asked mainly with regards to the years building up to the outbreak of WW2, every passing moment is a moment that history could look
back on and ask, why didn't they act? At the same time history could look back on this and ask nothing because the human population has been
decimated. This is a situation that has the marking of a spark that engulfs us all, far more than Iran and certainly Libya, Syria, Iraq and
Afghanistan combined, because this is on China's doorstep and nobody quite knows how China would react, let alone what kind of force North Korea
truly is. When you look at it like that, we all have a lot to lose.
It's a rock and a hard place, but my gut feeling is that sooner or later, one side will act, it's just a case of which side will act first.