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Originally posted by Teye22
A lot of people seem to beleive that EQs are repeated in cycles after X amount of years...how can we possibly be sure of any cylce if we have so little data in comparisson to millions of years of EQs.
Even if they say it Should not happen, it clearly has in the past and there is no way (at least not currently) to predict an EQ. So no one knows when THE big one will hit. I agree it is coming but it could just as well be in 5 minutes or in a thousand years or more.
The battery model of earthquake energy storage and discharge makes it difficult for scientists to forecast future earthquakes, as there's no explanation yet for why faults would behave this way, Goldfinger said. Plus, it's hard to say how much energy a fault's battery stores. "We haven't yet figured out how to effectively put a voltmeter on a fault and say how charged it is," Goldfinger said.
You believe a scientist saying a 9.0 earthquake cannot happen? I mean these guys are of the same professional ilk as those that predict weather... incorrectly on a daily basis