Just after Bush's 2002 State of the Union address where he listed the axis of evil countries, I began a little thought experiment.
Most of the first part of this thread is from a post I made here
OK, so if you were to try and think like these countries (and Al-Qaeda at the time) that we were supposedly against, what would they do? Or what would
you do if you were them?
Before I go any further, I DO NOT wish any of the events I describe below to take place, I am merely describing how I would act if I were the people
in question below; only trying to think like them.
Iran and North Korea:
I'll start with the Iran and North Korea idea (again remember these were my thoughts back in early 2002). If I were either nation, I would be working
closely and clandestinely with the other on all military and weapons projects and make sure I did nothing until the other did, in fact, my
intelligence and military intelligence agencies would be working so close to the other nation's equivalent that any engagement or attack would be
coordinated and concerted.
Remember at the time the U.S. were already in Afghanistan and there was strong rhetoric of an Iraq invasion force; this would spread the U.S. forces
very thinly and given time, they would be spread thin and weary. That is when both nations would (in my opinion back then) begin attacks in their
respective regions in a concerted manner. I expected that Iran would garner support from some Islamic nations in their region and North Korea would
perhaps have China's support; don't forget Russia's link to Iran either. In my mind, this seemed like the exact thing I would do if I were a leader of
either of those axis nations.
Outcome of this scenario? I think this scenario would cause such chaos that I wonder how well our allied forces could handle it. I don't know. I begun
to think this scenario less likely in the last few years but it's always been in the back of my mind and until recently might be a possibility again.
I hope not!
Now this idea came to mind, again not long after 9/11. If I were Al-Qaeda, I would be trying to send agents to western countries from
countries/regions that have terrorist training camps and just have them say that they're fleeing worn torn countries and yes most REALLY are, but
again, if I was trying to build a militia in western countries this is what I would do and it's more perfect if the vast majority are legitimately
fleeing worn torn countries. It's almost the same concept as using human shields.
These groups would then take time to slowly gain supplies; not just weapons but food and other necessities that would be required and hard to come by
once any conflict starts.
By the way, just a side note: there have been training camps found by authorities in western countries.
Once ready, these groups would each have zones they are to take and then cordon off. The attacks would need to be many, large (in terms of troops) and
concerted (I understand I have a theme of attacks being concerted; that simply makes any response significantly harder). These attacks would all occur
in the early hours of the morning so that most are caught off guard.
China and Japan:
Now it's 2013 and we have the China, Japan issue; while I doubt China would want to risk it's current run up to the next world superpower it will also
want to save face, much like Japan.
Who are the allies of each nation?
North Korea (to some degree still)
Now for the enemies of the US:
Most countries except the US
But seriously; you have Iran, Syria, North Korea and of course China and Russia (to some degree).
Who are the US allies?
Israel (perhaps this relationship has been deteriorating somewhat of late), UK, Australia, NZ, Canada, etc.
So now what do the sides look like?
China, Russia, Iran, Syria and North Korea (to start with) Vs. Japan, US, Israel, UK, Australia, NZ and Canada, etc.
Is this now a possible WWIII scenario? I fear it has the potential.
How does it happen?
- Israel has moved it's dome missile shield to the Syrian border and allegedly attacked Syria already.
- China has "locked" on to Japanese military targets.
- Russia has now allegedly breached Japanese airspace.
I don't think it takes much; one false move could trigger a global conflict that could last many years and kill many thousands or millions of
Being and Australian, I will be interested to see which side we actually take. With the US economy on a downturn and so much money in trade with
China; there is the faintest chance we end up on China's side. Yes, it is unlikely but I feel it is a distinct possibility.
If war breaks out on two fronts; one in the Middle East with the US, Israel, Syria, Iran, etc and one in the Asia Pacific region with China, Japan,
Russia (they might spread into both theaters due to their geography), North Korea and South Korea and Australia. Where does Australia fight? Do we go
with our biggest trading partner or become the US of the Asia Pacific?
Lastly, there's also Taiwan, Malaysia and the Philippines to remember but to a lesser degree.
I know this is a long post and I don't expect people to read it all in one go but I feel that there's something brewing.
edit on 7/2/2013 by
comfortablynumb because: (no reason given)