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"In past years I have reported on trades that were so large it appeared someone had inside knowledge of a pending event. Sometimes those were massive put positions on the S&P. A new trade just appeared that suggests there will be a market event in the near future. Last week somebody put on a call spread on the VIX using the April 20 and 25 puts. They bought 150,000 contracts for a net of $75 per contract. That is an $11,250,000 bet that the VIX will move over 20 over the next 60 days. You would have to be VERY confident in your outlook to risk $11 million on a directional position with the VIX at five year lows and the markets trying to break out to new highs."
Read more: www.businessinsider.com...
Do Wall Street insiders expect something really big to happen very soon?
Why are corporate insiders dumping huge numbers of shares in their own companies right now? Why are some very large investors suddenly making gigantic bets that the stock market will crash at some point in the next 60 days?
Do Wall Street insiders expect something really BIG to happen very soon? Do they know something that we do not know? What you are about to read below is startling. Every time that the market has fallen in recent years, insiders have been able to get out ahead of time.
David Coleman of the Vickers Weekly Insider report recently noted that Wall Street insiders have shown "a remarkable ability of late to identify both market peaks and troughs". That is why it is so alarming that corporate insiders are selling nine times as many shares as they are buying right now.
In addition, some extraordinarily large bets have just been made that will only pay off if the financial markets in the U.S. crash by the end of April. So what does all of this mean? Well, it could mean absolutely nothing or it could mean that there are people out there that actually have insider knowledge that a market crash is coming. Evaluate the evidence below and decide for yourself...
For some reason, corporate insiders have chosen this moment to unload huge amounts of stock. According to a CNN article, corporate insiders are now selling nine times more of their own shares than they are buying...
Originally posted by 12voltz
For the money challenged like me , can you explain the definition of "something bad",
Blackstone's top-man fears the "oblivious markets" are missing the point that nothing has been solved and that a "big battle between entitlement cuts and raising the debt ceiling" is coming. Shrugging off the anchor's insistence that earnings have been 'pretty good', Wien states reality as expectations are rolling over and performance following. With people complacent and investors euphoric (ignoring European risk re-emergence and depression and Middle East tensions), Wien's brief clip concludes with his expectation of a 200 point correction in the S&P 500 in H1 2013.
Originally posted by JustMike
The following is my opinion as a member participating in this discussion.
Is 11.25 million dollars such a huge amount in terms of what these traders deal in? I simply don't know what the typical range is for their deals. What qualifies as "small", "average" and "huge"?
Also, could we have some notion of what the trader stands to gain (or lose)? Is this trade leveraged in some way, or is it a straight percentage gain/loss calculated against the 11+ mill?
Finally (and please forgive all my questions!), is there any way for traders to hedge such a deal so that no matter what happens, they don't stand to lose a great deal? I understand the basics of going long or short, but once it gets into things like the VIX, I'm pretty lost!As an ATS Staff Member, I will not moderate in threads such as this where I have participated as a member.
Originally posted by zedVSzardoz
reply to post by hawkiye
I would remind everyone how appearing to have "inside knowledge" can be used to make everyone panic and so dump all they are worth. Then the same person making the artificial panic buys it all up.
Happened in England after Napoleon was defeated and they thought he had won......