Well said, and I believe you're right. If I had to guess, I'd say there is well over a 50% chance of that course of events - probably closer to 70%.
At first, there will likely be a series of "Waco" type events, with government concentrating force on certain "cells", and reporting that action as due to "terrorists", but the real meat of the matter comes when those events push a larger proportion of the population over the edge and out of the complacency of the government camp - they aren't really "supporting" the government so much as simply not acting against it. When those people see harsh activity out of the government on the "cells", they begin to wonder if they are next... and act pre-emptively.
The real action then comes as those people act surreptitiously to thwart the machinations of society. They will commit small acts of "sabotage" in the thousands to grind the wheels to a halt, and the actual fighting serves as a distraction away from their activities, and take the attention off of them. It's hard to concentrate on someone who has thrown sand in the gear grease when some guy over there is throwing bullets at you when you try to find out what happened. Folks tend to concentrate on the bullet-tosser, and let the saboteur go off on his merry way unmolested.
At some point a critical mass is achieved, when the strength of the dissatisfied is matched with the strength of the oppressors, and then the military comes out into the fray, having assessed the relative strengths, and history is made when the balance is thereby tipped.
That's when history is MADE... but it starts long before, in the grumblings of the dissatisfied being ignored by the oppressive.
edit on 2013/1/17 by nenothtu because: (no reason given)